Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 1st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,251.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by consumer discretionary, information technology, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai, East Money Information, Haitian Flavouring.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 1st.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,251.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by consumer discretionary, information technology, health care.
We highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai, East Money Information, Haitian Flavouring.


Northbound Flows (Sep 1st): BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 119.3% as of Sep 1st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.6ppt week on week, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, health care and offset by financials, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway, Hua Hong Semi and Cc Securities.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 119.3% as of Sep 1st.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.6ppt week on week, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, health care and offset by financials, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway, Hua Hong Semi and Cc Securities.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 1st):Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

Bank Of Ningbo Co Ltd A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite worsening doubtful, loss loans, the bank opted to lower impairment costs in 2Q23 YoY</li>
<li>There is almost no profit growth without the bank's provision cost decline, in 1H23 and 2Q23</li>
<li>Loans more than doubled since FY19, but against this LLR/loans continues to decline</li>
</ul>


Despite worsening doubtful, loss loans, the bank opted to lower impairment costs in 2Q23 YoY
There is almost no profit growth without the bank's provision cost decline, in 1H23 and 2Q23
Loans more than doubled since FY19, but against this LLR/loans continues to decline


Bank of Ningbo - Doubtful Loans +59%, Loss Loans +38%, Impairment Costs -16%, With Falling LLR/Loans

China Merchants Bank A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>New results detail from CMB shows divergence with credit quality and actual credit costs</li>
<li>The bank saw its credit costs decline 25% YoY despite higher Loss and Doubtful Loans YoY</li>
<li>Property development NPLs surged from 4.1% to 5.5% at 1H23 HoH, to RMB19.6bn in total</li>
</ul>


New results detail from CMB shows divergence with credit quality and actual credit costs
The bank saw its credit costs decline 25% YoY despite higher Loss and Doubtful Loans YoY
Property development NPLs surged from 4.1% to 5.5% at 1H23 HoH, to RMB19.6bn in total


China Merchants Bank - New Results: Property Dev. NPLs at 5.5% from 4.1%...  25% Lower Credit Costs

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 25th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$3,207.8 million, led by consumer staples, industrials, and offset by communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Mindray, Wuliangye, ZTE, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Luxshare Precision, Ping An Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 25th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$3,207.8 million, led by consumer staples, industrials, and offset by communication services.
We highlight flows for Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB, Ping An Insurance, Longi Green, Mindray, Wuliangye, ZTE, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Luxshare Precision, Ping An Bank.


Northbound Flows (Aug 25th): Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB

China

China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd. operates as a commercial bank. The Company provides deposits, loans, wealth management, asset custody, finance leasing, investment banking, and other banking services. China Merchants Bank conducts businesses domestically and internationally.

Price Gauge
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Merchants Bank A (600036 CH)

Northbound Flows (Sep 1st): BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 1st):Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Bank of Ningbo - Doubtful Loans +59%, Loss Loans +38%, Impairment Costs -16%, With Falling LLR/Loans

The bank is seeing worsening growth in the worst two loan buckets, of doubtful loans and loss loans, but is limiting its impairment costs - the...

Daniel Tabbush

China Merchants Bank - New Results: Property Dev. NPLs at 5.5% from 4.1%... 25% Lower Credit Costs

CMB shows surging property development NPLs, and overdue loans by 1-3 years, which is completely at odds with its 25% lower provision expenses in...

Daniel Tabbush

Northbound Flows (Aug 25th): Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Northbound Flows (Sep 1st): BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 1st):Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zhejiang Shiba, Cansino Biolog, Nanjing Panda, China Railway.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Bank of Ningbo - Doubtful Loans +59%, Loss Loans +38%, Impairment Costs -16%, With Falling LLR/Loans

​The bank is seeing worsening growth in the worst two loan buckets, of doubtful loans and loss loans, but is limiting its impairment costs - the...

Daniel Tabbush

China Merchants Bank - New Results: Property Dev. NPLs at 5.5% from 4.1%... 25% Lower Credit Costs

CMB shows surging property development NPLs, and overdue loans by 1-3 years, which is completely at odds with its 25% lower provision expenses in...

Daniel Tabbush

Northbound Flows (Aug 25th): Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai, CMB

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Wuxi Apptec, Iflytek, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The bank is seeing worsening growth in the worst two loan buckets, of doubtful loans and loss loans, but is limiting its impairment costs - the...