External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 6% YoY and 3% MoM to 1.97mn units in Sep 2023, 4% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>YTD retail sales volume rose 4% YoY. Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY and 9% MoM to 2.49mn units in Sep 2023, the best Sep in history, and 9% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY (or +1.14mn units YoY) YTD, all aided by 67% YoY growth (or +1.14mn units YoY) of exports. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 6% YoY and 3% MoM to 1.97mn units in Sep 2023, 4% higher than our prior forecast.YTD retail sales volume rose 4% YoY. Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY and 9% MoM to 2.49mn units in Sep 2023, the best Sep in history, and 9% higher than our prior forecast.Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY (or +1.14mn units YoY) YTD, all aided by 67% YoY growth (or +1.14mn units YoY) of exports. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Strong 4Q23 sales mixed with rising competition

<ul><li>We summarize the Sep 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Aug 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Sep retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Discounts at dealers for most brands widened MoM in Sep 2023, as the price war persists with more and more competitive product rollouts and raw material price decline. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Sep 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Aug 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Sep retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Discounts at dealers for most brands widened MoM in Sep 2023, as the price war persists with more and more competitive product rollouts and raw material price decline. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Sep discounts widened again

<ul><li>Nine Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta and Leap reported their Sep 2023 sales volumes during 1-2 Oct 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the nine automakers combined rose 52% YoY (ranged from -27% to +213%) and 5% MoM (ranged from -19% to 18%) in Sep 2023.</li><li>Li Auto slightly beat, NIO missed, Xpeng in line. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nine Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta and Leap reported their Sep 2023 sales volumes during 1-2 Oct 2023.Sales volume of the nine automakers combined rose 52% YoY (ranged from -27% to +213%) and 5% MoM (ranged from -19% to 18%) in Sep 2023.Li Auto slightly beat, NIO missed, Xpeng in line. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Most NEV Brands’ Sep Sales Volume on Track

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 29th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We have highlighted flows for Meituan, Tencent, ICBC and Xpeng.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 29th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We have highlighted flows for Meituan, Tencent, ICBC and Xpeng.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 29th): Meituan, Tencent, ICBC, Xpeng

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Chinese automotive maintenance services platform Tuhu Car has announced the terms for its HKEx IPO. Tuhu plans to raise net proceeds of HK$1.0-1.1bn (US$132-161m) through the issuance of 40.62m shares.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (2007986D HK)</a> 's franchised business model seems to have worked well, while its focus on high margin products/services have helped improve profitability.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss our forecasts and valuation for the company, and our analysis suggests that Tuhu Car’s IPO is priced reasonably.</li>
</ul>


Chinese automotive maintenance services platform Tuhu Car has announced the terms for its HKEx IPO. Tuhu plans to raise net proceeds of HK$1.0-1.1bn (US$132-161m) through the issuance of 40.62m shares.

Tuhu Car (2007986D HK) 's franchised business model seems to have worked well, while its focus on high margin products/services have helped improve profitability.
In this insight, we discuss our forecasts and valuation for the company, and our analysis suggests that Tuhu Car’s IPO is priced reasonably.


China

China Meidong Auto Holdings Limited is an automobile dealership and maintenance group in China.

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China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK)

China Auto Sector – Strong 4Q23 sales mixed with rising competition

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 6% YoY and 3% MoM to 1.97mn units in Sep 2023, 4% higher than our prior forecast.

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Sep discounts widened again

Discounts at dealers for most brands widened MoM in Sep 2023, as the price war persists with more and more competitive product rollouts and raw...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Most NEV Brands’ Sep Sales Volume on Track

Nine Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta and Leap reported their Sep 2023 sales volumes during 1-2 Oct...

CMB International

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 29th): Meituan, Tencent, ICBC, Xpeng

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Meituan, Tencent, ICBC and Xpeng.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tuhu Car IPO: Forecasts and Valuation

Tuhu Car priced its IPO at HK$28.00 per share, at the bottom end of the IPO price range and raised net proceeds of HK$1,081m (US$138m) excluding...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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