Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The energy, materials and tech sectors have lost momentum, while telecoms and utilities sectors lead the market.  Consumer sectors are lagging.  HSCI has dipped below its 200 day moving average.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-china-gas-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:375:1" rel="noopener">Hong Kong &amp; China Gas (3 HK)</a> breaks to the upside as investors seek safety and yield.  
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/petrochina-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:262:1" rel="noopener">PetroChina (857 HK)</a> has broken down relative to the MSCI China index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/travelsky-technology-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19829:1" rel="noopener">Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK)</a> breaks down from a triangle formation  but downside is limited.
</li>
</ul>


The energy, materials and tech sectors have lost momentum, while telecoms and utilities sectors lead the market.  Consumer sectors are lagging.  HSCI has dipped below its 200 day moving average.

Hong Kong &amp; China Gas (3 HK) breaks to the upside as investors seek safety and yield.  


PetroChina (857 HK) has broken down relative to the MSCI China index and Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) breaks down from a triangle formation  but downside is limited.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 31)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$7.8bn this week (now 25wks in a row of net buying), on smallish two-way volumes. </li>
<li>I've thought national team was buying banks for months. This week, 1 bank showed up in the top 20 net buys after only 1 in the top ten last week.</li>
<li>There were three ETFs in the top six SOUTHBOUND buys this past week. That was unusual. Some high div SOEs got sold. </li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$7.8bn this week (now 25wks in a row of net buying), on smallish two-way volumes. 
I've thought national team was buying banks for months. This week, 1 bank showed up in the top 20 net buys after only 1 in the top ten last week.
There were three ETFs in the top six SOUTHBOUND buys this past week. That was unusual. Some high div SOEs got sold. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Jul 2024); ETFs Get Bought, Banks Have Gone Missing

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> shares had a breakout relative to the MSCI China index and showing good momentum during the low volume days of summer.  
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/power-assets-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:788:1" rel="noopener">POWER ASSETS HOLDINGS (6 HK)</a> has shown a breakout relative to MSCI Hong Kong with a defensive business and 5%+ dividend yield. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH GROUP (288 HK)</a> has also shown a breakout relative to the MSCI Hong Kong after its announcement of the spinoff of Smithfield Foods in the US. 
</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK) shares had a breakout relative to the MSCI China index and showing good momentum during the low volume days of summer.  


POWER ASSETS HOLDINGS (6 HK) has shown a breakout relative to MSCI Hong Kong with a defensive business and 5%+ dividend yield. 


WH GROUP (288 HK) has also shown a breakout relative to the MSCI Hong Kong after its announcement of the spinoff of Smithfield Foods in the US. 



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 24)

<ul>
<li>China and Hong Kong saw positive ETF flows for the week.</li>
<li>Dividend Yield, Low Volatility and Value strategies have outperformed during the market correction in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>Lufax Holdings jumps after announcement that Ping An will increase stake.  Fufeng slumps after announcing a decline in 1st half profit.</li>
</ul>


China and Hong Kong saw positive ETF flows for the week.
Dividend Yield, Low Volatility and Value strategies have outperformed during the market correction in Hong Kong.
Lufax Holdings jumps after announcement that Ping An will increase stake.  Fufeng slumps after announcing a decline in 1st half profit.


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA/HONG KONG (July 5th)

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND inflow continues, albeit smaller. Banks remain a big net buy. SOEs prominent in low overall SOUTHBOUND volume. </li>
<li>Wide spreads (high AH premium) saw H outperform, but narrow spreads saw Hs underperform quite significantly.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND inflow continues, albeit smaller. Banks remain a big net buy. SOEs prominent in low overall SOUTHBOUND volume. 
Wide spreads (high AH premium) saw H outperform, but narrow spreads saw Hs underperform quite significantly.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 28 Jun 2024):  AH Premia Still Rebounding But Wide Spreads Narrowing

China

China Longyuan Power Group Corp Ltd designs, develops, manages, and operates wind farms.  The Company also sells the electricity generated by the wind farms.

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China Longyuan Power (916 HK)

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 31)

Utilities and telecom sectors have gained favor in HK as investors seek low volatility and dividend yield. Hong Kong China Gas has formed a...

David Mudd

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Jul 2024); ETFs Get Bought, Banks Have Gone Missing

SOUTHBOUND saw net inflow through HK Connect for the 25th week in a row. Three ETFs were in the top 6 net buys, and only one bank in the top 20....

Travis Lundy

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (July 24)

BYD Company, Power Assets and WH Group all experienced breakouts during the week. WH Group announced a spin off of its Smithfield Foods business...

David Mudd

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA/HONG KONG (July 5th)

ETF flows continued to be positive for China during the week and Southbound Connect program continued to show inflows into HK market. Dividend,...

David Mudd

A/H Premium Tracker (To 28 Jun 2024): AH Premia Still Rebounding But Wide Spreads Narrowing

AH Premia continue to gently rise, but the very wide spreads are seeing Hs outperform As. This "twist" is still a good strategy in my book. The...

Travis Lundy

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