Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.5% as of Mar 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.6ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, information technology and offset by communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.5% as of Mar 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.6ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, consumer staples, information technology and offset by communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 17th): China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 115.1% as of Mar 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.2ppt week on week, led by health care, communication services, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, PetroChina, China Southern, ZTE, CRRC, CICC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 115.1% as of Mar 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.2ppt week on week, led by health care, communication services, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, PetroChina, China Southern, ZTE, CRRC, CICC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 10th): China Shenhua, PetroChina, China Southern, ZTE, CRRC, CICC

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.5% as of Sep 9th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer staples, financials and offset by health Care, consumer discretionary, communication services. </li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian, CGN Power, GWM, Tigermed, Angang, CIMC, Zoomlion, Tianqi Lithium, CIMC Vehicles, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 118.5% as of Sep 9th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer staples, financials and offset by health Care, consumer discretionary, communication services. 
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian, CGN Power, GWM, Tigermed, Angang, CIMC, Zoomlion, Tianqi Lithium, CIMC Vehicles, CNOOC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 9th): Huadian, CGN Power, GWM

Global Special Situations & Strategy, SR Services Ltd

David Lepper

Global Special Situations & Strategy

SR Services Ltd

SR Services provides Strategic Knowledge and Solutions services for Family Offices and Corporate Business. 

We deliver this via advisory services, strategic planning, opportunity analysis/sourcing, as well as solution implementation. 

Whilst, we create intellectual discipline and operational leverage for your projects or daily activities, our ultimate objective is to empower whilst enhancing your decision making. 

Strategic Knowledge and Solutions

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>
Our Q3-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market-cap-weighted average price return of 2% and a simple average decline of 0.2%.</li>
<li>
Out of the 34 stocks that appeared in our Q3-2021 screen, 15 stocks saw an average share price decline of 11.5%, whilst 19 stocks appreciated on average by 14%. The two biggest declining stock  were down 25% and 19% respectively.</li>
<li>Our Q4 2021 screen, with 38 names (up from 34 seen in Q3 and Q2 2021) delivers an interesting composition this quarter, </li>
<li>
As in the previous few quarters, we anticipate the possibility of a risk of deteriorating credit metrics during the next few quarters: Q4 2021’s Altman Z score rests at 1.23, which is just up on Q3 2021’s level of 1.19.</li>
</ul>



Our Q3-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market-cap-weighted average price return of 2% and a simple average decline of 0.2%.

Out of the 34 stocks that appeared in our Q3-2021 screen, 15 stocks saw an average share price decline of 11.5%, whilst 19 stocks appreciated on average by 14%. The two biggest declining stock  were down 25% and 19% respectively.
Our Q4 2021 screen, with 38 names (up from 34 seen in Q3 and Q2 2021) delivers an interesting composition this quarter, 

As in the previous few quarters, we anticipate the possibility of a risk of deteriorating credit metrics during the next few quarters: Q4 2021’s Altman Z score rests at 1.23, which is just up on Q3 2021’s level of 1.19.


Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

<h2>Eight new names, SoftBank remains for the 3rd quarter running</h2>
<ul>
<li>
OurQ2-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market cap-weighted average price decline of 2%. In comparison, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index posted a decline of 1.7% over the same period. The stock quality of our Q2 2021 decreased 2.4 points or 3.8% over the period. Within the mix of 34 stocks in our Q2 2021 (May) list 19 posted negative performance, with an average decline of 14.1%.</li>
<li>
At a static number of 34 stocks our Q3 2021 screen, delivers an interesting composition this quarter, with eight (8) new names and strong representation from Hong Kong in terms of geography and Industrials and Basic Materials from a sector perspective. This suggests that the “reopening of the economy” trade may have run its course for now.</li>
<li>Our Q3 2021 screen shows a further reduction in average stock rank (a reading on relative quality amongst the broad market peers with 100 being the highest) to 61 from 65.18 in Q2 2021.</li>
<li>
Stock specific focus: We discuss why SoftBank stands out as a stock that presents with additional risk. We also discuss the fact that whilst there is a high representation of Industrials in the list, within this list, there are several names that may warrant not being too bearish towards.</li>
</ul>

Eight new names, SoftBank remains for the 3rd quarter running


OurQ2-2021 All Cap High-Risk screen of stocks produced a market cap-weighted average price decline of 2%. In comparison, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index posted a decline of 1.7% over the same period. The stock quality of our Q2 2021 decreased 2.4 points or 3.8% over the period. Within the mix of 34 stocks in our Q2 2021 (May) list 19 posted negative performance, with an average decline of 14.1%.

At a static number of 34 stocks our Q3 2021 screen, delivers an interesting composition this quarter, with eight (8) new names and strong representation from Hong Kong in terms of geography and Industrials and Basic Materials from a sector perspective. This suggests that the “reopening of the economy” trade may have run its course for now.
Our Q3 2021 screen shows a further reduction in average stock rank (a reading on relative quality amongst the broad market peers with 100 being the highest) to 61 from 65.18 in Q2 2021.

Stock specific focus: We discuss why SoftBank stands out as a stock that presents with additional risk. We also discuss the fact that whilst there is a high representation of Industrials in the list, within this list, there are several names that may warrant not being too bearish towards.


Screening the Silk Road: Q3 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

China

China International Marine Containers (Group) Co., Ltd. designs and manufactures containers, airport facilities, internal combustion power-generating equipment, and trailers.  The Company also operates in the timber industry and real estate development.

China International Marine Cntnrs Gp (2039 HK)

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China International Marine Cntnrs Gp (2039 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 17th): China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Telecom, China Shenhua, Great Wall Motor, CEEC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 10th): China Shenhua, PetroChina, China Southern, ZTE, CRRC, CICC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua, PetroChina, China Southern, ZTE, CRRC, CICC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 9th): Huadian, CGN Power, GWM

We analyzed A-H premium changes last week and highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian, CGN Power, GWM, Tigermed, Angang, CIMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Screening the Silk Road: Q4 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

As we move through into Q1 2022, we expect to see volatility around highly priced & leveraged names. This screen is a key starting point towards...

David Lepper

Screening the Silk Road: Q3 2021 High-Risk Names to Avoid

Screening the Silk Road Q3 2021: Asia Pac High-risk names to avoid screening is out now. Eight new names, despite being down 23%, SoftBank remains...

David Lepper

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52-week Range

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