Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Weilong Delicious Global Holdi / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs. </li>
<li>India IPO will likely take a breather after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/one-97-communications-limited-paytm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26149:1" rel="noopener">Paytm (PAYTM IN)</a> disastrous debut.</li>
<li>Hong Kong will be Hong Kong will be where most of the attention will be after getting a wave of approvals in this week. Stay tuned to our coverage.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs. 
India IPO will likely take a breather after Paytm (PAYTM IN) disastrous debut.
Hong Kong will be Hong Kong will be where most of the attention will be after getting a wave of approvals in this week. Stay tuned to our coverage.


ECM Weekly (21st Nov 2021) - Weilong, Cloud Village, SF Intra, China Tourism, Asymchem, Gushengtang

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12278:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)</a> has received approval from CSRC for H-share issue and the HK hearing may come as early as Tuesday.</li>
<li>There is report that funds raised will scale down to US$5bn, from US$7bn previously, and this will mean a price of about HK$200, or 26% discount to the A-shares.</li>
<li>Valuations (29.3x PER for FY21 and 22x for FY22) are not too stretched, but following a weak 3Q21, it may need a cheaper level to ensure attractive debut.  </li>
</ul>



China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH) has received approval from CSRC for H-share issue and the HK hearing may come as early as Tuesday.
There is report that funds raised will scale down to US$5bn, from US$7bn previously, and this will mean a price of about HK$200, or 26% discount to the A-shares.
Valuations (29.3x PER for FY21 and 22x for FY22) are not too stretched, but following a weak 3Q21, it may need a cheaper level to ensure attractive debut.  


CTG Duty Free (601888 CH): Green Light for H-Share IPO and Updated View on Valuation

Cisarua Mountain Dairy / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs. </li>
<li>Hong Kong IPO pipeline looks strong with Weilong Delicious Global, CANbridge Pharmaceuticals,  Asymchem Laboratories, and China Tourism Group either close to approval or seeking approval with HKEX soon.</li>
<li>Indonesia ECM is looking busier than ever this year with the launch of Cisarua Mountain Dairy (Cimory) and PT Avia Avian IPO bookbuilds this week.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs. 
Hong Kong IPO pipeline looks strong with Weilong Delicious Global, CANbridge Pharmaceuticals,  Asymchem Laboratories, and China Tourism Group either close to approval or seeking approval with HKEX soon.
Indonesia ECM is looking busier than ever this year with the launch of Cisarua Mountain Dairy (Cimory) and PT Avia Avian IPO bookbuilds this week.


ECM Weekly (14th November 2021) - Cimory, Infervision, Daiwa House REIT, Weilong Delicious

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12278:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)</a> (CDF) aims to raise around US$5-10bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong. CDF is the largest travel retail operator in the world primarily focusing on sales of high-quality duty-free and duty-paid merchandise to domestic and international travelers. As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, it had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.As the A-shares are already listed and well covered, we will treat this listing more like a placement rather than an IPO. However, given the large potential size of the listing, we will go into more details than we would for a regular placement. Hence, in this note we will briefly cover the company’s background and recent performance before touching upon the deal dynamics.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH) (CDF) aims to raise around US$5-10bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong. CDF is the largest travel retail operator in the world primarily focusing on sales of high-quality duty-free and duty-paid merchandise to domestic and international travelers. As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, it had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.As the A-shares are already listed and well covered, we will treat this listing more like a placement rather than an IPO. However, given the large potential size of the listing, we will go into more details than we would for a regular placement. Hence, in this note we will briefly cover the company’s background and recent performance before touching upon the deal dynamics.

China Tourism Group A/H Listing Early Look - Over US$5bn Raising for a Monopoly on Chinese Tourists

Equity Bottom-Up

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

We believe <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12278:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)</a> (CTG Duty Free) will maintain its solid sales momentum in 2Q21, given the positive Hainan duty free sales figures (estimated monthly average of Rmb5bn in Apr and May) as released by the Department of Commerce and good tourist arrival trend in Apr (-1.3% MoM, vs. -13.1% MoM in Apr 2019). We also project an EPS CAGR of 49.2% between FY20 and FY23 with ROE of over 40% consistently.CTG Duty Free's Board has approved its proposed H-share issue, with new shares to be issued amounting to 9.2% of existing capital (including greenshoe). We estimate that the issue may raise HK$47-66bn, making it one of the largest IPOs in Hong Kong in this year.  In our view, the stock should attract good interests given its unique consumption exposure, leadership position and sizeable market capitalisation.

We believe China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH) (CTG Duty Free) will maintain its solid sales momentum in 2Q21, given the positive Hainan duty free sales figures (estimated monthly average of Rmb5bn in Apr and May) as released by the Department of Commerce and good tourist arrival trend in Apr (-1.3% MoM, vs. -13.1% MoM in Apr 2019). We also project an EPS CAGR of 49.2% between FY20 and FY23 with ROE of over 40% consistently.CTG Duty Free's Board has approved its proposed H-share issue, with new shares to be issued amounting to 9.2% of existing capital (including greenshoe). We estimate that the issue may raise HK$47-66bn, making it one of the largest IPOs in Hong Kong in this year.  In our view, the stock should attract good interests given its unique consumption exposure, leadership position and sizeable market capitalisation. 

CTG Duty Free (601888 CH): Latest Updates and Moving Ahead on H-Share IPO

China

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in sales of duty free goods and tax goods. The Company sells tobacco, wine and spirits, perfume, cosmetics, fashion and accessories, watches, jewelry, food, luggage products,and other products. China Tourism Group Duty Free also engages in investment and development of tourism destination commercial complexes.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH)

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ECM Weekly (21st Nov 2021) - Weilong, Cloud Village, SF Intra, China Tourism, Asymchem, Gushengtang

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

CTG Duty Free (601888 CH): Green Light for H-Share IPO and Updated View on Valuation

CTG Duty Free may need to sweeten its upcoming IPO with cheaper multiples especially following a weak 3Q21 result and the pullback in share price...

Osbert Tang, CFA

ECM Weekly (14th November 2021) - Cimory, Infervision, Daiwa House REIT, Weilong Delicious

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

China Tourism Group A/H Listing Early Look - Over US$5bn Raising for a Monopoly on Chinese Tourists

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (601888 CH) aims to raise around US$5-10bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong. It had 92.3% market share by...

Sumeet Singh

CTG Duty Free (601888 CH): Latest Updates and Moving Ahead on H-Share IPO

2Q21 should be another good quarter for CTG Duty Free, based on Customs and tourist arrival figures. Its Board has approved its H-share IPO and we...

Osbert Tang, CFA