Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Today's house price indices data from SouFun-CREIS on new home sales in China show accelerated growth for 100 cities overall index of 10% year-on-year in May, compared to 9% in April. Shenzhen continues to stand out on 12-month basis with 59% increase, ahead of Huizhou and Dongguan (both in Guangdong province) with 35% and 34%, respectively. On sequential month-on-month basis, the 100 cities index increased by 1.7% compared to 1.45% in April. Xiamen and Hefei had strongest sequential…

Today's house price indices data from SouFun-CREIS on new home sales in China show accelerated growth for 100 cities overall index of 10% year-on-year in May, compared to 9% in April. Shenzhen continues to stand out on 12-month basis with 59% increase, ahead of Huizhou and Dongguan (both in Guangdong province) with 35% and 34%, respectively. On sequential month-on-month basis, the 100 cities index increased by 1.7% compared to 1.45% in April. Xiamen and Hefei had strongest sequential…

Editor, Bixmoor

Nick Fielding

Editor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

China's 13th Five Year Plan aims to re-balance the economy, to encourage innovation and to clean up the environment. But a major assessment of the plan finds considerable room for doubt, whilst offering insights into possible areas for investment.

China's 13th Five Year Plan aims to re-balance the economy, to encourage innovation and to clean up the environment. But a major assessment of the plan finds considerable room for doubt, whilst offering insights into possible areas for investment.

Growth with Volatility - The Next Five Years in China

China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Macroeconomics

Despite the seeming aura of calm that had descended on the RMB and PBOC foreign exchange reserves the past few months, this was a deceptive peace.  The stabilization of PBOC FX reserves was driven almost exclusively by back to back months where either the EUR or the JPY each fell by more than 5% against the USD in one month.  During this same time period, outflows continued to grow rapidly as foreign inflows dropped almost 40%.In the past days, the CNY/CNH spread has drifted apart brought back…

Despite the seeming aura of calm that had descended on the RMB and PBOC foreign exchange reserves the past few months, this was a deceptive peace.  The stabilization of PBOC FX reserves was driven almost exclusively by back to back months where either the EUR or the JPY each fell by more than 5% against the USD in one month.  During this same time period, outflows continued to grow rapidly as foreign inflows dropped almost 40%.In the past days, the CNY/CNH spread has drifted apart brought back…

The world and China is discussing in hushed tones the recent exclusive interview given by an “authoritative” person which talked about the need for China to deleverage and how debt cannot continue to increase.  Most have called this a shift in economic policy signaling Chinese intent to get the problem under control.I think we need to be much more cautious about interpreting this as any type of fundamental shift in policy.  Let me give you a number of reasons why.  First, in China an…

The world and China is discussing in hushed tones the recent exclusive interview given by an “authoritative” person which talked about the need for China to deleverage and how debt cannot continue to increase.  Most have called this a shift in economic policy signaling Chinese intent to get the problem under control.I think we need to be much more cautious about interpreting this as any type of fundamental shift in policy.  Let me give you a number of reasons why.  First, in China an…

The Authoritative Person and the Path of Chinese Growth

A lot of how you decide to view the Chinese April trade and foreign exchange report, depends on what exactly you measured.  April exports were higher than March exports but were down YoY and YTD YoY if measured in USD.  However, if measured in RMB exports YoY was actually up 4% but remains down YTD 2.3%.  In some ways, this data can be viewed positively or negatively, but I am going to try and help provide some personal perspective.<ol><li>While the month to month and year over year snapshots are…</li></ol>

A lot of how you decide to view the Chinese April trade and foreign exchange report, depends on what exactly you measured.  April exports were higher than March exports but were down YoY and YTD YoY if measured in USD.  However, if measured in RMB exports YoY was actually up 4% but remains down YTD 2.3%.  In some ways, this data can be viewed positively or negatively, but I am going to try and help provide some personal perspective.While the month to month and year over year snapshots are…

China

China Evergrande Group is an integrated residential property developer. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates in property development, investment, management, finance, internet, health, culture, and tourism markets.

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Evergrande (3333 HK)

Latest China House Price Data

Today's house price indices data from SouFun-CREIS on new home sales in China show accelerated growth for 100 cities overall index of 10%...

Robert Ciemniak

Growth with Volatility - The Next Five Years in China

China's 13th Five Year Plan aims to re-balance the economy, to encourage innovation and to clean up the environment. But a major assessment of the...

Bixmoor

RMB Focus: It Was Too Good to Last

Despite the seeming aura of calm that had descended on the RMB and PBOC foreign exchange reserves the past few months, this was a deceptive peace. ...

Christopher Balding

The Authoritative Person and the Path of Chinese Growth

The world and China is discussing in hushed tones the recent exclusive interview given by an “authoritative” person which talked about the need for...

Christopher Balding

April Trade Data and FX Reserve

A lot of how you decide to view the Chinese April trade and foreign exchange report, depends on what exactly you measured. April exports were...

Christopher Balding

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