China Macroeconomics & Academia

Christopher Balding

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

China Real estate / Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>The world and China is discussing in hushed tones the recent exclusive interview given by an “authoritative” person which talked about the need for China to deleverage and how debt cannot continue to increase.  Most have called this a shift in economic policy signaling Chinese intent to get the problem under control.</p><p>I think we need to be much more cautious about interpreting this as any type of fundamental shift in policy.  Let me give you a number of reasons why.  First, in China an…</p>

The world and China is discussing in hushed tones the recent exclusive interview given by an “authoritative” person which talked about the need for China to deleverage and how debt cannot continue to increase.  Most have called this a shift in economic policy signaling Chinese intent to get the problem under control.I think we need to be much more cautious about interpreting this as any type of fundamental shift in policy.  Let me give you a number of reasons why.  First, in China an…

Dalian Wanda Commercial Properties (1567411D HK)

Haitong Securities Co Ltd (A) (600837 CH)

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank (3618 HK)

Shanghai Pudong Development Bank Co. (600000 CH)

Poly Real Estate Group Co., Ltd (600048 CH)

Grandjoy Holdings Group Co., Ltd. A (000031 CH)

China Merchants Property Develpmt (200024 CH)

Shanghai Lujiazui Finance & Trade Zone (600663 CH)

China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (A) (600999 CH)

China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., (601601 CH)

Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co (600415 CH)

Changjiang Securities Company (000783 CH)

China Merchants Securities Co Ltd (H) (6099 HK)

The Authoritative Person and the Path of Chinese Growth