Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Who says nothing big ever happens in December?This past week we obtained, via legally questionable means, a trove of 2016 Christmas gift lists and related correspondence between a number of high-profile individuals and Santa Claus himself. The data dump also includes confidential emails between Mr. Claus and his staff and family members, and offers a window onto arguably the world's most successful (and festive) logistics operation. We contacted a public relations firm representing Santa Claus…

Who says nothing big ever happens in December?This past week we obtained, via legally questionable means, a trove of 2016 Christmas gift lists and related correspondence between a number of high-profile individuals and Santa Claus himself. The data dump also includes confidential emails between Mr. Claus and his staff and family members, and offers a window onto arguably the world's most successful (and festive) logistics operation. We contacted a public relations firm representing Santa Claus…

BREAKING: Confidential Santa Claus Correspondence Leaked! Way Too Hot (And Salty!) For Wikileaks!

Transport Sector, China and Asia-focused Research

Charles De Trenck

Note: wins and losses are listed at the end of the piece.Transport has been on a roll. A month ago we saw crazy buying any which way with weak names rising more than better names. US Rail has done ok though not stellar. US Airlines have done better. Especially after Warren Buffett portfolio managers did the unthinkable and bought <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3663" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3663:1">American Airlines Group Inc (AAL US)</a>, DAL US and UAL US (announced mid Nov). But US airlines is a whole other turnaround story. Not your run of the mill core transport…

Note: wins and losses are listed at the end of the piece.Transport has been on a roll. A month ago we saw crazy buying any which way with weak names rising more than better names. US Rail has done ok though not stellar. US Airlines have done better. Especially after Warren Buffett portfolio managers did the unthinkable and bought American Airlines Group Inc (AAL US), DAL US and UAL US (announced mid Nov). But US airlines is a whole other turnaround story. Not your run of the mill core transport…

The Rally in Transport Continues in Twists and Turns

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Results of listed terminal operators reveal a weakness in organic earnings as gearing increases. Stricter cost rationalisation and financial risk reduction will retain investment interest. Companies with growth plans command a significant market premium as profitability diminishes.

Results of listed terminal operators reveal a weakness in organic earnings as gearing increases. Stricter cost rationalisation and financial risk reduction will retain investment interest. Companies with growth plans command a significant market premium as profitability diminishes.

Global Port Operators - 3Q16 Profitability Trends Lower on Slackening Growth

Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

The stock of foreign direct investment into the "One Belt One Road" bloc is a small share of global investment; nonetheless, the bloc's share of global greenfield investment remain disproportionately large.Examination of large OBOR-resident firms and the composition of their assets and revenues show that many firms in the region remain much more dependent on Chinese sales than do Chinese firms on foreign-earned sales.  Nonetheless, the diversion of Chinese investment from domestic to overseas (as China rebalances its domestic growth away from domestic investment) could potentially shift this dynamic.  Large Chinese firms leading the charge abroad tend to belong to the Transport and Storage and Computer Equipment sectors.Meanwhile, large firms resident in OBOR tend already to be much more dependent on foreign-earned revenue; some of those more dependent on Chinese domestic demand  rather than regional demand may experience fallout from China's rebalancing.  Others exposed to growth elsewhere in the region may benefit, or themselves become targets for Chinese cross-border acquisitions within the region.

The stock of foreign direct investment into the "One Belt One Road" bloc is a small share of global investment; nonetheless, the bloc's share of global greenfield investment remain disproportionately large.Examination of large OBOR-resident firms and the composition of their assets and revenues show that many firms in the region remain much more dependent on Chinese sales than do Chinese firms on foreign-earned sales.  Nonetheless, the diversion of Chinese investment from domestic to overseas (as China rebalances its domestic growth away from domestic investment) could potentially shift this dynamic.  Large Chinese firms leading the charge abroad tend to belong to the Transport and Storage and Computer Equipment sectors.Meanwhile, large firms resident in OBOR tend already to be much more dependent on foreign-earned revenue; some of those more dependent on Chinese domestic demand  rather than regional demand may experience fallout from China's rebalancing.  Others exposed to growth elsewhere in the region may benefit, or themselves become targets for Chinese cross-border acquisitions within the region.

Silk Roads Part 3: China and OBOR Investment

In the first piece of the series <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/silk-roads-part-i-background" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:7042">Silk Roads Part I: Background</a> we outlined briefly the drivers behind China's "One Belt One Road" initiative which in our view remains an important complementary external pillar to China's ongoing domestic policy agenda, and thus a high-conviction longer-term investment theme. In the second piece in our Silk Roads series, we situate the OBOR bloc in terms of current liquid investment securities.OBOR markets already comprise 22% of world market capitalisation and are home to about 60% of cross-border investment capital resident in emerging market economies worldwide.  Of that 60%, 40% of this capital is resident in China. From an investment strategy standpoint, this shows that, while beneficiaries of the policy exist further afield than in China itself, there are merits in focusing on those Chinese names exposed to OBOR investments as the first port-of-call.

In the first piece of the series Silk Roads Part I: Background we outlined briefly the drivers behind China's "One Belt One Road" initiative which in our view remains an important complementary external pillar to China's ongoing domestic policy agenda, and thus a high-conviction longer-term investment theme. In the second piece in our Silk Roads series, we situate the OBOR bloc in terms of current liquid investment securities.OBOR markets already comprise 22% of world market capitalisation and are home to about 60% of cross-border investment capital resident in emerging market economies worldwide.  Of that 60%, 40% of this capital is resident in China. From an investment strategy standpoint, this shows that, while beneficiaries of the policy exist further afield than in China itself, there are merits in focusing on those Chinese names exposed to OBOR investments as the first port-of-call. 

Silk Roads Part 2: Big (Emerging Market) OBOR Investors

China

China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the civil aviation industry. It offers passenger, cargo, mail delivery, ground, cargo handling, and other extended transportation services.

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China Eastern Airlines (670 HK)

BREAKING: Confidential Santa Claus Correspondence Leaked! Way Too Hot (And Salty!) For Wikileaks!

Who says nothing big ever happens in December?This past week we obtained, via legally questionable means, a trove of 2016 Christmas gift lists and...

Daniel Hellberg

The Rally in Transport Continues in Twists and Turns

Note: wins and losses are listed at the end of the piece.Transport has been on a roll. A month ago we saw crazy buying any which way with weak...

Charles De Trenck

Global Port Operators - 3Q16 Profitability Trends Lower on Slackening Growth

Results of listed terminal operators reveal a weakness in organic earnings as gearing increases. Stricter cost rationalisation and financial risk...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Silk Roads Part 3: China and OBOR Investment

The stock of foreign direct investment into the "One Belt One Road" bloc is a small share of global investment; nonetheless, the bloc's share of...

Naomi Fink

Silk Roads Part 2: Big (Emerging Market) OBOR Investors

In the first piece of the series Silk Roads Part I: Background we outlined briefly the drivers behind China's "One Belt One Road" initiative which...

Naomi Fink

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