HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The turnaround of sports business at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-dongxiang-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1068:1" rel="noopener">China Dongxiang (3818 HK)</a> is very welcoming. We are glad that sales trend in Oct-Nov is sustained and Phenix brand is well-received.</li>
<li>Reported losses widened as poor market environment enlarged investment losses. However, net cash and investment portfolio are still valued at Rmb8.5bn, or 5.9x its market capitalisation. </li>
<li>CNDX looks comfortably at over 6% full-year dividend yield. Together with just 0.15x P/B, there are enough protections for the downside of the stock.  </li>
</ul>


The turnaround of sports business at China Dongxiang (3818 HK) is very welcoming. We are glad that sales trend in Oct-Nov is sustained and Phenix brand is well-received.
Reported losses widened as poor market environment enlarged investment losses. However, net cash and investment portfolio are still valued at Rmb8.5bn, or 5.9x its market capitalisation. 
CNDX looks comfortably at over 6% full-year dividend yield. Together with just 0.15x P/B, there are enough protections for the downside of the stock.  


China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Turned Around on Sports Business

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-dongxiang-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1068:1" rel="noopener">China Dongxiang (3818 HK)</a> posted good FY22/23 result, supporting by sharp recovery in its investment portfolio contribution. Its apparel business also witnessed narrowing losses.</li>
<li>It trades on 0.2x P/B, with most of book value being cash and investment portfolio. It is true that it deserves a discount but this is just too deep.</li>
<li>Fading pandemic impact should be positive to CNDX's apparel business - it has already witnessed a 5.6pp increase in offline sales. More brand promotion should be a positive driver.</li>
</ul>



China Dongxiang (3818 HK) posted good FY22/23 result, supporting by sharp recovery in its investment portfolio contribution. Its apparel business also witnessed narrowing losses.
It trades on 0.2x P/B, with most of book value being cash and investment portfolio. It is true that it deserves a discount but this is just too deep.
Fading pandemic impact should be positive to CNDX's apparel business - it has already witnessed a 5.6pp increase in offline sales. More brand promotion should be a positive driver.


China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Demonstrating the Capability to Come Back

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a> disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Liu Xiaosong (Founder, Chairman, CEO) at HK$0.36 per share, a 162.8% premium to the last close price. </li>
<li>The massive premium is unsurprising, as A8’s EV has been negative since April 2023 due to headwinds from the weak Chinese leasing sector and uncertainty about cash use.  </li>
<li>The high takeover premium, no shareholder holding a blocking stake, and low AGM minority participation rate point to a done deal. However, this is a small-cap illiquid stock.  </li>
</ul>



A8 New Media (800 HK) disclosed a Cayman scheme privatisation offer from Mr Liu Xiaosong (Founder, Chairman, CEO) at HK$0.36 per share, a 162.8% premium to the last close price. 
The massive premium is unsurprising, as A8’s EV has been negative since April 2023 due to headwinds from the weak Chinese leasing sector and uncertainty about cash use.  
The high takeover premium, no shareholder holding a blocking stake, and low AGM minority participation rate point to a done deal. However, this is a small-cap illiquid stock.  


A8 New Media (800 HK): A Scheme with a 162% Takeover Premium

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>More policy measures will be rolled out by the Chinese government to support domestic consumption in 2022; and the growing nationalistic trend will benefit leading domestic brands. </li>
<li>Within the consumer discretionary sector, we identify <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> as the prime beneficiaries of this trend.</li>
<li>All of them are leaders in their respective sub-segment, have exemplary competitive edges against foreign players and are investing heavily in technology and distribution to solidify their moats. </li>
</ul>


More policy measures will be rolled out by the Chinese government to support domestic consumption in 2022; and the growing nationalistic trend will benefit leading domestic brands. 
Within the consumer discretionary sector, we identify Anta Sports Products (2020 HK), Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK) and Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) as the prime beneficiaries of this trend.
All of them are leaders in their respective sub-segment, have exemplary competitive edges against foreign players and are investing heavily in technology and distribution to solidify their moats. 


China Consumer Discretionary: Beneficiaries of The Nationalistic Trend

<ul>
<li>After a solid FY23, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a>'s outlook for FY24 looks equally encouraging. Its various brands are expected to grow by 10-30% YoY still.  </li>
<li>Listing of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> will provide Rmb1.6bn non-recurring gain in 1H24. For the full year, there will be a positive swing in its profit contribution. </li>
<li>Anta Sports can be considered as a sportswear brand incubator, and its premium PERs of 18.3x and 15.9x for FY24 and FY25 reflect the ability to brew new brands. </li>
</ul>


After a solid FY23, Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)'s outlook for FY24 looks equally encouraging. Its various brands are expected to grow by 10-30% YoY still.  
Listing of Amer Sports (AS US) will provide Rmb1.6bn non-recurring gain in 1H24. For the full year, there will be a positive swing in its profit contribution. 
Anta Sports can be considered as a sportswear brand incubator, and its premium PERs of 18.3x and 15.9x for FY24 and FY25 reflect the ability to brew new brands. 


Anta Sports (2020 HK): Sustains Strengths into FY24

China

Sinoer Men's Wear Company Limited designs, manufactures and markets suits, shirts and other apparel products. The Company sales its products through outlets, franchises, group orders, original equipment manufacturers and direct sales.

Jiangsu lianfa textile Co.Ltd. Manufactures and sell woven fabric, apparel and textile.  The Company's products include pure cotton fabric, cotton yarn, special fiber, and shirt.

Goldleaf Jewelry Co Ltd is a jewelry company based on China. Its main business is investing in gold mining and juwelry retail sales.

Zhejiang Aokang Shoes Co. Ltd. manufactures shoes. The Company develops, designs, and produces leather shoes for men, women, and children, as well as offers custom-made shoes. Zhejiang Aokang Shoes also manufactures and sells leather belts, wallets, suitcases, and other leather products.

Zhejiang Bangjie Digital Knitting Share Company Limited develops, produces and sells seamless garments. The Company's main products include seamless underwear, sportswear, casual wear, and suits.

Zhejiang Golden Eagle Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells a variety of textile products, including spun silk and linen products.  The Company also designs and produces apparel and textile machinery.

Xinlong Holding (Group) Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets nonwoven fabrics and other products. The Company's operations include spunlace and thermal bond nonwovens, electrolutic copper, cellular phone, and other products.

Xinlong Holding (Group) Company Ltd (000955 CH)

Best Pacific International Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides lingerie materials. The Company manufactures elastic fabrics, webbing and lace.

Best Pacific International Holdings (2111 HK)

Zhejiang Giuseppe Garment Company Limited manufactures and sells business suits, men's and casual wear. The Company's main products include men's and women's suits, trousers, vests, skirts, shirts, jackets, and windbreakers.

Sou Yu Te Fashion Company Limited mainly engages in sale of garments,footwear, textiles and leather products. It also provides services in Internet retail, trade brokerage, warehouse and catering.

TSUTSUMI JEWELRY CO., LTD. designs, manufactures, and sells wholesale and retail jewelry.  The Company sells mainly rings, necklaces, and bracelets.  Tsutsumi Jewelry operates directly managed stores based in Saitama prefecture.

MORITO CO., LTD., founded in 1908 is a distributor primarily handling footwear, apparel, and wide-use materials.  The Company designs, manufactures, and distributes products such as apparel accessories, shoes materials, auto interior parts, and camera related products. The company also operates business in Europe, America, China, and Southeast Asia countries.

Nitin Spinners Ltd. manufactures yarns and knitted fabrics. The Company produces yarns for terrycloth towels, denims, furnishing fabrics, carpets and industrial fabrics, and knitted fabrics for the apparel industry.

Shinsung Tongsang Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells ladies' and men's garments.  The Company's products include shirts, sweaters, jackets, suits, pants, and skirts.  Shinsung Tongsang markets its products under the brand names such as Union Bay, Olzen, and Ziozia and supplies them to JC Penney, Sears, and Target. In addition, the Company operates construction business.

Magni-Tech Industries Berhad is an investment holding company which provides management services. Through its subsidiaries, the Company manufactures and distributes flexible plastic packaging materials, inner packaging boxes, fiberboards, cartons, and boxes for industrial and commercial uses.

Hong Ho Precision Textile Co., Ltd. manufactures a variety of fabrics and clothes.

Handsome Co., Ltd. manufactures and retails women's and men's apparel, furs, and accessories.  The Company provides its products to domestic department stores.

Sinotop Holding Bhd manufactures textiles and apparel. The Company manufactures customized woven fabrics from cotton and synthetic and mixed yarns, and apparel for men and children.

Sabina PCL manufactures women's underwear.  The Company produces panties, brassieres, and lingerie.

Tah Hsin Industrial Corp manufactures raincoats, garments, plastic wardrobes, leather products, bags, corrugated boards, folders, and shoes.  The Company markets its products under the CARRY, PRO RAINER, RED LEDGE, and OIA brand names.  Also, Tah Hsin Industrial operates as a distributor to sell the ECCO, REGAL, and MADRAS shoes.

China Dongxiang Group Co Ltd retails sportswear apparel products.

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China Dongxiang (3818 HK)