Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

This is a new H/A Spread monitor project which attempts to give a brief look at recent changes in H-Share and A-Share spreads based on various influences and sector patterns. 
<h2>H-Share/A-Share Discounts, Changes over 1wk, 4wks and Changes in Southbound Flow</h2>
The first set of tables below show...
<ul>
<li class="">the discount of the major H-share listed companies to their respective A-share,</li>
<li class="">the change in discount over 1-week and 4-weeks (positive number means the H has outperformed the A),</li>
<li class="">a measure of decile…</li>
</ul>

This is a new H/A Spread monitor project which attempts to give a brief look at recent changes in H-Share and A-Share spreads based on various influences and sector patterns. 
H-Share/A-Share Discounts, Changes over 1wk, 4wks and Changes in Southbound Flow
The first set of tables below show...

the discount of the major H-share listed companies to their respective A-share,
the change in discount over 1-week and 4-weeks (positive number means the H has outperformed the A),
a measure of decile…


Quiddity Weekly H/A: Shares Discounts & Southbound Flows 20180112

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Actionable Charts from Smart Karma’s Most-Searched Tickers.We ran through a list of the most frequently searched tickers on the SmartKarma platform using the Discovery Tool.  Notable themes include:<ul><li>Add exposure to Energy and Materials. </li><li>Financial stocks are strengthening. </li><li>Avoid Australian banks. </li></ul>See the attached report for a complete list of our recommendations from this list.

Actionable Charts from Smart Karma’s Most-Searched Tickers.We ran through a list of the most frequently searched tickers on the SmartKarma platform using the Discovery Tool.  Notable themes include:Add exposure to Energy and Materials. Financial stocks are strengthening. Avoid Australian banks. See the attached report for a complete list of our recommendations from this list.

China, Emerging Markets

Ryan Soh 苏祥发

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

A full translation of an article measuring the progress of deleveraging from a People's Bank of China mouthpiece website at the end of last month yields interesting results for those otherwise used to relying on intermediaries for partial summaries and interpretations.The article summarises the initial results obtained from deleveraging, acknowledges the unbalanced structure of enterprise debt, sees deleveraging as an opportunity for reform of state-owned enterprises, and contemplates the creation of a debt-to-equity swap market by 'qualified implementation agencies'. The full translation is included as an attachment.

A full translation of an article measuring the progress of deleveraging from a People's Bank of China mouthpiece website at the end of last month yields interesting results for those otherwise used to relying on intermediaries for partial summaries and interpretations.The article summarises the initial results obtained from deleveraging, acknowledges the unbalanced structure of enterprise debt, sees deleveraging as an opportunity for reform of state-owned enterprises, and contemplates the creation of a debt-to-equity swap market by 'qualified implementation agencies'. The full translation is included as an attachment.  

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

* Massaged Results in Mainland China: We anticipate that most financial institutions will manufacture results somewhat, but when no one is minding the store much cheating will occur.  Standard Chartered (China) [SCC] is no exception. Excluding non-core gains, and under-provisioning for loans and taxes, we calculate an overstatement of bottom-line results in the neighborhood of 91%. Further, SCC now focuses its more of its on volatile/lower quality F/X revenues to support the bottom-line.    *…

* Massaged Results in Mainland China: We anticipate that most financial institutions will manufacture results somewhat, but when no one is minding the store much cheating will occur.  Standard Chartered (China) [SCC] is no exception. Excluding non-core gains, and under-provisioning for loans and taxes, we calculate an overstatement of bottom-line results in the neighborhood of 91%. Further, SCC now focuses its more of its on volatile/lower quality F/X revenues to support the bottom-line.    *…

Standard Chartered (China) – Not Sure Whether to Laugh or Cry

Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Credit

HNA has grown so Huge it has become a National interest, in our judgment. Its Aggressive acquisitions backed by rising leverage have raised execution as well as refinancing risks. The group's reliance on shadow banking to reach its global aspiration leads us to question the management's long-term strategy.  Questionable corporate governance makes it difficult to measure the company's willingness to pay. Though we believe HNA's importance to the Chinese economy could mean an implicit support from the central government or government-owned banks, near-term refinancing risk toward August 2019 pose asymmetric downside risk and we are UNDERWEIGHT on the SANYPH and HONAIR complexes as well as GRCHAR 19s.

HNA has grown so Huge it has become a National interest, in our judgment. Its Aggressive acquisitions backed by rising leverage have raised execution as well as refinancing risks. The group's reliance on shadow banking to reach its global aspiration leads us to question the management's long-term strategy.  Questionable corporate governance makes it difficult to measure the company's willingness to pay. Though we believe HNA's importance to the Chinese economy could mean an implicit support from the central government or government-owned banks, near-term refinancing risk toward August 2019 pose asymmetric downside risk and we are UNDERWEIGHT on the SANYPH and HONAIR complexes as well as GRCHAR 19s.

China

China Construction Bank Corporation provides a comprehensive range of commercial banking products and services to individuals and corporate customers. The Bank's business consists of three principal business segments: corporate banking, personal banking, and treasury operations. China Construction Bank also services infrastructure loans, residential mortgage, and bank cards.

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China Construction Bank H (939 HK)

Quiddity Weekly H/A: Shares Discounts & Southbound Flows 20180112

This is a new H/A Spread monitor project which attempts to give a brief look at recent changes in H-Share and A-Share spreads based on various...

Travis Lundy

Popular Stocks, Attractive Charts

Actionable Charts from Smart Karma’s Most-Searched Tickers.We ran through a list of the most frequently searched tickers on the SmartKarma platform...

Vermilion Research

Deleveraging in China: A Translation

A full translation of an article measuring the progress of deleveraging from a People's Bank of China mouthpiece website at the end of last month...

Ryan Soh 苏祥发

Standard Chartered (China) – Not Sure Whether to Laugh or Cry

* Massaged Results in Mainland China: We anticipate that most financial institutions will manufacture results somewhat, but when no one is minding...

Thomas J. Monaco

HNA: Huge,National, & Aggressive

HNA has grown so Huge it has become a National interest, in our judgment. Its Aggressive acquisitions backed by rising leverage have raised...

Bondcritic

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