Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 12th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We estimate the inflows to be USD 580m and highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 12th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We estimate the inflows to be USD 580m and highlight flows for ICBC (1398 HK).


<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 5th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Petrochina (857 HK), Bosideng (3998 HK), Anta Sports (2020 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 5th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Petrochina (857 HK), Bosideng (3998 HK), Anta Sports (2020 HK).


HK Short Interest Weekly: Petrochina, Bosideng, Anta Sports

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li><em>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</em></li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND inflow continues, albeit smaller. SOE Banks/Energy remain a big net buy. SOUTHBOUND Net buying as a percent of volume on SOE Banks and Energy is HUGE.</li>
<li>Wide spreads (high AH premium) saw H outperform, but narrow spreads saw Hs underperform significantly. Again.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND inflow continues, albeit smaller. SOE Banks/Energy remain a big net buy. SOUTHBOUND Net buying as a percent of volume on SOE Banks and Energy is HUGE.
Wide spreads (high AH premium) saw H outperform, but narrow spreads saw Hs underperform significantly. Again.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 5 Jul 2024):  Spread Curve Torsion Still Strong

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$10.9bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Banks were a big buy.</li>
<li>The more I watch, the more I think the last few months have had serious national team buying of banks and energy, perhaps ahead of shareholder return policy changes.</li>
<li>But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer, for HK$10.9bn this week, on smallish two-way volumes. Banks were a big buy.
The more I watch, the more I think the last few months have had serious national team buying of banks and energy, perhaps ahead of shareholder return policy changes.
But valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 5 Jul 2024); SOE Bank and SOE Petro-Energy Flows Dominate

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 5th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,769.7 million, led by information technology, materials, industrials, and offset by communication services, real estate, utilities.</li>
<li>We note that outflows have been consecutive for four weeks and highlight outflows for CATL (300750 CH).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 5th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,769.7 million, led by information technology, materials, industrials, and offset by communication services, real estate, utilities.
We note that outflows have been consecutive for four weeks and highlight outflows for CATL (300750 CH).


Northbound Flows (Jul 5th): 4 Weeks of Outflows

China

China Construction Bank Corporation provides a comprehensive range of commercial banking products and services to individuals and corporate customers. The Bank's business consists of three principal business segments: corporate banking, personal banking, and treasury operations. China Construction Bank also services infrastructure loans, residential mortgage, and bank cards.

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China Construction Bank H (939 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jul 12th): ICBC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week. We estimate that there were inflows of USD 580.9 million and highlight flows for...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Petrochina, Bosideng, Anta Sports

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 5th and highlight short interest changes in Petrochina, Bosideng, Anta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 5 Jul 2024): Spread Curve Torsion Still Strong

SOUTHBOUND was a buy, NORTHBOUND a sell. HA Premia contracted slightly but wide premia saw significant H outperformance, narrow premia saw A...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 5 Jul 2024); SOE Bank and SOE Petro-Energy Flows Dominate

SOUTHBOUND flows this week were net positive every day. SOE Banks and SOE Energy names absolutely dominated the net buy list. The rest is kind of a...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Jul 5th): 4 Weeks of Outflows

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week. We estimate the outflows to be USD1.8bn and highlight flows for CATL.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)