Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Increased demand from power plants under construction outside  G-7 countries</li>
<li>There is constrained supply as with many other fossil fuels</li>
<li>We look at a basket of coal stocks with good balance sheets and increasing production</li>
</ul>


Increased demand from power plants under construction outside  G-7 countries
There is constrained supply as with many other fossil fuels
We look at a basket of coal stocks with good balance sheets and increasing production


Coal Is Back - The Real Inconvenient Truth

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China’s economic data is continuing to surprise on the upside.</li>
<li>Investors are starting to take notice and good news is not being ignored – a sign of a change in sentiment.</li>
<li>Economically sensitive and commodity-related sectors a good hunting ground for absolute returns</li>
</ul>


China’s economic data is continuing to surprise on the upside.
Investors are starting to take notice and good news is not being ignored – a sign of a change in sentiment.
Economically sensitive and commodity-related sectors a good hunting ground for absolute returns


What's up with Hong Kong? Bull Market Dude!

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shougang-fushan-resources-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19494:1" rel="noopener">Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK)</a> has launched a partial offer to acquire a maximum of 125.0m shares (2.47% of outstanding) at HK$2.40 per share, a 17.6% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>The partial offer is conditional on approval by more than 50% of disinterested shares and the shareholder approval of the whitewash waiver. There is no minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>The 2020 partial offer, which was at a 9.3% premium to the undisturbed price and -17% below the current offer, was overwhelmingly approved. Therefore, the current offer should be approved.  </li>
</ul>



Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK) has launched a partial offer to acquire a maximum of 125.0m shares (2.47% of outstanding) at HK$2.40 per share, a 17.6% premium to the undisturbed price.
The partial offer is conditional on approval by more than 50% of disinterested shares and the shareholder approval of the whitewash waiver. There is no minimum acceptance condition.
The 2020 partial offer, which was at a 9.3% premium to the undisturbed price and -17% below the current offer, was overwhelmingly approved. Therefore, the current offer should be approved.  


Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK): Partial Offer at HK$2.40

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.3% as of Sep 13th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by energy, utilities, industrials and offset by health care, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SINOPEC, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC Group, Tigermed, CanSinoBIO, SMIC, Hua Hong Semi, Shanghai Pharma.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.3% as of Sep 13th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by energy, utilities, industrials and offset by health care, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SINOPEC, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC Group, Tigermed, CanSinoBIO, SMIC, Hua Hong Semi, Shanghai Pharma.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 13th): Sinopec, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC, Tigermed

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>ETF flows in the Asian region continued their positive momentum during August with Southbound Connect positive again for the week.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stella-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7610:1" rel="noopener">Stella International (1836 HK)</a> will increase its dividends and buybacks after positive earnings surprise. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)</a> saw a surge in new policies from mainlanders in HK.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lufax-holding-ltd-b751749a-8feb-4b4d-85a7-d99ac0308fe7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40067:1" rel="noopener">Lufax Holding (6623 HK)</a> reported an earnings miss with declining loan volume. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8427:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (3668 HK)</a> reported a decline of 57% in earnings which was below analysts' estimates.
</li>
</ul>


ETF flows in the Asian region continued their positive momentum during August with Southbound Connect positive again for the week.

Stella International (1836 HK) will increase its dividends and buybacks after positive earnings surprise. AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK) saw a surge in new policies from mainlanders in HK.


Lufax Holding (6623 HK) reported an earnings miss with declining loan volume. Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) reported a decline of 57% in earnings which was below analysts' estimates.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 26)

China

China Coal Energy Company Ltd mines and markets thermal coal and coking coal. The Company also manufactures coal mining equipment and offers coal mine design services.

Price Gauge
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China Coal Energy Co H (1898 HK)

Coal Is Back - The Real Inconvenient Truth

Growing demand for coal outside of G-7 countries is putting pressure on already limited supply, leading to opportunities in coal stocks with...

Rikki Malik

What's up with Hong Kong? Bull Market Dude!

China's stronger economic data is catching investors' attention, signalling a shift in sentiment and highlighting opportunities in economically...

Rikki Malik

Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK): Partial Offer at HK$2.40

The 2020 partial offer, which was at a lower premium to the undisturbed price and -17% below the current offer, was overwhelmingly approved....

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 13th): Sinopec, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC, Tigermed

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SINOPEC, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC Group, Tigermed,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 26)

ETF flows were again led by China. Stella International reported a surge in earnings and AIA announced new policy growth exceeded expectations....

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Coal Is Back - The Real Inconvenient Truth

​Growing demand for coal outside of G-7 countries is putting pressure on already limited supply, leading to opportunities in coal stocks with...

Rikki Malik

What's up with Hong Kong? Bull Market Dude!

​China's stronger economic data is catching investors' attention, signalling a shift in sentiment and highlighting opportunities in economically...

Rikki Malik

Shougang Fushan Resources (639 HK): Partial Offer at HK$2.40

The 2020 partial offer, which was at a lower premium to the undisturbed price and -17% below the current offer, was overwhelmingly approved....

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 13th): Sinopec, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC, Tigermed

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SINOPEC, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC Group, Tigermed,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 26)

ETF flows were again led by China. Stella International reported a surge in earnings and AIA announced new policy growth exceeded expectations....

David Mudd

Growing demand for coal outside of G-7 countries is putting pressure on already limited supply, leading to opportunities in coal stocks with...

China's stronger economic data is catching investors' attention, signalling a shift in sentiment and highlighting opportunities in economically...