Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Several US customs brokers have been suspended under new, tighter rules</li>
<li>The new rules could make 'de minimis' imports slightly more difficult</li>
<li>Whether it lists in London or NYC, additional rule changes could threaten SHEIN</li>
</ul>


Several US customs brokers have been suspended under new, tighter rules
The new rules could make 'de minimis' imports slightly more difficult
Whether it lists in London or NYC, additional rule changes could threaten SHEIN


SHEIN: Several US Customs Broker Suspensions Tied to Tighter 'de Minimis' Rules

Global Mobility/Transport, Equity Long-Short

Mohshin Aziz

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In aggregate, traffic among the Big-3 Chinese airlines was up 67% YoY in February and +18% vs 2019. Incontestable proof that China has regained its air travel mojo. </li>
<li>Published March schedules show total implied capacity is 31% higher YoY and 9% higher than 2019 levels. This is driven by domestic travel, international remains depressed. </li>
<li>Driven by domestic travel, international remains depressed. POSITIVE for China Eastern and other North Asian carriers that provide the missing North America link. </li>
</ul>


In aggregate, traffic among the Big-3 Chinese airlines was up 67% YoY in February and +18% vs 2019. Incontestable proof that China has regained its air travel mojo. 
Published March schedules show total implied capacity is 31% higher YoY and 9% higher than 2019 levels. This is driven by domestic travel, international remains depressed. 
Driven by domestic travel, international remains depressed. POSITIVE for China Eastern and other North Asian carriers that provide the missing North America link. 


China BIG-3 Mainland Airlines Traffic 18% Higher than 2019!

<ul>
<li>Jet fuel price has declined in the past two months and is 20% lower than the September peak. Positive for airlines but we have yet to see any earnings upgrade   </li>
<li>All the Chines state carriers (Air China, China Eastern and China Southern) and Taiwan's EVA Airways are unhedged, benefiting the most from this lower fuel price trend </li>
<li>Worst off due to fuel hedge cover at higher than current market prices are Qantas Airways (75% hedged), Air New Zealand (54% hedged) and Japan Airlines (40% hedged)  </li>
</ul>


Jet fuel price has declined in the past two months and is 20% lower than the September peak. Positive for airlines but we have yet to see any earnings upgrade   
All the Chines state carriers (Air China, China Eastern and China Southern) and Taiwan's EVA Airways are unhedged, benefiting the most from this lower fuel price trend 
Worst off due to fuel hedge cover at higher than current market prices are Qantas Airways (75% hedged), Air New Zealand (54% hedged) and Japan Airlines (40% hedged)  


Lower Fuel Price, Which Asia Pacific Airline Benefits and Suffers the Most?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 6th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,025.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,710mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material, China Airlines, Accton Technology, Hon Hai Precision Industry.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 6th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,025.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,710mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material, China Airlines, Accton Technology, Hon Hai Precision Industry.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 6th): TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 29th which has an aggregated holding worth USD969.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,625mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Catcher Technology, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Asustek Computer, UMC, Mediatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 29th which has an aggregated holding worth USD969.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,625mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Catcher Technology, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Asustek Computer, UMC, Mediatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 29th): Catcher Technology, TSMC, Hon Hai, Asustek Computer, UMC

Taiwan

China Airlines Limited provides scheduled international air transportation for passengers and cargo freight throughout cities in Europe, America, Asia, and Australia.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Airlines (2610 TT)

SHEIN: Several US Customs Broker Suspensions Tied to Tighter 'de Minimis' Rules

US Customs and Border Protection has tightened the rules under which SHEIN and Temu import cheap goods into the US. As a result, six US customs...

Tracking Traffic

China BIG-3 Mainland Airlines Traffic 18% Higher than 2019!

Chinese airlines see significant increase in traffic, with domestic travel driving growth while international remains depressed. China's air...

Mohshin Aziz

Lower Fuel Price, Which Asia Pacific Airline Benefits and Suffers the Most?

Jet fuel prices have been declining and this is good for airlines. The impact varies according to average flight length and fuel hedge exposure....

Mohshin Aziz

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 6th): TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 29th): Catcher Technology, TSMC, Hon Hai, Asustek Computer, UMC

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Catcher Technology, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SHEIN: Several US Customs Broker Suspensions Tied to Tighter 'de Minimis' Rules

US Customs and Border Protection has tightened the rules under which SHEIN and Temu import cheap goods into the US. As a result, six US customs...

Tracking Traffic

China BIG-3 Mainland Airlines Traffic 18% Higher than 2019!

​Chinese airlines see significant increase in traffic, with domestic travel driving growth while international remains depressed. China's air...

Mohshin Aziz

Lower Fuel Price, Which Asia Pacific Airline Benefits and Suffers the Most?

​Jet fuel prices have been declining and this is good for airlines. The impact varies according to average flight length and fuel hedge exposure....

Mohshin Aziz

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 6th): TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 29th): Catcher Technology, TSMC, Hon Hai, Asustek Computer, UMC

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Catcher Technology, TSMC, Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chinese airlines see significant increase in traffic, with domestic travel driving growth while international remains depressed. China's air...

Jet fuel prices have been declining and this is good for airlines. The impact varies according to average flight length and fuel hedge exposure....