Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>COP27, the 27th annual United Nations international conference on climate change, starts on 6 November and runs through 18 November – in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.</li>
<li>Whereas climate mitigation and clean energy were the main focus of prior conferences, climate adaptation and sustainable agriculture and food are top priorities for the COP26 Presidency.</li>
<li>Therefore, agriculture and food stocks are poised to be the most impacted on a relative basis by COP27 proceedings and outcomes. This Insight considers the potential "winners and losers."</li>
</ul>


COP27, the 27th annual United Nations international conference on climate change, starts on 6 November and runs through 18 November – in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.
Whereas climate mitigation and clean energy were the main focus of prior conferences, climate adaptation and sustainable agriculture and food are top priorities for the COP26 Presidency.
Therefore, agriculture and food stocks are poised to be the most impacted on a relative basis by COP27 proceedings and outcomes. This Insight considers the potential "winners and losers."


COP27: Agriculture and Food Stocks Likely to Be Most Affected by Conference Talks

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>PAG is the successful bidder for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a>'s controlling shareholder’s 70.92% stake at HK$1.5132 per H Share (RMB1.3822 per domestic share).</li>
<li>As PAG has no compulsory acquisition rights, it will also seek shareholder delisting approval. The MGO is not conditional on the approval of the delisting resolution.</li>
<li>The share sale transfer requires SAMR approval which will be forthcoming. Our best guess is the MGO completes end-January 2023. At the last close, the gross spread is 14.6%.</li>
</ul>


PAG is the successful bidder for Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)'s controlling shareholder’s 70.92% stake at HK$1.5132 per H Share (RMB1.3822 per domestic share).
As PAG has no compulsory acquisition rights, it will also seek shareholder delisting approval. The MGO is not conditional on the approval of the delisting resolution.
The share sale transfer requires SAMR approval which will be forthcoming. Our best guess is the MGO completes end-January 2023. At the last close, the gross spread is 14.6%.


Fengxiang’s Unconditional MGO at HK$ 1.5132 from PAG

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>. </li>
<li>As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>


I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group (TU TB). 
As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.
In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.


I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

<ul>
<li>A <a href="https://susong-item.taobao.com/auction/683969821701.htm?spm=a213w.7398554.paiList.1.51e41fa3epY51Y" target="_blank" rel="noopener">successful bidder</a> (identity unknown at the time of writing) has emerged for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a> controlling shareholder’s 70.92% stake at the base bid price of RMB1,372.2 million.</li>
<li>As the bidder will hold 30% or more of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO at RMB1.383 per share (HK$1.526 at the <a href="https://www.bankofchina.com/sourcedb/whpj/enindex_1619.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">median BOC</a> FX of 0.9056).  </li>
<li>The transfer of the sale shares is subject to completion procedures. Our best guess is the offer completes end-January 2023. At the last close, the gross spread is 15.6%. </li>
</ul>


A successful bidder (identity unknown at the time of writing) has emerged for Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK) controlling shareholder’s 70.92% stake at the base bid price of RMB1,372.2 million.
As the bidder will hold 30% or more of the voting rights, it will result in an MGO at RMB1.383 per share (HK$1.526 at the median BOC FX of 0.9056).  
The transfer of the sale shares is subject to completion procedures. Our best guess is the offer completes end-January 2023. At the last close, the gross spread is 15.6%. 


Fengxiang’s Judical Auction Successful, MGO Upcoming

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/betagro-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36222:1" rel="noopener">Betagro (BTG TB)</a>, Thailand’s leading integrated food company, will open its books for its THB17.4 billion (US$462 million) from 10 to 25 October.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/betagro-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81570" rel="noopener">Betagro IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/betagro-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81612" rel="noopener">Betagro IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that Betagro is fully priced at the IPO price. Give the IPO a pass, awaiting a lower entry point.</li>
</ul>



Betagro (BTG TB), Thailand’s leading integrated food company, will open its books for its THB17.4 billion (US$462 million) from 10 to 25 October.
We previously discussed the IPO in Betagro IPO: The Bull Case and Betagro IPO: The Bear Case. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that Betagro is fully priced at the IPO price. Give the IPO a pass, awaiting a lower entry point.


Thailand

Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company Limited produces a wide range of food products. The Company's products include chicken, pork, shrimp, fish, eggs. and duck.

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CP FOODS (CPF TB)

COP27: Agriculture and Food Stocks Likely to Be Most Affected by Conference Talks

COP27 starts next week, and sustainable agriculture/food is at the top of the agenda. That could mean agriculture stocks are the most impacted by...

Kyle Rudden

Fengxiang’s Unconditional MGO at HK$ 1.5132 from PAG

The unconditional MGO is HK$1.5132 per H Share. Our best guess is the MGO completes end-January 2023. At the last close, the gross spread is 14.6%.

Arun George

I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

I-Tail Corporation, an OEM in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Fengxiang’s Judical Auction Successful, MGO Upcoming

The succesful bid will result in an MGO at HK$1.526 (at the median BOC FX of 0.9056). Our best guess is the offer completes end-January 2023. At...

Arun George

Betagro IPO: Valuation Insights

Betagro is a well-run company. However, it is fully priced at the IPO price of THB40 per share. Give the IPO a pass, awaiting a lower entry point.

Arun George

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