Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p>In this report we provide a synopsis of EM markets. We also scour the EM universe for attractive and actionable opportunities, highlighting opportunities within India's SENSEX, global energy and materials sectors, and Asian banks.</p>

In this report we provide a synopsis of EM markets. We also scour the EM universe for attractive and actionable opportunities, highlighting opportunities within India's SENSEX, global energy and materials sectors, and Asian banks.

<p>The MSCI EM index has recovered over the last couple of weeks and is now approaching a logical resistance level. We reiterate: avoid broad EM exposure and be selective.  India’s <strong>S&amp;P BSE SENSEX </strong>is our top country-specific EM index recommendation, overweight India. We also provide an update on Brazil’s <strong>Bovespa</strong>, which has surged over the last month following a steep selloff. We are skeptical that the index will be able to continue its unabated advance.  Today’s report also includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.</p>

The MSCI EM index has recovered over the last couple of weeks and is now approaching a logical resistance level. We reiterate: avoid broad EM exposure and be selective.  India’s S&amp;P BSE SENSEX is our top country-specific EM index recommendation, overweight India. We also provide an update on Brazil’s Bovespa, which has surged over the last month following a steep selloff. We are skeptical that the index will be able to continue its unabated advance.  Today’s report also includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Approaching Resistance; India Breaking Out to New Highs -- Add Exposure

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Wednesday 7 September 2016</p><p><strong>Rotation plays in Asia </strong></p><div>To view click on this link: <a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/F6RFeLLyfu" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/F6RFeLLyfu</a> 6:29 min.</div><div>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/012/922/original/CPG%20FRONT%20COVER.png?1473237558" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="12922"></figure><div class="content-caption">Asia stock rotation webcast</div>
<p>Action point in Taiwan - 9,200 was our pivot risk point for our 9,033 pair short which was cleared calling for cutting this position. </p>
</div><div>TSMC - 180 was our risk point for stopping out our 177.50 short (our short pair bet). Above 185 would constitute a parabolic breakout. Don't want to miss a fade here thus watching 185 which is…</div>

Chartonics webcast Wednesday 7 September 2016Rotation plays in Asia To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/F6RFeLLyfu 6:29 min.
Asia stock rotation webcast
Action point in Taiwan - 9,200 was our pivot risk point for our 9,033 pair short which was cleared calling for cutting this position. 
TSMC - 180 was our risk point for stopping out our 177.50 short (our short pair bet). Above 185 would constitute a parabolic breakout. Don't want to miss a fade here thus watching 185 which is…

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions, Bixmoor

Bixmoor

Bespoke Research on China and neighbouring regions

Bixmoor specialises in providing bespoke research to business, governments and the financial community on China and neighbouring regions. We seek to build long-term relationships with our clients, based on our expertise, our reliability and our determination to find the right solution.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Chinese investment in Africa is much misunderstood, with little reliable data. But it can be said with some certainty that the main damage done by such investments is not so much to Africa, but to the Chinese economy.</p>

Chinese investment in Africa is much misunderstood, with little reliable data. But it can be said with some certainty that the main damage done by such investments is not so much to Africa, but to the Chinese economy.

Making Sense of Chinese Investments in Africa

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

Mega Financial Holding Co., Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Across nearly 300 banks in Asia-Pacific the average NPL ratio is 2.47%. In Taiwan banks have essentially no NPLs at just 0.27% of loans.</p><p>We find it hard to imagine that this will remain the case, especially given their lending to Taiwanese companies doing business in China.</p><p>The provision and earnings delta for these banks may be some of the most dramatic in Asia, given they are starting from a seemingly pristine loan book.</p>

Across nearly 300 banks in Asia-Pacific the average NPL ratio is 2.47%. In Taiwan banks have essentially no NPLs at just 0.27% of loans.We find it hard to imagine that this will remain the case, especially given their lending to Taiwanese companies doing business in China.The provision and earnings delta for these banks may be some of the most dramatic in Asia, given they are starting from a seemingly pristine loan book.

Taiwan

Chang Hwa Commercial Bank provides a broad range of financial services.  The Bank's operations include deposits, short-term and mid-term loans, discount bills, securities brokerage, foreign currency transactions, and trust banking.

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Chang Hwa Commercial Bank (2801 TT)

EM Strategy: Remain Overweight India

In this report we provide a synopsis of EM markets. We also scour the EM universe for attractive and actionable opportunities, highlighting...

Vermilion Research

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Approaching Resistance; India Breaking Out to New Highs -- Add Exposure

The MSCI EM index has recovered over the last couple of weeks and is now approaching a logical resistance level. We reiterate: avoid broad EM...

Vermilion Research

Asia Rotation Picks

Chartonics webcast Wednesday 7 September 2016Rotation plays in Asia To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/F6RFeLLyfu 6:29...

Thomas Schroeder

Making Sense of Chinese Investments in Africa

Chinese investment in Africa is much misunderstood, with little reliable data. But it can be said with some certainty that the main damage done by...

Bixmoor

Taiwan's Banks Have Zero NPLs; For Now

Across nearly 300 banks in Asia-Pacific the average NPL ratio is 2.47%. In Taiwan banks have essentially no NPLs at just 0.27% of loans.We find it...

Daniel Tabbush

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