Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review cutoff done, there could be three changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK)</a> ETFs in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cambricon-technologies-corp-lt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31068:1" rel="noopener">Cambricon Technologies</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22740:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-united-network-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12620:1" rel="noopener">China United Network</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yili-indus-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3220:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cgn-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29504:1" rel="noopener">CGN Power</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luzhou-laojiao-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4536:1" rel="noopener">Luzhou Laojiao</a> in the ETFs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> is expected to be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> in March, so there should be inflows for the A-shares and H-shares.</li>
</ul>


With the review cutoff done, there could be three changes for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK)/ CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK) ETFs in March.

Cambricon Technologies, Guotai Junan Securities and China United Network could replace Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group, CGN Power and Luzhou Laojiao in the ETFs.

Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) is expected to be added to the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) in March, so there should be inflows for the A-shares and H-shares.


China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: China Rally Takes Cambricon Up, Up & Away

Event-Driven

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With just over a week left to review cutoff, there could be three changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK)</a> ETFs in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22740:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cambricon-technologies-corp-lt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31068:1" rel="noopener">Cambricon Technologies</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saic-motor-corp-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20833:1" rel="noopener">SAIC Motor</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cgn-power-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29504:1" rel="noopener">CGN Power</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luzhou-laojiao-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4536:1" rel="noopener">Luzhou Laojiao</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inner-mongolia-yili-indus-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3220:1" rel="noopener">Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> is expected to be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> in March, so there should be inflows for the A-shares and H-shares.</li>
</ul>


With just over a week left to review cutoff, there could be three changes for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK)/ CSOP China A50 (HKD) (2822 HK) ETFs in March.

Guotai Junan Securities, Cambricon Technologies and SAIC Motor could replace CGN Power, Luzhou Laojiao and Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group.

Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) is expected to be added to the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) in March, so there should be inflows for the A-shares and H-shares.


China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in March

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP China A50 (2822 HK)</a> ETFs will rebalance their holdings at the close on 20 September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-nuclear-power-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25348:1" rel="noopener">China National Nuclear Power (601985 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaneng-lancang-river-hydropow" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26585:1" rel="noopener">Huaneng Lancang River Hydropow (600025)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12278:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yihai-kerry-arawana-holdings-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33230:1" rel="noopener">Yihai Kerry Arawana (300999 CH)</a> in the ETFs.</li>
<li>Passive trackers are estimated to buy between 0.3-0.5 days of ADV in the adds and sell between 0.4-1.1 days of ADV in the deletes.</li>
</ul>


The iShares A50 China (2823 HK) and CSOP China A50 (2822 HK) ETFs will rebalance their holdings at the close on 20 September.

China National Nuclear Power (601985 CH) and Huaneng Lancang River Hydropow (600025) will replace China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH) and Yihai Kerry Arawana (300999 CH) in the ETFs.
Passive trackers are estimated to buy between 0.3-0.5 days of ADV in the adds and sell between 0.4-1.1 days of ADV in the deletes.


China A50 ETF Rebalance: Two Adds, Two Deletes, as Expected

China National Nuclear Power C / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Based on the close of 22 July, there could be two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP China A50 (2822 HK)</a> ETFs in June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-nuclear-power-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25348:1" rel="noopener">China National Nuclear Power</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huaneng-lancang-river-hydropow" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26585:1" rel="noopener">Huaneng Lancang River Hydropowe</a>r could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12278:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yihai-kerry-arawana-holdings-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33230:1" rel="noopener">Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings</a> in the ETFs. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK)</a> could be deleted from a global index in August, so there could be selling in the A-shares and H-shares.</li>
</ul>


Based on the close of 22 July, there could be two changes for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK) / CSOP China A50 (2822 HK) ETFs in June.

China National Nuclear Power and Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower could replace China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd and Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings in the ETFs. 

China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK) could be deleted from a global index in August, so there could be selling in the A-shares and H-shares.


China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in September

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 103.3% as of Jun 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.5ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, communication services, consumer staples and offset by utilities, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC, Huadian.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

China

CGN Power Co., Ltd. operates and manages nuclear power generating stations. The Company operate and manages nuclear power stations, sell electricity, nuclear power stations construction manages, and other services. CGN Power provides services in China.

Price Gauge
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CGN Power (003816 CH)

China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: China Rally Takes Cambricon Up, Up & Away

There could be 3 changes in March. The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes with 2 adds breaking to new highs. Passive impact is...

Brian Freitas

China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: Three Changes in March

There could be 3 changes for the China A50 ETFs in March with passive impact ranging from 0.15-1x ADV. The adds have outperformed the deletes....

Brian Freitas

China A50 ETF Rebalance: Two Adds, Two Deletes, as Expected

China National Nuclear Power and Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower will replace CTG Duty Free and Yihai Kerry Arawana in the ETFs. Passives need to...

Brian Freitas

China A50 ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two Changes in September

There could be 2 changes for the China A50 ETFs in Sep. CTG could see selling in A- and H-shares within 3 weeks. The IPPs have been trading higher...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 21st): China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Tourism, Shenhua, China Telecom, CNOOC, Hua Hong Semi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)