Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 3 June 2022, the S&amp;P DJI Global Index team announced changes to the S&amp;P500, S&amp;P Midcap 400, and S&amp;P SmallCap 600 indices (and a number of other smaller indices).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vici-properties-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28786:1" rel="noopener"></a>VICI Properties (VICI) will replace Cerner (CERN) in S&amp;P500 at close of 7 June. Keurig DrPepper and ON Semiconductor will replace UnderArmour and IPG Photonics at close 17 June.</li>
<li>This set of rebalances is particularly interesting in terms of non-offsetting flows, unlike many rebals which are just a game of musical shares between the three top indices.</li>
</ul>


On 3 June 2022, the S&amp;P DJI Global Index team announced changes to the S&amp;P500, S&amp;P Midcap 400, and S&amp;P SmallCap 600 indices (and a number of other smaller indices).

VICI Properties (VICI) will replace Cerner (CERN) in S&amp;P500 at close of 7 June. Keurig DrPepper and ON Semiconductor will replace UnderArmour and IPG Photonics at close 17 June.
This set of rebalances is particularly interesting in terms of non-offsetting flows, unlike many rebals which are just a game of musical shares between the three top indices.


S&P500, S&PMid400, and S&PSmall600 Index Changes for June 2022 - More Interesting Than Usual

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Waystar Holding, provider of mission-critical cloud software to healthcare organizations, set terms for an IPO and plans to raise ~$970M in the upcoming Nasdaq offering.</li>
<li>The initial public offering is expected to be between $20.00 and $23.00. At the midpoint, Waystar Holding has a market value of ~$3.7B based on 173.4M fully diluted shares.</li>
<li>In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and research multiples of M&amp;A transactions, including Athenahealth, Cerner and Change Healthcare. </li>
</ul>


Waystar Holding, provider of mission-critical cloud software to healthcare organizations, set terms for an IPO and plans to raise ~$970M in the upcoming Nasdaq offering.
The initial public offering is expected to be between $20.00 and $23.00. At the midpoint, Waystar Holding has a market value of ~$3.7B based on 173.4M fully diluted shares.
In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and research multiples of M&amp;A transactions, including Athenahealth, Cerner and Change Healthcare. 


Waystar Holding: IPO Price (Midpoint): $21.50. PT: $17.50, ~19% Downside. Move To Sidelines

<ul>
<li>Waystar Holding will be valued like other unprofitable healthcare IT unicorns on a multiple of forward revenue. I used EV/Revenue valuation methodology and FY23 EV/Revenue multiples to value the Waystar. </li>
<li>In 2019, CPPIB and EQT acquired a majority stake in Waystar, valuing the company at $2.7B, which implies an EV/FY23E revenue multiple of ~ 6x, including a debt of ~$2.3B. </li>
<li>My ~$3.6B IPO valuation contemplates a ~5x EV/Revenue on my FY23E revenue of $795M and is supported by my analysis of healthcare IT comps. </li>
</ul>


Waystar Holding will be valued like other unprofitable healthcare IT unicorns on a multiple of forward revenue. I used EV/Revenue valuation methodology and FY23 EV/Revenue multiples to value the Waystar. 
In 2019, CPPIB and EQT acquired a majority stake in Waystar, valuing the company at $2.7B, which implies an EV/FY23E revenue multiple of ~ 6x, including a debt of ~$2.3B. 
My ~$3.6B IPO valuation contemplates a ~5x EV/Revenue on my FY23E revenue of $795M and is supported by my analysis of healthcare IT comps. 


Waystar IPO Valuation Analysis: Lack of Bullish Catalysts and Weak Post-Listing Performance

<ul>
<li>Waystar Holding, a cloud-based technology company and healthcare RCM solution provider, filed for a $100M placeholder IPO.</li>
<li>Founded in 2017 through the merger of two healthcare firms, ZirMed and Navicure, Waystar Holding provides mission-critical cloud software to healthcare organizations in the United States. </li>
<li>The company has ~$2.3B of outstanding borrowings and plans to use net proceeds from an upcoming IPO to repay outstanding indebtedness under credit facilities. </li>
</ul>


Waystar Holding, a cloud-based technology company and healthcare RCM solution provider, filed for a $100M placeholder IPO.
Founded in 2017 through the merger of two healthcare firms, ZirMed and Navicure, Waystar Holding provides mission-critical cloud software to healthcare organizations in the United States. 
The company has ~$2.3B of outstanding borrowings and plans to use net proceeds from an upcoming IPO to repay outstanding indebtedness under credit facilities. 


Waystar IPO Preview: Debt-Fueled Expansion Through M&A Deals In A High-Interest Rate Environment

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US Value funds rotate in to Health Care, pushing allocations to their highest levels on record.</li>
<li>The average Health Care allocation stands at 18.25%, with 71.4% of Value managers overweight at +3.11% above benchmark.  Health Care has become the conviction sector holding among US Value managers.</li>
<li>The most widely held stocks in the sector are Cigna Corp and Unitedhealth Group, owned by 55.7% and 52.9% of Value managers respectively.</li>
</ul>


US Value funds rotate in to Health Care, pushing allocations to their highest levels on record.
The average Health Care allocation stands at 18.25%, with 71.4% of Value managers overweight at +3.11% above benchmark.  Health Care has become the conviction sector holding among US Value managers.
The most widely held stocks in the sector are Cigna Corp and Unitedhealth Group, owned by 55.7% and 52.9% of Value managers respectively.


United States

Cerner Corporation provides healthcare solutions. The Company supplies health information technology services, devices, and hardware. Cerner serves customers worldwide.

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Cerner (CERN UW)

S&P500, S&PMid400, and S&PSmall600 Index Changes for June 2022 - More Interesting Than Usual

The June 2022 S&P500, S&P Midcap 400 and S&P SmallCap 600 Rebalance was announced on 3 June 2022. VICI will replace CERN at the close of 7 June,...

Travis Lundy

Waystar Holding: IPO Price (Midpoint): $21.50. PT: $17.50, ~19% Downside. Move To Sidelines

I remain cautious about buying into upcoming Waystar Holding IPO and I would consider becoming more constructive on the stock if its valuation...

Andrei Zakharov

Waystar IPO Valuation Analysis: Lack of Bullish Catalysts and Weak Post-Listing Performance

In my insight, I will focus on the IPO valuation of Waystar Holding, a healthcare IT unicorn and provider of mission-critical cloud software to...

Andrei Zakharov

Waystar IPO Preview: Debt-Fueled Expansion Through M&A Deals In A High-Interest Rate Environment

Waystar Holding IPO looks risky in a high-interest rate environment, given the company’s debt-fueled expansion through a series of M&A deals.

Andrei Zakharov

US Value Funds Rotate in to Health Care

US Value managers have made an active rotation in to the Health Care sector, pushing allocations to their highest levels on record.

Steven Holden

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52-week Range

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S&P500, S&PMid400, and S&PSmall600 Index Changes for June 2022 - More Interesting Than Usual

The June 2022 S&P500, S&P Midcap 400 and S&P SmallCap 600 Rebalance was announced on 3 June 2022. VICI will replace CERN at the close of 7 June,...

Travis Lundy

Waystar Holding: IPO Price (Midpoint): $21.50. PT: $17.50, ~19% Downside. Move To Sidelines

​I remain cautious about buying into upcoming Waystar Holding IPO and I would consider becoming more constructive on the stock if its valuation...

Andrei Zakharov

Waystar IPO Valuation Analysis: Lack of Bullish Catalysts and Weak Post-Listing Performance

In my insight, I will focus on the IPO valuation of Waystar Holding, a healthcare IT unicorn and provider of mission-critical cloud software to...

Andrei Zakharov

Waystar IPO Preview: Debt-Fueled Expansion Through M&A Deals In A High-Interest Rate Environment

Waystar Holding IPO looks risky in a high-interest rate environment, given the company’s debt-fueled expansion through a series of M&A deals.

Andrei Zakharov

US Value Funds Rotate in to Health Care

US Value managers have made an active rotation in to the Health Care sector, pushing allocations to their highest levels on record.

Steven Holden

I remain cautious about buying into upcoming Waystar Holding IPO and I would consider becoming more constructive on the stock if its valuation...