Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The SET traded within a narrow range throughout the day, reflecting subdued sentiment attributed to the Chinese New Year festival.</li><li>Furthermore, with most Asian bourses closed, trading activity remained sluggish.</li><li>Large cap stocks experienced limited fluctuations, resulting in an index outlook devoid of clear signals. However, foreign investors turned to buy slightly.</li></ul>

The SET traded within a narrow range throughout the day, reflecting subdued sentiment attributed to the Chinese New Year festival.Furthermore, with most Asian bourses closed, trading activity remained sluggish.Large cap stocks experienced limited fluctuations, resulting in an index outlook devoid of clear signals. However, foreign investors turned to buy slightly.

<ul><li>The SET was volatile in a tight range and faced profit taking after surging quickly.</li><li>However, the MPC meeting results were as expected, while the increase of energy, banking, petrol and commerce stocks provided a boost.</li><li>Consequently, the index was able to close up, even though foreign investors turned to sell.</li></ul>

The SET was volatile in a tight range and faced profit taking after surging quickly.However, the MPC meeting results were as expected, while the increase of energy, banking, petrol and commerce stocks provided a boost.Consequently, the index was able to close up, even though foreign investors turned to sell.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We expect the MPC to continue raising the policy interest rate in 2023E to the terminal rate of 2.0%, which is where the real rate will turn positive at +0.1%, based on a CPI of 1.9% as of the end of 4Q23E (Bloomberg consensus).</li><li>The 2023E Thai economy is projected to grow at its full potential at 4.5% YoY (vs. the current projection of 3.7% YoY) on the back of the expected recovery of tourism thanks to China’s sooner-than-anticipated reopening.</li><li>Meanwhile, inflation has continued to slow down. We continue to recommend reopening plays whose earnings are likely to recover in line with the Thai economic outlook. </li></ul>

We expect the MPC to continue raising the policy interest rate in 2023E to the terminal rate of 2.0%, which is where the real rate will turn positive at +0.1%, based on a CPI of 1.9% as of the end of 4Q23E (Bloomberg consensus).The 2023E Thai economy is projected to grow at its full potential at 4.5% YoY (vs. the current projection of 3.7% YoY) on the back of the expected recovery of tourism thanks to China’s sooner-than-anticipated reopening.Meanwhile, inflation has continued to slow down. We continue to recommend reopening plays whose earnings are likely to recover in line with the Thai economic outlook. 

MPC - MPC Raised the Policy Interest Rate by 0.25% to 1.50%

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

<ul>
<li>CENTEL report 3Q22 net loss in 3Q22 at Bt78m. Stripping out extra items mainly from unrealized foreign exchange loss on foreign currency loans, core profit should be at Bt27m compared </li>
<li>Solid recovery in hospitality business as expected Hotel revenue hit ten quarter high at Bt1.5bn on the back of strong demand for hotels in Thailand where RevPar for Bangkok hotels</li>
<li>Food revenue hit 11 quarter high at Bt2.9bn (+52%YoY+2%QoQ) as SSSG expanded 43% compared with -30% and +19% in 3Q21 and 2Q22 respectively. This will be supported by pent-up demand</li>
</ul>


CENTEL report 3Q22 net loss in 3Q22 at Bt78m. Stripping out extra items mainly from unrealized foreign exchange loss on foreign currency loans, core profit should be at Bt27m compared 
Solid recovery in hospitality business as expected Hotel revenue hit ten quarter high at Bt1.5bn on the back of strong demand for hotels in Thailand where RevPar for Bangkok hotels
Food revenue hit 11 quarter high at Bt2.9bn (+52%YoY+2%QoQ) as SSSG expanded 43% compared with -30% and +19% in 3Q21 and 2Q22 respectively. This will be supported by pent-up demand


CENTEL : 3Q22 Missed Our and Market Estimates but Expect 4Q22 Profit to Be Solid

<ul><li>Global fund managers still suggest increasing holdings of safe-haven assets, such as cash, or investing in sectors with recurring income, notably utilities and health care stocks, while they are bearish on risk assets and global growth in the next 12 months.</li><li>Investors also repriced their expectations regarding the terminal fed funds rate in 1Q23 by 50 bps higher.</li><li>However, we expect the Thai market to see a limited impact from the bearishness thanks to the good earnings recovery momentum, in contrast to global economies, as well as the boost from the huge growth in the number of tourist arrivals from 400k in 2021 to an expected 21mn in 2023E.</li></ul>

Global fund managers still suggest increasing holdings of safe-haven assets, such as cash, or investing in sectors with recurring income, notably utilities and health care stocks, while they are bearish on risk assets and global growth in the next 12 months.Investors also repriced their expectations regarding the terminal fed funds rate in 1Q23 by 50 bps higher.However, we expect the Thai market to see a limited impact from the bearishness thanks to the good earnings recovery momentum, in contrast to global economies, as well as the boost from the huge growth in the number of tourist arrivals from 400k in 2021 to an expected 21mn in 2023E.

Thailand

Central Plaza Hotel Public Company Limited owns and manages hotels and quick service restaurants. The Company operates its hotels under the banner of Centara Hotels & Resorts and franchises western and Japanese quick service restaurants.

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Central Plaza Hotel (CENTEL TB)

Technical Analysis - FEBRUARY 13, 2024

The SET traded within a narrow range throughout the day, reflecting subdued sentiment attributed to the Chinese New Year festival.

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - Feb 8, 2024

The SET was volatile in a tight range and faced profit taking after surging quickly. However, the MPC meeting results were as expected

Krungthai XSpring

MPC - MPC Raised the Policy Interest Rate by 0.25% to 1.50%

We expect the MPC to continue raising the policy interest rate in 2023E to the terminal rate of 2.0%, which is where the real rate will turn...

Krungthai XSpring

CENTEL : 3Q22 Missed Our and Market Estimates but Expect 4Q22 Profit to Be Solid

CENTEL report 3Q22 net loss in 3Q22 at Bt78m.Stripping out extra items mainly from unrealized foreign exchange loss on foreign currency loans,core...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Fund Manager Survey - No Cuts, No Glory

Global fund managers still suggest increasing holdings of safe-haven assets, such as cash, or investing in sectors with recurring income, notably...

Krungthai XSpring

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