Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>'s bidder list is out. It is Bain, Brookfield, JIP-JIC, and CVC. Overall, the impression of this pool of candidates is negative</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> is trading cheap at a look-through forward P/B of 0.26x compared to its five-year average of 0.38x, and the two-year average pre-Covid of 0.48x. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soho-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4123:1" rel="noopener">Soho China (410 HK)</a>'s name was toxic after SAMR dinged Blackstone's deal. It is no less toxic now. Arguably the upside is greater than the downside. But on what timeframe?</li>
</ul>



Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)'s bidder list is out. It is Bain, Brookfield, JIP-JIC, and CVC. Overall, the impression of this pool of candidates is negative

Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) is trading cheap at a look-through forward P/B of 0.26x compared to its five-year average of 0.38x, and the two-year average pre-Covid of 0.48x. 

Soho China (410 HK)'s name was toxic after SAMR dinged Blackstone's deal. It is no less toxic now. Arguably the upside is greater than the downside. But on what timeframe?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Swire, SOHO, Link Admin, DIDI Global, 51job

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK)</a> expands its beverages ops, its best-performing unlisted segment, via the acquisition of Coke bottling operations in Vietnam and Cambodia. </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Swire - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5775:1" rel="noopener">Swire Properties (1972 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Swire Pacific (A) (19 HK) expands its beverages ops, its best-performing unlisted segment, via the acquisition of Coke bottling operations in Vietnam and Cambodia. 
Preceding my comments on Swire - and Swire Properties (1972 HK) and Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Swire Acquires Coke's Ops in Vietnam & Cambodia

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Sequential passenger traffic improvement makes us believe that the worst was over for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China (753 HK)</a>. We expect it continues the YTD outperformance vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (753 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>With the pandemic under control and government's focus on the economy, the release of pent-up demand will be a major driver. We have also seen relaxation in pandemic control measures.</li>
<li>Increase in flight destinations and loosening of travel restrictions and quarantine requirements in Hong Kong should benefit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)</a> which now anticipates lower losses YoY in 1H22.</li>
</ul>


Sequential passenger traffic improvement makes us believe that the worst was over for Air China (753 HK). We expect it continues the YTD outperformance vs. Air China Ltd (753 HK). 
With the pandemic under control and government's focus on the economy, the release of pent-up demand will be a major driver. We have also seen relaxation in pandemic control measures.
Increase in flight destinations and loosening of travel restrictions and quarantine requirements in Hong Kong should benefit Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK) which now anticipates lower losses YoY in 1H22.


Air China (753 HK): Positioned to Ride on the Coming Upturn

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. The company is owned by the Wadia family, who also own Britannia.</li>
<li>Go Air is an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC) primarily operating in India. It had a market share of 10.8% in FY20 in the domestic market.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. The company is owned by the Wadia family, who also own Britannia.
Go Air is an ultra-low-cost carrier (ULCC) primarily operating in India. It had a market share of 10.8% in FY20 in the domestic market.
In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Go Air (Go First) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Competition Is About to Pick-Up Again

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: Four stock remains, and 10 new join the fray</li>
<li>Since its inception, the portfolio has gained 80% versus MSCI Asia ex Japan's 63%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: Four stock remains, and 10 new join the fray
Since its inception, the portfolio has gained 80% versus MSCI Asia ex Japan's 63%


Hong Kong

Cathay Pacific Airways Limited operates scheduled airline services. The Company also provides related services, including airline catering, aircraft handling, and engineering.

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Cathay Pacific Airways (293 HK)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Swire, SOHO, Link Admin, DIDI Global, 51job

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Swire Acquires Coke's Ops in Vietnam & Cambodia

I tilt bullish on Swire Pac. A 50%+ discount is wide given it has historically traded in the low-to-mid twenties. Plus it's inexpensive at 0.26x P...

David Blennerhassett

Air China (753 HK): Positioned to Ride on the Coming Upturn

Air China starts to feel the bottoming-out of passenger traffic in May. The pandemic has now under control and with more relaxation in quarantine...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Go Air (Go First) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Competition Is About to Pick-Up Again

GoAir (Go First) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 37

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: Four stocks remain, and 10 stocks have...

A. Stotz Investment Research

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