India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aarti-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6583:1" rel="noopener">Aarti Industries (ARTO IN)</a>  is planning a huge capex of 2500 Cr, which will increase their PPE by more than 50% from current CWIP and new capex.</li>
<li>Company is targeting 1450 to 1700Cr EBITDA in next year which is almost 1.5x to 2x of the existing EBITDA.</li>
<li>Introducing new products in the value chain, which has high-value added and high margins.</li>
</ul>



Aarti Industries (ARTO IN)  is planning a huge capex of 2500 Cr, which will increase their PPE by more than 50% from current CWIP and new capex.
Company is targeting 1450 to 1700Cr EBITDA in next year which is almost 1.5x to 2x of the existing EBITDA.
Introducing new products in the value chain, which has high-value added and high margins.


The Beat Ideas: Aarti Industries Ltd.- Capex, Growth, Value Addition!

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<div><ul><li>Volume recovery strong, expect margin to rebound- Castrol (CSTRL)’s revenue missed our estimate while its EBITDA and PAT were above estimates</li></ul><div><ul><li>Revenue below estimate, but beat on EBITDA and PAT - <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Revenue was 10% lower than estimate at INR12.4b (+9% YoY, +13% QoQ).</span></li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Strategic developments during the quarter - <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">CSTRL expanded its Castrol Auto Service (CAS) network to 116 multi-brand passenger car workshops in 50+ cities across India.</span></li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Volume recovery strong, expect margin to rebound- Castrol (CSTRL)’s revenue missed our estimate while its EBITDA and PAT were above estimatesRevenue below estimate, but beat on EBITDA and PAT - Revenue was 10% lower than estimate at INR12.4b (+9% YoY, +13% QoQ).Strategic developments during the quarter - CSTRL expanded its Castrol Auto Service (CAS) network to 116 multi-brand passenger car workshops in 50+ cities across India.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 7.93 trillion (US$106.3bn) across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap and Flexi Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks. Flexi cap funds can invest across market caps.</p><p>The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.</p><p>We are just past halfway through the review period for the second half of 2021. Using data to the close on 4 October, at the next recategorization in January 2022, we see 10 stocks moving from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment, 11 stocks moving from the large cap segment to the mid cap segment , 11 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment, with16 stocks moving from the mid cap to the small cap segment. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-media-pvt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> will be a part of the large cap universe, while 4 other newly listed stocks will be a part of the mid cap universe.</p><p>Historically, stocks moving to a higher market cap category have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap category over the back half of the review period. In some cases, the outperformance continues past the announcement of the changes as well. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.</p>

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 7.93 trillion (US$106.3bn) across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap and Flexi Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks. Flexi cap funds can invest across market caps.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.We are just past halfway through the review period for the second half of 2021. Using data to the close on 4 October, at the next recategorization in January 2022, we see 10 stocks moving from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment, 11 stocks moving from the large cap segment to the mid cap segment , 11 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment, with16 stocks moving from the mid cap to the small cap segment. Zomato (ZOMATO IN) will be a part of the large cap universe, while 4 other newly listed stocks will be a part of the mid cap universe.Historically, stocks moving to a higher market cap category have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap category over the back half of the review period. In some cases, the outperformance continues past the announcement of the changes as well. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

India: Stock Reclassification & Active Portfolio Management (Dec 2021)

Asia focused research insights & advisory, Asia Advisors

Vinay Patel

Asia focused research insights & advisory

Asia Advisors

Asia Advisors is an independent financial advisory and research firm working closely with corporates and institutions to provide consulting solutions & research insights. We provide advisory services including capital solutions, business strategy and investment insights.
Firm is headed by Vinay Patel who has close to two decades of experience in research and business development at large, international investment banks such as HSBC and ICICI Securities. Led research efforts in areas of Macroeconomics, Asset Allocation & Investment Strategy for close to a decade in global & domestic research teams. As a business head in Singapore, advised top global investment management firms & Portfolio managers in Asia for India related investments.
Vinay was recently joined by Swapnil Manish, an investment banker and ex-ecommerce entrepreneur with more than 12 years of experience. Swapnil was the TMT banker at BNP Paribas and was part of several large M&A and ECM transactions (Bharti-Zain, Bharti Infratel IPO, Schneider-Zicom among several others). He's also had a stint as an ecommerce entrepreneur having launched & led Mumbai's first online grocery player.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this win to ease Modi's chances for another term at national elections in 2019 and that would give him total 7 year period to push for reforms (In his victory speech Modi himself said he is now looking for delivering by 2022 - the 75th year of Indian Independence). Amidst the euphoria of Modi's victory, we would like to highlight some of the ground realities…</p>

Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this win to ease Modi's chances for another term at national elections in 2019 and that would give him total 7 year period to push for reforms (In his victory speech Modi himself said he is now looking for delivering by 2022 - the 75th year of Indian Independence). Amidst the euphoria of Modi's victory, we would like to highlight some of the ground realities…

Investors Need To Be Patient With Reform Momentum Even As Modi Win Ensures Policy Continuity

<p>Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact of demonetisation on the electoral prospects of the party. Performance in UP is impressive as the opposition had formed an alliance to fight Modi but still lost poorly.  Most political analysts have been caught on the wrong foot as they predicted a hung assembly while the results show that Modi wave seen during the General elections continues. We…</p>

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact of demonetisation on the electoral prospects of the party. Performance in UP is impressive as the opposition had formed an alliance to fight Modi but still lost poorly.  Most political analysts have been caught on the wrong foot as they predicted a hung assembly while the results show that Modi wave seen during the General elections continues. We…

Landslide Win for Modi in UP Elections;Upper House No.s to Cross 100 Mark by 2018, a +ve for Reforms

India

Castrol (India) Limited manufactures and markets automotive and industrial lubricants and specialty products. The Company's products include lubricating oils, greases and brake fluids. The Company also manufactures cable filling compounds, jellies, waxes and other items.

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Castrol India (CSTRL IN)

The Beat Ideas: Aarti Industries Ltd.- Capex, Growth, Value Addition!

The Beat Ideas: Aarti Industries - Aarti Industries plans significant capex to boost EBITDA and expand product offerings with high margins.

Sudarshan Bhandari

1QCY22 Results Update - Castrol (India)

Volume recovery strong, expect margin to rebound. Castrol (CSTRL)’s revenue missed our estimate while its EBITDA and PAT were above estimates

Motilal Oswal

India: Stock Reclassification & Active Portfolio Management (Dec 2021)

Halfway through the review period, we take a look at stocks that could migrate across the large, mid and small cap segments. With over US$100bn of...

Brian Freitas

Investors Need To Be Patient With Reform Momentum Even As Modi Win Ensures Policy Continuity

Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this...

Asia Advisors

Landslide Win for Modi in UP Elections;Upper House No.s to Cross 100 Mark by 2018, a +ve for Reforms

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact...

Asia Advisors

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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The Beat Ideas: Aarti Industries Ltd.- Capex, Growth, Value Addition!

The Beat Ideas: Aarti Industries - ​Aarti Industries plans significant capex to boost EBITDA and expand product offerings with high margins.

Sudarshan Bhandari

1QCY22 Results Update - Castrol (India)

Volume recovery strong, expect margin to rebound. Castrol (CSTRL)’s revenue missed our estimate while its EBITDA and PAT were above estimates

Motilal Oswal

India: Stock Reclassification & Active Portfolio Management (Dec 2021)

Halfway through the review period, we take a look at stocks that could migrate across the large, mid and small cap segments. With over US$100bn of...

Brian Freitas

Investors Need To Be Patient With Reform Momentum Even As Modi Win Ensures Policy Continuity

Expectations on economic reforms from Modi government are running high after the big win in Uttar Pradesh. Political analysts are expecting this...

Asia Advisors

Landslide Win for Modi in UP Elections;Upper House No.s to Cross 100 Mark by 2018, a +ve for Reforms

Ruling party BJP has won a landslide victory in the largest state of Uttar Pradesh (UP) thereby putting to rest any doubts over the adverse impact...

Asia Advisors

The Beat Ideas: Aarti Industries - Aarti Industries plans significant capex to boost EBITDA and expand product offerings with high margins.