IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Daiwa House Logistics Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiwa-house-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35020:1" rel="noopener">Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT SP)</a> has launched an SGX IPO to raise gross proceeds of S$464 million ($343 million) at an IPO price of S$0.80 per unit. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/daiwa-house-logistics-trust-ipo-the-flow-of-things" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:60978" rel="noopener">Daiwa House Logistics Trust IPO: The Flow of Things</a>, we outlined its attractive value proposition.  </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of S$0.80 per unit is reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT SP) has launched an SGX IPO to raise gross proceeds of S$464 million ($343 million) at an IPO price of S$0.80 per unit. 
In Daiwa House Logistics Trust IPO: The Flow of Things, we outlined its attractive value proposition.  
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of S$0.80 per unit is reasonable.


Daiwa House Logistics Trust IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daiwa-house-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35020:1" rel="noopener">Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT SP)</a> has launched an SGX IPO to raise gross proceeds of S$464 million ($343 million) at an IPO price of S$0.80 per unit. </li>
<li>DHLT offers an attractive value proposition consisting of a blue-chip tenant base, a staggered lease expiry profile, manageable tenant concentration risk, a growth pipeline and low capex.</li>
<li>DHLT offers exposure to the only Japan pure-play REIT listed in Singapore.</li>
</ul>



Daiwa House Logistics Trust (DHLT SP) has launched an SGX IPO to raise gross proceeds of S$464 million ($343 million) at an IPO price of S$0.80 per unit. 
DHLT offers an attractive value proposition consisting of a blue-chip tenant base, a staggered lease expiry profile, manageable tenant concentration risk, a growth pipeline and low capex.
DHLT offers exposure to the only Japan pure-play REIT listed in Singapore.


Daiwa House Logistics Trust IPO: The Flow of Things

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

*Overstated 3Q21 Result: DBS Group Holdings (DBS.SP) [DBS] reported 3Q21 results of SGD 1.7 bn, flat linked quarter. When one accounts for the unnecessary negative loss provision of SGD 70 mn (down 188.6%) while credit was weaker, DBS’ results would appear to be grossly overstated;*Watch Your Credit: We struggle continue to believe that DBS’ due diligence had actually caught all of LVB’s risk (see discussion below), and remain unconvinced that the moratorium exits are anything more than additional reliance on government schemes and relief programs. DBS has disclosed absolutely nothing about Shenzhen Rural Commercial Bank’s (SRCB) fundamentals. We feel that reserves should be shored up in the neighborhood of SGD 1.1 bn – amounting now to about a half quarter of operating results; and *Deal Distractions Mount:  While SRCB dos not appear to be riddled with problems the way LVB is, no doubt there will be issues to contend with.  DBS apparently isn’t done with its shopping spree, being in the running for parts of Citigroup's (C.US) consumer business in Asia. Frankly, DBS needs to focus on improving its own legacy issues before it starts both taking on those of other financial institutions.

*Overstated 3Q21 Result: DBS Group Holdings (DBS.SP) [DBS] reported 3Q21 results of SGD 1.7 bn, flat linked quarter. When one accounts for the unnecessary negative loss provision of SGD 70 mn (down 188.6%) while credit was weaker, DBS’ results would appear to be grossly overstated;*Watch Your Credit: We struggle continue to believe that DBS’ due diligence had actually caught all of LVB’s risk (see discussion below), and remain unconvinced that the moratorium exits are anything more than additional reliance on government schemes and relief programs. DBS has disclosed absolutely nothing about Shenzhen Rural Commercial Bank’s (SRCB) fundamentals. We feel that reserves should be shored up in the neighborhood of SGD 1.1 bn – amounting now to about a half quarter of operating results; and *Deal Distractions Mount:  While SRCB dos not appear to be riddled with problems the way LVB is, no doubt there will be issues to contend with.  DBS apparently isn’t done with its shopping spree, being in the running for parts of Citigroup's (C.US) consumer business in Asia. Frankly, DBS needs to focus on improving its own legacy issues before it starts both taking on those of other financial institutions.

DBS Group Holdings – Pushing The Envelope

*Challenging Result: Oversea Chinese Banking Corp. (OCBC.SP) [OCBC] reported 3Q21 net profit of SGD 1.2 bn, a SGD 64 mn (5.5%) increase on a linked quarter basis. OCBC’s bottom-line improvement was primarily attributable to a decrease in loss provisions, as credit risk remains elevated; a tax rate decline; and stronger insurer earnings; and*Credit Breaking Down Again: By our calculation, we find that net new NPL growth has increased again to SGD 448 mn or 44.9% on an annualized basis. Given the increase in net new NPLs, reserve would appear to now be wanting by SGD 2.0 bn plus or just under two quarters of bottom-line results.

*Challenging Result: Oversea Chinese Banking Corp. (OCBC.SP) [OCBC] reported 3Q21 net profit of SGD 1.2 bn, a SGD 64 mn (5.5%) increase on a linked quarter basis. OCBC’s bottom-line improvement was primarily attributable to a decrease in loss provisions, as credit risk remains elevated; a tax rate decline; and stronger insurer earnings; and*Credit Breaking Down Again: By our calculation, we find that net new NPL growth has increased again to SGD 448 mn or 44.9% on an annualized basis. Given the increase in net new NPLs, reserve would appear to now be wanting by SGD 2.0 bn plus or just under two quarters of bottom-line results.

Oversea Chinese Banking Corp.- Negative Jaws & Weaker Credit

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151:1" rel="noopener">Suntec REIT (SUN SP)</a> reported its 3Q21 business updates pre-market on 22 Oct 21. In this note, we will analyze its performance for the period, current capital management, and share our thoughts on its outlook.

Suntec REIT (SUN SP) reported its 3Q21 business updates pre-market on 22 Oct 21. In this note, we will analyze its performance for the period, current capital management, and share our thoughts on its outlook.

Suntec REIT 3Q21 - Higher Topline and Gearing, Only Difference Is the Former Was One-Off

Singapore

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT is an industrial real estate investment trust. The Trust invests in business and science park properties, integrated development, amenities, and retail (IDAR) properties, high-specifications industrial properties and data centers, light industrial and flatted factories, and logistics and distribution centers.

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CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR SP)

Daiwa House Logistics Trust IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price of S$0.80 per unit is reasonable. Bookbuilding will end on 18 Nov, with an expected listing date...

Arun George

Daiwa House Logistics Trust IPO: The Flow of Things

DHLT has launched an SGX IPO to raise gross proceeds of S$464 million ($343 million). Overall, we believe that DHLT offers an attractive value...

Arun George

DBS Group Holdings – Pushing The Envelope

DBS: DBS reported flat 3Q21 QOQ results. Accounting for the unnecessary negative loss provision of SGD 70 mn (down 188.6%) while credit was weaker,...

Thomas J. Monaco

Oversea Chinese Banking Corp.- Negative Jaws & Weaker Credit

OCBC: OCBC reported a QOQ 3Q21 net profit increase of 5.5%, as it pulled on numerous levers. Net new NPL growth increased 44.9% annualized, and...

Thomas J. Monaco

Suntec REIT 3Q21 - Higher Topline and Gearing, Only Difference Is the Former Was One-Off

Suntec REIT (SUN SP) reported its 3Q21 business updates pre-market on 22 Oct 21. In this note, we will analyze its performance, current capital...

Clarence Chu

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