Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 44 adds/41 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 7.9% and a round-trip trade of JPY 880bn (US$6bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year though that has been faded over the last couple of months. Breaking with history, there could be outperformance near-term.</li>
</ul>


There are 44 adds/41 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 7.9% and a round-trip trade of JPY 880bn (US$6bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year though that has been faded over the last couple of months. Breaking with history, there could be outperformance near-term.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: A Bunch of Chunky Adds & US$6bn Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Expect True Wind to walk away rather than raising their price further for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10803:1" rel="noopener">Sun Corp (6736 JP)</a>. They'd need to pay ¥5,500-5,800 to dislodge a large chunk. And they won't.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12179:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Group (002790 KS)</a> plumbs new discount lows as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20854:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS) </a> gets a boost from Amazon Prime Day.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-marketing-japan-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3866:1" rel="noopener">Canon Marketing Japan (8060 JP)</a> is still significantly under-levered. That means the stock price will generically not be that volatile. That generally means one should buy dips and sell pops.</li>
</ul>


Expect True Wind to walk away rather than raising their price further for Sun Corp (6736 JP). They'd need to pay ¥5,500-5,800 to dislodge a large chunk. And they won't.

Amorepacific Group (002790 KS) plumbs new discount lows as Amorepacific Corp (090430 KS)  gets a boost from Amazon Prime Day.

Canon Marketing Japan (8060 JP) is still significantly under-levered. That means the stock price will generically not be that volatile. That generally means one should buy dips and sell pops.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Sun Corp, Amorepacific, Canon Marketing, Jeisys Medical

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-marketing-japan-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3866:1" rel="noopener">Canon Marketing Japan (8060 JP)</a> announced a large Tender Offer Buyback from its parent company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1:1" rel="noopener">Canon Inc (7751 JP)</a>. Canon will tender 20mm shares (15.42%). </li>
<li>This is a very capital efficient way to conduct a buyback from a parent, and an even better way for a parent to sell shares of a sub. </li>
<li>This corporate action will reduce equity by 20%, and partially clean up the messy inter-company transactions which should not exist. </li>
</ul>


Today after the close, Canon Marketing Japan (8060 JP) announced a large Tender Offer Buyback from its parent company Canon Inc (7751 JP). Canon will tender 20mm shares (15.42%). 
This is a very capital efficient way to conduct a buyback from a parent, and an even better way for a parent to sell shares of a sub. 
This corporate action will reduce equity by 20%, and partially clean up the messy inter-company transactions which should not exist. 


Canon Marketing (8060) - Finally Using Its Cash, But It Is Walking The Walk With No Talk Behind

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kkr-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27333:1" rel="noopener">KKR</a> and KSP Kokusai Investments are looking to raise approximately US$1.7bn through an extended secondary follow-on offering, via selling approximately 22.3% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>We have looked at the lockup expiry and deal dynamics in our earlier notes.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about share price performance since then.</li>
</ul>



KKR and KSP Kokusai Investments are looking to raise approximately US$1.7bn through an extended secondary follow-on offering, via selling approximately 22.3% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP). 
We have looked at the lockup expiry and deal dynamics in our earlier notes.
In this note, we talk about share price performance since then.


Kokusai Electric Placement Updates - Misbehaving

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

Unisplendour Corporation Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>H3C and Foxconn partner in Malaysia for data center investment; Tsinghua Unigroup continues acquisitions in the tech industry.</li><li>Chinese automakers urged to invest in cleaner technologies, form strategic partnerships, and comply with EU regulations under new EV tariffs.</li><li>Microsoft &amp; Qualcomm exceed pre-orders with AI-powered Copilot+ PC; Hyundai plans to list Indian arm; SEMICON India to showcase advancements in semiconductor industry.</li></ul>

H3C and Foxconn partner in Malaysia for data center investment; Tsinghua Unigroup continues acquisitions in the tech industry.Chinese automakers urged to invest in cleaner technologies, form strategic partnerships, and comply with EU regulations under new EV tariffs.Microsoft &amp; Qualcomm exceed pre-orders with AI-powered Copilot+ PC; Hyundai plans to list Indian arm; SEMICON India to showcase advancements in semiconductor industry.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jun-2024): H3C partners with Foxconn on Malaysia data center investment.

Japan

Canon Inc. is a professional and consumer imaging solutions company and patent-holder of digital imaging technologies. The Company's products include networked multifunction devices, digital and analog copiers, computer peripherals, facsimile machines, image filing systems, camcorders, cameras and lenses, semiconductor, and broadcast and medical equipment.

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Canon Inc (7751 JP)

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: A Bunch of Chunky Adds & US$6bn Trade

There are 44 adds/41 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index resulting in a one-way turnover of 7.9% and a round-trip trade of JPY 880bn (US$6bn)....

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: Sun Corp, Amorepacific, Canon Marketing, Jeisys Medical

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Canon Marketing (8060) - Finally Using Its Cash, But It Is Walking The Walk With No Talk Behind

Canon Marketing has announced a big buyback from its parent company. There are some good points, and less good points. Good for ROE. Bad for...

Travis Lundy

Kokusai Electric Placement Updates - Misbehaving

KKR and KSP Kokusai Investments are looking to raise approximately US$1.7bn through selling a large stake in Kokusai. In this note, we talk about...

Sumeet Singh

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (18-Jun-2024): H3C partners with Foxconn on Malaysia data center investment.

H3C and Foxconn invest in Malaysian data center, Tsinghua Unigroup acquires, Chinese auto industry adapts to EU EV regulations, Microsoft &...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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