Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>As things stand, there could be one index change for the SENSEX index but there is room for these names to change during the remainder of the reference period.</li>
<li>Separately, there could be five ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and six ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the June 2024 index rebal event.
As things stand, there could be one index change for the SENSEX index but there is room for these names to change during the remainder of the reference period.
Separately, there could be five ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and six ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 24: Who Will Replace Wipro?

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>India's Credit Landscape has changed and is facing structural and regulatory challenges.</li>
<li>The Indian regulator (RBI), particularly in its oversight of underwriting practices and the behavior of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs), is commendably proactive, positioning it ahead of the curve.</li>
<li>We expect more such steps in other parts of the credit funnel. The recent crack down along with the stock underperformance is here to stay and possibility intensify. </li>
</ul>


India's Credit Landscape has changed and is facing structural and regulatory challenges.
The Indian regulator (RBI), particularly in its oversight of underwriting practices and the behavior of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs), is commendably proactive, positioning it ahead of the curve.
We expect more such steps in other parts of the credit funnel. The recent crack down along with the stock underperformance is here to stay and possibility intensify. 


Trouble in Paradise | India Credit Landscape & Wrath of the Regulator

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/union-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:546:1" rel="noopener">Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN)</a> is looking to raise up to INR 30bn (US$362m) with the floor price set at INR 142.78/share and a maximum discount of 5%.</li>
<li>The stock has run up a lot and with index inclusion around the corner, this is as good a time as any to issue stock.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/union-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:546:1" rel="noopener">Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN)</a> trades cheaper than peers and could continue to outperform over the near-term.</li>
</ul>



Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN) is looking to raise up to INR 30bn (US$362m) with the floor price set at INR 142.78/share and a maximum discount of 5%.
The stock has run up a lot and with index inclusion around the corner, this is as good a time as any to issue stock.

Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN) trades cheaper than peers and could continue to outperform over the near-term.


Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) Placement: Using Index Inclusion Well

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>As things stand, there could be one index change for the SENSEX index. </li>
<li>There could be four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the June 2024 index rebal event.
As things stand, there could be one index change for the SENSEX index. 
There could be four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and four ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 24: Wipro SENSEX Deletion Possible

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>Steady and strong profit is the key features of Power Finance and this is improving during FY24.</li>
<li>ROA expansion can continue to reach and possibly surpass the peaks of FY15 and FY16 with loan volume, contained costs, better credit metrics.</li>
<li>Recent quarterly data shows better loan volume and financial assets expanding more than financial liabilities, with credit costs in reverse.</li>
</ul>


Steady and strong profit is the key features of Power Finance and this is improving during FY24.
ROA expansion can continue to reach and possibly surpass the peaks of FY15 and FY16 with loan volume, contained costs, better credit metrics.
Recent quarterly data shows better loan volume and financial assets expanding more than financial liabilities, with credit costs in reverse.


Power Finance - Largest NBFC in India, Direct Focus on Power Infrastructure, Steady, Strong Returns

India

Union Bank of India Limited provides a full range of banking services throughout India. The Company's activities include retail banking, commercial and personal banking, investment management, treasury and NRI services, cash management and assorted ATM facilities. Union Bank has an online tele-banking facility for all its core banking customers.

YES BANK Limited provides banking services. The Bank offers deposits, personal loans, e-banking, trade finance, corporate, and business banking services. YES BANK serves the food and agribusiness, life sciences, healthcare, biotechnology, telecommunications, media, information technology, and infrastructure development industries in India.

IndusInd Bank Limited is a Mumbai-based Indian new generation bank established in 1994. The Bank provides a range of banking and financial services including  wholesale banking, credit monitoring, risk management, tele-banking, investment banking and commercial lending. IndusInd Bank operates branches throughout India as well as an office in Dubai and London.

IDBI Bank Limited provides a range of banking and financial services. The Bank's services include fund-based operations, such as venture capital and fee-based activities, which include merchant banking and debenture trusteeship.

Indian Overseas Bank operates some 1,429 banking branches in India, as well as six branches in overseas locations.  The Group's banks provide loan and deposit schemes, Internet banking, and a full range of banking services.

Punjab National Bank provides financial services such as corporate and personal banking, industrial finance, agricultural finance, financing of trade and international banking. The Company provides services to domestic conglomerates, medium and small industrial units, exporters, non-resident Indians and multinational companies.

Bank of Baroda owns and operates commercial banks in India.  The Group's banks provide the traditional forms of banking services, including CD's, Credit Card services and a variety of car loans, in addition to gold banking and a range of insurance services.  The Group also owns IBU International Finance Limited, an international banking company in Hong Kong.

UCO Bank provides a full range of banking services throughout India. UCO Bank operates over 1,700 banking branches in India, as well as four branches in overseas locations.

Indian Bank is a full service bank owned by the Government of India. The Bank offers a wide range of services including a foreign currency banking unit at Colombo and specialized overseas branches at Chennai, Bangalore, and Mumbai exclusively for handling foreign exchange  transactions arising out of export, import, remittances and non resident Indian business.

Bank of India, through its subsidiaries, provides corporate, commercial, personal banking, retail, rural, and development banking.  The Group specializes its services towards corporate and medium businesses, in addition to upmarket retail customers.

Bank of the Philippine Islands, through its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking services. The Company's products includes ATM, debit card system, credit card, electronic cash card, internet platform and other services.

BDO Unibank Inc provides banking services. The Bank offers saving accounts, investment, loans, credit and debit cards, remittance, insurance, and trade financing services. BDO Unibank serves customers in Philippines.

Bank for Investment and Development of Vietnam provides commercial banking services. The Company offers deposits, personal loans, e-banking, guarantees, and trade finance for customers, corporate, and financial institutions. Bank for Investment also offers foreign exchange, money market, derivatives, and debt market services.

Bank of Nanjing Co., Ltd. operates commercial banking businesses. The Company offers deposits, loans, settlement, discounting, financial bond issuance, government bond underwriting, bank guarantee, and other related financial services. Bank of Nanjing provides services for enterprises and individuals.

First Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company accepts deposits, provides loans and discount, letters of credit, and guarantee services, invests in marketable securities, provides securities brokerage and investment services, as well as provides insurance services.

E.Sun Financial Holding Company Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides banking, brokerage and dealer services.

Shinkin Central Bank is a central bank for shinkin banks nationwide, operating as a cooperative financial institution.  The Bank has developed businesses in a variety of fields that contribute the shinkin banking industry.  The Bank's services include enhancement of the credit standing, efficient use of shikin bank's surplus funds, and settlement of domestic exchange transaction.

Taiwan Cooperative Financial Holding, through subsidiaries, offers financial services.  The Company offers commercial banking, asset management, bills finance, and securities brokerage services.

Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co., Ltd. is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the Company conducts commercial banking, savings, trust, and international banking businesses. In addition, the Group also provides insurance services and acts as a dealer, broker, and underwriter for financial securities.

Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co Ltd. (2880 TT)

PT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk is a state-owned bank that conducts commercial and consumer banking services.

Canara Bank Ltd. provides a full range of banking services throughout India. The Group's activities include retail banking, commercial and personal banking, investment management, treasury & NRI services, cash management and assorted ATM facilities.

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Canara Bank (CBK IN)

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun 24: Who Will Replace Wipro?

I see Wipro as a high conviction DEL for SENSEX in June 2024 but there are questions marks over who will replace Wipro as size-based rankings and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Trouble in Paradise | India Credit Landscape & Wrath of the Regulator

India's credit landscape is evolving with regulatory challenges, but the RBI's proactive oversight of NBFCs sets it ahead of the curve, with more...

Pranav Bhavsar

Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) Placement: Using Index Inclusion Well

Union Bank of India is looking to raise INR 30bn (US$362m) via a QIP. The stock is near its highs and index inclusion is a week away. The stock...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun 24: Wipro SENSEX Deletion Possible

Wipro could be deleted from the SENSEX index in June 2024 and Coal India could become the replacement. There could be around three days of volume...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Power Finance - Largest NBFC in India, Direct Focus on Power Infrastructure, Steady, Strong Returns

Power Finance is India's largest non-banking finance company, the only direct play on power infrastructure, including renewable energy, with good...

Daniel Tabbush

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 24: Who Will Replace Wipro?

I see Wipro as a high conviction DEL for SENSEX in June 2024 but there are questions marks over who will replace Wipro as size-based rankings and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Trouble in Paradise | India Credit Landscape & Wrath of the Regulator

​India's credit landscape is evolving with regulatory challenges, but the RBI's proactive oversight of NBFCs sets it ahead of the curve, with more...

Pranav Bhavsar

Union Bank of India (UNBK IN) Placement: Using Index Inclusion Well

Union Bank of India is looking to raise INR 30bn (US$362m) via a QIP. The stock is near its highs and index inclusion is a week away. The stock...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun 24: Wipro SENSEX Deletion Possible

Wipro could be deleted from the SENSEX index in June 2024 and Coal India could become the replacement. There could be around three days of volume...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Power Finance - Largest NBFC in India, Direct Focus on Power Infrastructure, Steady, Strong Returns

Power Finance is India's largest non-banking finance company, the only direct play on power infrastructure, including renewable energy, with good...

Daniel Tabbush

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun 24: Who Will Replace Wipro?

India's credit landscape is evolving with regulatory challenges, but the RBI's proactive oversight of NBFCs sets it ahead of the curve, with more...

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun 24: Wipro SENSEX Deletion Possible