Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

Green World FinTech Service / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/green-world-fintech-service-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35281:1" rel="noopener">Green World FinTech Service (6763 TT)</a> is one of the leading third-party payment solution providers in Taiwanese market.</li>
<li>The Covid-19 pandemic has accelerated digitisation of the payments industry in Taiwan. This has helped strong growth in top line and margin improvements for the company.</li>
<li>Though the company seems fairly valued compared to regional and global players, we think further upside is possible given its strong market dominance and demand for fintech in Taiwan.</li>
</ul>



Green World FinTech Service (6763 TT) is one of the leading third-party payment solution providers in Taiwanese market.
The Covid-19 pandemic has accelerated digitisation of the payments industry in Taiwan. This has helped strong growth in top line and margin improvements for the company.
Though the company seems fairly valued compared to regional and global players, we think further upside is possible given its strong market dominance and demand for fintech in Taiwan.


Green World FinTech Service: Green Light On

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Green World Fintech Service is a fintech company in Taiwan with one of the most rock-solid fundamentals among all Asian fintech companies. </li>
<li>It had 39% and 122% CAGR growth in sales and operating profit, respectively from 2017 to 2020. Its operating margin improved from 4.9% in 2017 to 28.9% in 1Q-3Q 2021. </li>
<li>Nonetheless, our valuation analysis suggests a base case valuation of 15.9 billion TWD and implied price per share of 1,076 TWD, which is 8% below current price. </li>
</ul>


Green World Fintech Service is a fintech company in Taiwan with one of the most rock-solid fundamentals among all Asian fintech companies. 
It had 39% and 122% CAGR growth in sales and operating profit, respectively from 2017 to 2020. Its operating margin improved from 4.9% in 2017 to 28.9% in 1Q-3Q 2021. 
Nonetheless, our valuation analysis suggests a base case valuation of 15.9 billion TWD and implied price per share of 1,076 TWD, which is 8% below current price. 


Green World FinTech Service: A Fintech Company in Taiwan with Rock-Solid Fundamentals

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There will be 8 additions and 8 deletions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 12 December.</li>
<li>Most of the inclusions were forecast but there is a lot of variance among the list of deletions... index committee knows best!</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fadu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39896:1" rel="noopener">Fadu (440110 KS)</a> was ignored for yet another rebalance, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snh-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12212:1" rel="noopener">Snh Inc (051980 KS)</a> has also not been included in the index.</li>
</ul>


There will be 8 additions and 8 deletions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the next rebalance to be implemented at the close on 12 December.
Most of the inclusions were forecast but there is a lot of variance among the list of deletions... index committee knows best!

Fadu (440110 KS) was ignored for yet another rebalance, while Snh Inc (051980 KS) has also not been included in the index.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 8 Changes a Side; Fadu Appears to Be a 4 Letter Word

<ul>
<li>With the review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> December rebalance complete, there could be 10 changes at the review.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.24-7.3 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.5-6.4 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index</a> early in the review period, but there has been a small downward drift over the last 4 months.</li>
</ul>


With the review period for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) December rebalance complete, there could be 10 changes at the review.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 0.24-7.3 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 0.5-6.4 days of ADV.
The forecast adds outperformed the forecast deletes and the KOSDAQ 150 Index early in the review period, but there has been a small downward drift over the last 4 months.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes a Side and Some Close Names

<ul>
<li>With over 85% of the review period complete, there could be 10 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>Even with 10 potential changes, there is sector balance with half the changes in the Information Technology sector. Passive trading impact varies from 0.2-7.7x ADV.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ150 Index</a> since the start of the review period, though there has been a gentle drift lower since July.</li>
</ul>


With over 85% of the review period complete, there could be 10 changes for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance.
Even with 10 potential changes, there is sector balance with half the changes in the Information Technology sector. Passive trading impact varies from 0.2-7.7x ADV.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the KOSDAQ150 Index since the start of the review period, though there has been a gentle drift lower since July.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes in December

South Korea

Cafe24 Corp. provides electronic commerce services. The Company offers web hosting, server hosting, e-commerce hosting, e-commerce marketing consulting, and other web services. Cafe24 provides services worldwide.

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Cafe24 Corp (042000 KS)

Green World FinTech Service: Green Light On

Though Green World seems fairly valued compared to regional and global players, we think there is further upside given its strong market dominance...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Green World FinTech Service: A Fintech Company in Taiwan with Rock-Solid Fundamentals

Green World Fintech Service is a fintech company in Taiwan with one of the most rock-solid fundamentals among all Asian fintech companies. However,...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 8 Changes a Side; Fadu Appears to Be a 4 Letter Word

There are 8 changes for the KOSDAQ150 in Dec. Most of the adds are in line but there are of surprises too. Fadu has been ignored for yet another...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes a Side and Some Close Names

We forecast 10 changes a side for the index in December. There are names that are close to market cap/liquidity thresholds. The forecast adds...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes in December

There could be 10 changes for the index in December. Passive trading impact varies from 0.2-7.7x ADV. The adds have outperformed the deletes since...

Brian Freitas

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