External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>The USD is trading generally softer so far today after four consecutive daily gains that have taken the DXY index to test its 200-day MA.</li><li>That benchmark is holding for a third consecutive day and a lower closer on the session today would give the charts an obviously more negative look.</li><li>Still, firm US Retail Sales data yesterday add to signs that the US economy continues to move along at a very decent clip. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is trading generally softer so far today after four consecutive daily gains that have taken the DXY index to test its 200-day MA.That benchmark is holding for a third consecutive day and a lower closer on the session today would give the charts an obviously more negative look.Still, firm US Retail Sales data yesterday add to signs that the US economy continues to move along at a very decent clip. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Slips Back, GBP Outperforms on CPI

<ul><li>Markets retain a cautious undertone after China reported weaker than expected loan data (new loans dropped to the lowest since 2009), underscoring growth concerns.</li><li>The CNY weakened to its lowest level in a month. Global stocks are trading lower while major bond markets (ex Treasurys are weaker).</li><li>The USD is holding relatively firm amid soft risk sentiment, near yesterday’s high in DXY terms, but gains are not universal, and the dollar index still appears to be encountering resistance in the mid/ upper 102 area after rebounding strongly from the intraday lows seen around the US CPI report yesterday. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Markets retain a cautious undertone after China reported weaker than expected loan data (new loans dropped to the lowest since 2009), underscoring growth concerns.The CNY weakened to its lowest level in a month. Global stocks are trading lower while major bond markets (ex Treasurys are weaker).The USD is holding relatively firm amid soft risk sentiment, near yesterday’s high in DXY terms, but gains are not universal, and the dollar index still appears to be encountering resistance in the mid/ upper 102 area after rebounding strongly from the intraday lows seen around the US CPI report yesterday. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Mixed Amid Soft Risk Sentiment

<ul><li>The USD is drifting a little lower ahead of this morning’s key data releases.</li><li>The 8.30ET round brings US weekly claims (expected up slightly at 230k) and July CPI.</li><li>The monthly rise in inflation is expected to be moderate 0.2% M/M but the pace of headline inflation is expected to push higher from June’s 3.0% to 3.3%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is drifting a little lower ahead of this morning’s key data releases.The 8.30ET round brings US weekly claims (expected up slightly at 230k) and July CPI.The monthly rise in inflation is expected to be moderate 0.2% M/M but the pace of headline inflation is expected to push higher from June’s 3.0% to 3.3%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Slips Modestly Ahead of CPI

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The CAD has been one of the weaker performers over the course of the week but is heading into the long weekend here with a marginal loss against the USD of just over 0.2%.</li><li>That 0.2% still counts though and the CAD has been under pressure for much of the week after looking well bid and testing USD support around 1.3150 on Monday.</li><li>The CAD’s performance has been undercut by a mixture of factors but the broader market volatility around Fitch downgrade of the US” sovereign credit rating rattled the CAD a little as risk appetite weakened and, absent any compelling reason to buy, investors remain sidelined. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The CAD has been one of the weaker performers over the course of the week but is heading into the long weekend here with a marginal loss against the USD of just over 0.2%.That 0.2% still counts though and the CAD has been under pressure for much of the week after looking well bid and testing USD support around 1.3150 on Monday.The CAD’s performance has been undercut by a mixture of factors but the broader market volatility around Fitch downgrade of the US” sovereign credit rating rattled the CAD a little as risk appetite weakened and, absent any compelling reason to buy, investors remain sidelined. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CAD Weekly Outlook - CAD Finds Support in the High 1.33s

<ul><li>The USD is trading mixed to slightly firmer as markets show signs of calming after the volatility seen earlier in the week. Stocks are trading higher in Europe and rose modestly in Asia; US equity futures are positive.</li><li>US 10Y yields are holding near the recent high at 4.20% but intraday trends are largely tracking other major bond markets.</li><li>Commodities are mixed to firmer (crude and iron ore). The NOK and AUD are moderate outperformers on the day (reflecting gains in relevant commodities noted above). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is trading mixed to slightly firmer as markets show signs of calming after the volatility seen earlier in the week. Stocks are trading higher in Europe and rose modestly in Asia; US equity futures are positive.US 10Y yields are holding near the recent high at 4.20% but intraday trends are largely tracking other major bond markets.Commodities are mixed to firmer (crude and iron ore). The NOK and AUD are moderate outperformers on the day (reflecting gains in relevant commodities noted above). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Canada

The Canadian dollar is the official currency of Canada. 

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CAD (USDCAD CURNCY)

FX Daily - USD Slips Back, GBP Outperforms on CPI

The USD is trading generally softer so far today after four consecutive daily gains that have taken the DXY index to test its 200-day MA.

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Mixed Amid Soft Risk Sentiment

Markets retain a cautious undertone after China reported weaker than expected loan data (new loans dropped to the lowest since 2009), underscoring...

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Slips Modestly Ahead of CPI

The USD is drifting a little lower ahead of this morning’s key data releases. The 8.30ET round brings US weekly claims (expected up slightly at...

Scotiabank

CAD Weekly Outlook - CAD Finds Support in the High 1.33s

The CAD has been one of the weaker performers over the course of the week but is heading into the long weekend here with a marginal loss against...

Scotiabank

FX Daily - USD Mixed Ahead of Jobs Data

Commodities are mixed to firmer (crude and iron ore). The NOK and AUD are moderate outperformers on the day (reflecting gains in relevant...

Scotiabank

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