IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-10/asia-pulp-paper-is-said-to-bid-for-stake-in-tissue-maker-vinda#xj4y7vzkg" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a> Asia Pulp &amp; Paper is the latest party to have expressed interest in acquiring <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/essity-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28203:1" rel="noopener">Essity (ESSITYB SS)</a>’s controlling <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda International (3331 HK)</a> stake at more than HK$20 per share.</li>
<li>Vinda has three substantial shareholders. We think the most likely structure is a bidder acquiring Essity’s stake, which would trigger a mandatory general offer.</li>
<li>Vinda's recent update points to improving growth and margins. Peers and historical multiples imply a fair price range of HK$21-26 per share, a 7-32% premium to the last close.</li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reported Asia Pulp &amp; Paper is the latest party to have expressed interest in acquiring Essity (ESSITYB SS)’s controlling Vinda International (3331 HK) stake at more than HK$20 per share.
Vinda has three substantial shareholders. We think the most likely structure is a bidder acquiring Essity’s stake, which would trigger a mandatory general offer.
Vinda's recent update points to improving growth and margins. Peers and historical multiples imply a fair price range of HK$21-26 per share, a 7-32% premium to the last close.


Vinda International (3331 HK): Essity’s Stake Attracts More Potential Bidders

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Xinjiang Tianshan Cement A / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.</li>
<li>There are some changes to the list of expected ADDs/DELs since I published my last insight on this roughly a month ago.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.
There are some changes to the list of expected ADDs/DELs since I published my last insight on this roughly a month ago.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: Exp. One-Way Flow Tops US$3bn Due to Passive AUM Surge

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda International (3331 HK)</a> has announced the pre-condition for Sukanto Tanoto’s HK$23.50 voluntary offer is satisfied. The composite document will be despatched on or before 11 March. </li>
<li>The offeror has received irrevocables from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/essity-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28203:1" rel="noopener">Essity (ESSITYB SS)</a> and Mr Li, representing 72.62% of outstanding shares, which satisfies the 50% minimum acceptance condition.</li>
<li>Including irrevocables, the offeror currently represents 80.31% of outstanding shares. The offeror intends to exercise compulsory acquisition rights. The tight 0.4% gross spread reflects a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Vinda International (3331 HK) has announced the pre-condition for Sukanto Tanoto’s HK$23.50 voluntary offer is satisfied. The composite document will be despatched on or before 11 March. 
The offeror has received irrevocables from Essity (ESSITYB SS) and Mr Li, representing 72.62% of outstanding shares, which satisfies the 50% minimum acceptance condition.
Including irrevocables, the offeror currently represents 80.31% of outstanding shares. The offeror intends to exercise compulsory acquisition rights. The tight 0.4% gross spread reflects a done deal. 


Vinda International (3331 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfied

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.</li>
<li>I currently see 11 changes for the CSI 300 index and 50 changes for the CSI 500 index.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.
I currently see 11 changes for the CSI 300 index and 50 changes for the CSI 500 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index

Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.</li>
<li>Since my <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-csi-300-500-jun-24-109-flow-names-us-2-3bn-one-way" target="_blank" rel="noopener">December 2023 insight</a>, a couple of names have left the CSI 300 Expected ADDs basket and have been replaced by two other names. </li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.
Since my December 2023 insight, a couple of names have left the CSI 300 Expected ADDs basket and have been replaced by two other names. 


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: Some Changes in Rankings; US$2.3bn One-Way

China

C&S Paper Company Limited researches, develops, manufactures and sells consumer tissue. The Company's main products include tissue rolls, paper handkerchiefs, boxed tissues and soft pumping paper.

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C&S Paper Co Ltd A (002511 CH)

Vinda International (3331 HK): Essity’s Stake Attracts More Potential Bidders

Vinda’s improving performance has supported the increasing list of potential bidders. The most likely bid structure is the acquisition of Essity’s...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Exp. One-Way Flow Tops US$3bn Due to Passive AUM Surge

Significant amounts of new passive money has flowed into the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index resulting in a sharp increase in our one-way flow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Vinda International (3331 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfied

The composite document will be despatched on or before 11 March. Irrevocables ensure the satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition. The...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index

There could be one-way index flows of US$2.5bn collectively for the CSI 300 index and CSI 500 index in June 2024. The CSI 300 Direct DELs could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Some Changes in Rankings; US$2.3bn One-Way

Collectively, the CSI 300 and CSI 500 expected changes basket can result in ~US$2.3bn index flows one-way. Around 70% of the reference period is...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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Vinda International (3331 HK): Essity’s Stake Attracts More Potential Bidders

Vinda’s improving performance has supported the increasing list of potential bidders. The most likely bid structure is the acquisition of Essity’s...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: Exp. One-Way Flow Tops US$3bn Due to Passive AUM Surge

Significant amounts of new passive money has flowed into the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index resulting in a sharp increase in our one-way flow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Vinda International (3331 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfied

The composite document will be despatched on or before 11 March. Irrevocables ensure the satisfaction of the minimum acceptance condition. The...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index

There could be one-way index flows of US$2.5bn collectively for the CSI 300 index and CSI 500 index in June 2024. The CSI 300 Direct DELs could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: Some Changes in Rankings; US$2.3bn One-Way

Collectively, the CSI 300 and CSI 500 expected changes basket can result in ~US$2.3bn index flows one-way. Around 70% of the reference period is...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Exp. One-Way Flow Tops US$3bn Due to Passive AUM Surge

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Some Changes in Rankings; US$2.3bn One-Way