External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales volumes on 1 Dec 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 49% YoY (ranging from -17% to +245%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -1% to +48%) in Nov.</li><li>Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Nov.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales volumes on 1 Dec 2023.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 49% YoY (ranging from -17% to +245%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -1% to +48%) in Nov.Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Nov.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – NEV Sales Volume MoM Growth Narrowed in Nov

<ul><li>After a strong sales beat in 2023, we expect China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) sales growth to be moderate in 2024E.</li><li>While it is still difficult to identify long-term winner in China’s auto industry, competition, overseas expansion and technological advancement would still be the key topics for 2024.</li><li>Exports, Chinese brands’ market share gain and competition still key topics.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

After a strong sales beat in 2023, we expect China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) sales growth to be moderate in 2024E.While it is still difficult to identify long-term winner in China’s auto industry, competition, overseas expansion and technological advancement would still be the key topics for 2024.Exports, Chinese brands’ market share gain and competition still key topics.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Competition Pushes Technological Advancement, Overseas Expansion

<ul><li>We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li><li>In general, new orders per store for most brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which have been consistent with our prior projection that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.In general, new orders per store for most brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which have been consistent with our prior projection that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Improving Leading Indicators Imply Strong 4Q23

<ul><li>We summarize the Oct 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Sep 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Oct retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Discounts at dealers for most brands continued to widen MoM in Oct 2023.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Oct 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Sep 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Oct retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Discounts at dealers for most brands continued to widen MoM in Oct 2023.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Oct discounts widened after 3Q23 earnings beat

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Upgrade to BUY. Although BYD-A’s share price has been between -15% and +13% of our previous target price of RMB 270, our major concerns with a prior HOLD rating were more about model cycle and margin dent from a potential overcapacity.</li><li>It turned out that BYD’s sales volume growth has lasted longer than expected and its earnings have been more solid than our prior forecasts.</li><li>We now think that such trends could continue in the next few quarters, aided by premium models, exports and greater economies of scale. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Upgrade to BUY. Although BYD-A’s share price has been between -15% and +13% of our previous target price of RMB 270, our major concerns with a prior HOLD rating were more about model cycle and margin dent from a potential overcapacity.It turned out that BYD’s sales volume growth has lasted longer than expected and its earnings have been more solid than our prior forecasts.We now think that such trends could continue in the next few quarters, aided by premium models, exports and greater economies of scale. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYD Company (002594 CH) – Profit May Continue to Beat in Next Few Quarters

China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

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BYD (002594 CH)

China Auto Sector – NEV Sales Volume MoM Growth Narrowed in Nov

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Competition Pushes Technological Advancement, Overseas Expansion

While it is still difficult to identify long-term winner in China’s auto industry, competition, overseas expansion and technological advancement...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Improving Leading Indicators Imply Strong 4Q23

We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Oct discounts widened after 3Q23 earnings beat

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Sep 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Oct retail...

CMB International

BYD Company (002594 CH) – Profit May Continue to Beat in Next Few Quarters

It turned out that BYD’s sales volume growth has lasted longer than expected and its earnings have been more solid than our prior forecasts.

CMB International

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