ASEAN (Indo) & China-focused. Ex-Deputy HoR UBS.

Johannes Salim, CFA

Event-Driven

<ul><li>Our revisit on the previous tender offer (TO) case reveals that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/1143" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1143:1">Astro Malaysia Holdings Bhd (ASTRO MK)</a> now trades at a much more attractive valuation (6.6x EV/EBITDA, vs. 10.8x at previous TO price).</li><li>The controlling shareholder has a good track record in executing TO tactics, especially when share prices slump.</li><li>Fundamentals at ASTRO are weakening though given industry headwinds.</li></ul>

Our revisit on the previous tender offer (TO) case reveals that Astro Malaysia Holdings Bhd (ASTRO MK) now trades at a much more attractive valuation (6.6x EV/EBITDA, vs. 10.8x at previous TO price).The controlling shareholder has a good track record in executing TO tactics, especially when share prices slump.Fundamentals at ASTRO are weakening though given industry headwinds.

Astro Malaysia: Is Tender Offer/Privatization Coming?

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Japanese and Asian equity long/short strategies

Uzabase

Specialising in Japanese and Asian equity long/short strategies with a focus on rigorous, but targeted quantitative analysis to temper evaluations of company strategy, potential and vision. At Uzabase, our team of analysts provides coverage of industry dynamics with a local Asian flavour on Speeda, our financial information platform. Going forward we are aiming to channel our focus toward thematic research on emerging industries and company research.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p>A discussion with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/2840" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2840:1">Modec Inc (6269 JP)</a> yesterday lead us to believe that positive news flow on orders for FPSOs is likely to pick up going forward and we found the company to be in a relatively confident mood. In particular, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21135" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21135:1">SBM Offshore NV (SBMO NA)</a>'s bribery scandal and subsequent shutout from Petrobras related FPSO construction projects makes MODEC a pseudo monopolist with the most attractive source of FPSO orders globally. Petrobras, being an SOE, is bound to solicit bids from numerous…</p>

A discussion with Modec Inc (6269 JP) yesterday lead us to believe that positive news flow on orders for FPSOs is likely to pick up going forward and we found the company to be in a relatively confident mood. In particular, SBM Offshore NV (SBMO NA)'s bribery scandal and subsequent shutout from Petrobras related FPSO construction projects makes MODEC a pseudo monopolist with the most attractive source of FPSO orders globally. Petrobras, being an SOE, is bound to solicit bids from numerous…

MODEC Visit Confirms Improvement in Order Outlook

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

REAL-Economics.com

Macroeconomics

<p><strong>-The oil majors' favourite refining hub in ASEAN is Singapore, while the crude-oil/gas comes mainly from Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei. Infusion of Saudi capital will help to partially redress that, although Saudi Arabia is only the 7th largest oil-refining country, and ARAMCO has moderate amounts of technological expertise (mainly from its ownership of S-Oil in Korea). </strong></p><p><strong>-Malaysia and (especially) Indonesia have been wary of "Arabised" or Wahhabi Islam, and see Saudi offers to widen Arabic</strong>…</p>

-The oil majors' favourite refining hub in ASEAN is Singapore, while the crude-oil/gas comes mainly from Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei. Infusion of Saudi capital will help to partially redress that, although Saudi Arabia is only the 7th largest oil-refining country, and ARAMCO has moderate amounts of technological expertise (mainly from its ownership of S-Oil in Korea). -Malaysia and (especially) Indonesia have been wary of "Arabised" or Wahhabi Islam, and see Saudi offers to widen Arabic…

King Salman Bearing Gifts: Implications for ASEAN, Oil-Refining and Religion

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

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<p>§  <strong>The SGX Maritime &amp; Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in tandem with the recovery of crude oil prices, which may be an indication that the sector could be bottoming out.</strong></p>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<p>§  <strong>Despite the rally, the 18 constituents within the SGX MOE Index are trading at an average current price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.7x, with 10 of them trading below their book values.</strong></p>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<p>§  <strong>Consensus estimates are expecting oil prices to stabilise and</strong>…</p>
</td></tr>
</tbody></table>


 

§  The SGX Maritime &amp; Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in tandem with the recovery of crude oil prices, which may be an indication that the sector could be bottoming out.
 
§  Despite the rally, the 18 constituents within the SGX MOE Index are trading at an average current price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.7x, with 10 of them trading below their book values.
 
§  Consensus estimates are expecting oil prices to stabilise and…



SGX's MOE Sector Sustains 4Q16 Momentum into 2017

EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
​
More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

<div>Oil prices have had a jittery week after the shock of the US elections leading to a dollar resurgence and abject confusion over the impact on the potential impending OPEC deal. </div><div>Short positions have steadily been building under the assumption a deal likely won't be done, or if it is done then it won't be enforceable and not take enough barrels off the market. </div><div>This had sparked a predictable series of leaks and a flurry of diplomatic activity from oil ministers and the OPEC Secretary General to try…</div>

Oil prices have had a jittery week after the shock of the US elections leading to a dollar resurgence and abject confusion over the impact on the potential impending OPEC deal. Short positions have steadily been building under the assumption a deal likely won't be done, or if it is done then it won't be enforceable and not take enough barrels off the market. This had sparked a predictable series of leaks and a flurry of diplomatic activity from oil ministers and the OPEC Secretary General to try…

Malaysia

Bumi Armada Bhd is an international offshore services provider to the oil and gas industry in Malaysia and other countries in Asia.  The Company owns and operates offshore support vessels to provide support for exploration, development and production activities in the offshore O&G industry.

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Bumi Armada (BAB MK)

Astro Malaysia: Is Tender Offer/Privatization Coming?

Our revisit on the previous tender offer (TO) case reveals that Astro Malaysia Holdings Bhd (ASTRO MK) now trades at a much more attractive...

Johannes Salim, CFA

MODEC Visit Confirms Improvement in Order Outlook

A discussion with Modec Inc (6269 JP) yesterday lead us to believe that positive news flow on orders for FPSOs is likely to pick up going forward...

Mio Kato

King Salman Bearing Gifts: Implications for ASEAN, Oil-Refining and Religion

-The oil majors' favourite refining hub in ASEAN is Singapore, while the crude-oil/gas comes mainly from Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei. Infusion...

Prasenjit K. Basu

SGX's MOE Sector Sustains 4Q16 Momentum into 2017

§ The SGX Maritime & Offshore Services (MOE) Index, a benchmark for the MOE Sector, has rebounded 19.7% from its trough on 1 Sep 2016 in...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Playing the OPEC Deal

Oil prices have had a jittery week after the shock of the US elections leading to a dollar resurgence and abject confusion over the impact on the...

Emad Mostaque

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