ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> booked a strong set of FY2021 results with sales growing by +68% and net profit by +64%, driven by a strong performance from logistics business.</li>
<li>Anteraja now makes up 54% of sales and broke even in FY2021, delivering an average of 650,000 parcels per day in 2021, expected to rise to 1.5m by December 2022.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> is a proxy for mobility through car leasing, online and offline used car sales through <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autopedia-sukses-lestari" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35508:1" rel="noopener">Autopedia</a>, and last-mile deliveries through Anteraja.</li>
</ul>



Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) booked a strong set of FY2021 results with sales growing by +68% and net profit by +64%, driven by a strong performance from logistics business.
Anteraja now makes up 54% of sales and broke even in FY2021, delivering an average of 650,000 parcels per day in 2021, expected to rise to 1.5m by December 2022.

Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) is a proxy for mobility through car leasing, online and offline used car sales through Autopedia, and last-mile deliveries through Anteraja.


Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) - Mobility, Logistics, and the Digital Economy

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-adiperkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18684:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ace-hardware-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ),</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a>, as well as rapidly transforming <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>We also look at the IPO debut of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a>, slower cement sales in Indonesia, and the end of an era for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ), Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ), and Bukalapak (BUKA IJ), as well as rapidly transforming Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ). 
We also look at the IPO debut of GoTo (GOTO IJ), slower cement sales in Indonesia, and the end of an era for Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP). 


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - MAPI's Remoulding, Sido Muncul, and Bukalapak's Renaissance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak's (BUKA IJ)</a> results saw very strong growth from its Mitra Business, with a much slower marketplace but we see the latter picking up as its specialty strategy is developed. </li>
<li>The launch of both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allo-bank-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33551:1" rel="noopener">Allo Bank Indonesia</a> and Allo Fresh over the next two quarters should provide some excitement, whilst its gaming marketplace Itemku is already profitable. </li>
<li>Take rates should improve in 2022 as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> offers a broadening array of services across its Mitra and marketplace verticals. Valuations look attractive versus peers. </li>
</ul>



Bukalapak's (BUKA IJ) results saw very strong growth from its Mitra Business, with a much slower marketplace but we see the latter picking up as its specialty strategy is developed. 
The launch of both Allo Bank Indonesia and Allo Fresh over the next two quarters should provide some excitement, whilst its gaming marketplace Itemku is already profitable. 
Take rates should improve in 2022 as Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) offers a broadening array of services across its Mitra and marketplace verticals. Valuations look attractive versus peers. 


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Increasing Clarity with a Focus on Category Leadership

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> lists on the IDX tomorrow. The IDX has <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a>'s free float at 66% which would mean IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 Fast Entry index inclusion. </li>
<li>If included in the indices at a free float of 66%, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> will have a weight of 13.55% in the IDX30 Index and 12.12% in the LQ45 Index.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will then need to buy 13.2% of the real float on the stock. Active funds will also buy the stock as it would appear in their benchmarks.</li>
</ul>



GoTo (GOTO IJ) lists on the IDX tomorrow. The IDX has GoTo (GOTO IJ)'s free float at 66% which would mean IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 Fast Entry index inclusion. 
If included in the indices at a free float of 66%, GoTo (GOTO IJ) will have a weight of 13.55% in the IDX30 Index and 12.12% in the LQ45 Index.
Passive trackers will then need to buy 13.2% of the real float on the stock. Active funds will also buy the stock as it would appear in their benchmarks.


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Potential LQ45, IDX30, IDX80 Index Fast Entry & Impact

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>GoTo was initially aiming to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing. It managed to raise US$960m after downsizing its deal and pricing close to the midpoint.</li>
<li>GoTo, is an Indonesian holding company, was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.</li>
<li>In this note, we’ll talk about the trading dynamics of the deal.</li>
</ul>


GoTo was initially aiming to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing. It managed to raise US$960m after downsizing its deal and pricing close to the midpoint.
GoTo, is an Indonesian holding company, was formed in May 2021 as a result of a merger between Gojek, leading player in ride hailing, and Tokopedia, leading e-commerce player.
In this note, we’ll talk about the trading dynamics of the deal.


GoTo IPO Trading - A Test for the Domestic Market

Indonesia

Bukalapak.com PT Tbk provides e-discretionary services. The Company offers range of electronics, food, shoes, apparel, watches, bags, cosmetics products, and other accessories. Bukalapak.com serves customers in Indonesia.

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Bukalapak.com PT Tbk (BUKA IJ)

Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) - Mobility, Logistics, and the Digital Economy

Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) is a proxy for mobility through car leasing, online and offline used car sales through Autopedia, and last-mile...

Angus Mackintosh

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - MAPI's Remoulding, Sido Muncul, and Bukalapak's Renaissance

The past week saw insights on Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ), Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ), and Bukalapak (BUKA IJ), as well as rapidly...

Angus Mackintosh

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Increasing Clarity with a Focus on Category Leadership

Take rates should improve in 2022, as Bukalapak offers a broadening array of services across its Mitra and marketplace verticals, with valuations...

Angus Mackintosh

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Potential LQ45, IDX30, IDX80 Index Fast Entry & Impact

GoTo lists tomorrow and could get Fast Entry to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices if the IDX uses a float of 66%. That would require passives to...

Brian Freitas

GoTo IPO Trading - A Test for the Domestic Market

GoTo was initially aiming to raise around US$1.25bn from a local listing. It managed to raise US$960m after downsizing its deal and pricing close...

Sumeet Singh

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