ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Google, Temasek, and Bain&amp;Co just released their much-anticipated eConomy SEA 2022 report outlining recent trends and future expectations for South-East Asia's digital economy. </li>
<li>No doubt post-pandemic growth has been tapering but the long-term growth story remains intact. The key focus has switched to the path to profitability versus headline growth.</li>
<li>Major digital players in South-East Asia will release 3Q results next month with all eyes focused on take rates, contribution margins, and Adjusted EBITDA margins rather than headline growth.</li>
</ul>


Google, Temasek, and Bain&amp;Co just released their much-anticipated eConomy SEA 2022 report outlining recent trends and future expectations for South-East Asia's digital economy. 
No doubt post-pandemic growth has been tapering but the long-term growth story remains intact. The key focus has switched to the path to profitability versus headline growth.
Major digital players in South-East Asia will release 3Q results next month with all eyes focused on take rates, contribution margins, and Adjusted EBITDA margins rather than headline growth.


SEA EConomy - A Squall in 2022 with Rough Seas Ahead

Research from Tech in Asia, Tech in Asia

Tech in Asia

Research from Tech in Asia

Tech in Asia (YC W15) is the largest English-language technology media company that focuses on Asia. From the latest news to the hottest trends and the boldest startups to the strongest titans, we cover everything tech in the region. Our goal is to build and serve Asia’s tech and startup community.

News from Tech in Asia

<ul><li>Southeast Asia’s digital economy is poised to hit US$200 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) in 2022 – three years earlier than predicted.</li><li>Over the past three years, 100 million users have come online in Southeast Asia, with the region housing over 460 million internet users.</li><li>However, the report stated that after years of acceleration and growth, digital players are more concerned about deepening engagement with current consumers rather than acquiring new ones.</li></ul>

Southeast Asia’s digital economy is poised to hit US$200 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) in 2022 – three years earlier than predicted.Over the past three years, 100 million users have come online in Southeast Asia, with the region housing over 460 million internet users.However, the report stated that after years of acceleration and growth, digital players are more concerned about deepening engagement with current consumers rather than acquiring new ones.

SEA Digital Economy to Grow in 2022 Despite Headwinds: Report

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> confirmed that it is exploring a coordinated secondary offering of shares held by pre-IPO shareholders. The Series A shareholders’ lock-up expires on 30 November 2022. </li>
<li>The lock-up of 89.63% of the outstanding shares expires on 30 November. Within these shares, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> stakes are worth a combined US$2.6bn.</li>
<li>GoTo continues to grow but with material losses and cash burn. The shares are fairly valued but the sizeable secondary offering (US$1 billion based on reports) will pressure the price. </li>
</ul>



GoTo (GOTO IJ) confirmed that it is exploring a coordinated secondary offering of shares held by pre-IPO shareholders. The Series A shareholders’ lock-up expires on 30 November 2022. 
The lock-up of 89.63% of the outstanding shares expires on 30 November. Within these shares, Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) and Softbank Group (9984 JP) stakes are worth a combined US$2.6bn.
GoTo continues to grow but with material losses and cash burn. The shares are fairly valued but the sizeable secondary offering (US$1 billion based on reports) will pressure the price. 


GoTo Lock-Up: A Sizeable Secondary Offering Incoming

Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-pt-blibli" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener">Blibli (1437710D IJ)</a>, a leading Indonesian e-commerce player, has launched an IDR8.2 trillion (US$530 million) Indonesian IPO. Bookbuilding is from 17 to 24 October.</li>
<li>We have previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82294" rel="noopener">Blibli IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82376" rel="noopener">Blibli IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-vs-tokopedia-vs-bukalapak-vs-lazada-vs-shopee" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82473" rel="noopener">Blibli Vs Tokopedia Vs Bukalapak Vs Lazada Vs Shopee</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.</li>
</ul>



Blibli (1437710D IJ), a leading Indonesian e-commerce player, has launched an IDR8.2 trillion (US$530 million) Indonesian IPO. Bookbuilding is from 17 to 24 October.
We have previously discussed the IPO in Blibli IPO: The Bull Case, Blibli IPO: The Bear Case and Blibli Vs Tokopedia Vs Bukalapak Vs Lazada Vs Shopee. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-pt-blibli" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener">Blibli (1437710D IJ)</a>, a leading Indonesian e-commerce player, has launched an IDR8.2 trillion (US$530 million) Indonesian IPO. Bookbuilding is from 17 to 24 October.</li>
<li>We have previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82294" rel="noopener">Blibli IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/blibli-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:82376" rel="noopener">Blibli IPO: The Bear Case</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we compare Blibli vs its peers' relevant businesses across monthly site visits, app downloads, social engagement, GTV, take rates and segmental margins.   </li>
</ul>



Blibli (1437710D IJ), a leading Indonesian e-commerce player, has launched an IDR8.2 trillion (US$530 million) Indonesian IPO. Bookbuilding is from 17 to 24 October.
We have previously discussed the IPO in Blibli IPO: The Bull Case and Blibli IPO: The Bear Case.
In this note, we compare Blibli vs its peers' relevant businesses across monthly site visits, app downloads, social engagement, GTV, take rates and segmental margins.   


Blibli Vs Tokopedia Vs Bukalapak Vs Lazada Vs Shopee

Indonesia

PT Matahari Department Store Tbk engages in the retail business for several types of products such as clothes, accessories, bags, shoes, cosmetics, household appliances, and management consulting services.

PT Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk operates department stores in Indonesia which sell items such as clothes, accessories, bags, shoes, cosmetics, and daily needs. Its department stores are known as Ramayana, Robinson, and Cahaya.

PT Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk operates department stores and specialty stores selling a broad range of goods including clothing, toys, food, and other merchandise.

PT Multipolar Tbk imports, trades, distributes, retails, and services computers and related products. The Company provides computer equipment rental, informatics engineering, and management services. Multipolar, through its subsidiaries, also provides share administration services.

PT Trikomsel Oke Tbk operates in the retail telecommunication business.  The Company operates retail stores in cities throughout Indonesia that offer a wide range of branded cellular phones.

PT ACE Hardware Indonesia Tbk retails tools, home improvement products, lawn and garden supplies, plumbing, furniture, sporting goods, and pet supplies.

PT Tunas Ridean Tbk and its subsidiaries operate automobile dealerships that sell new and used motor vehicles, spare parts and accessories as well as provide after-sales services.  Through its subsidiary, PT Tunas Financindo Corporation, the Company also provides operating lease and consumer financing services.

PT Golden Retailindo Tbk operates department stores.  The Company retails men's, women's and children's clothing, shoes, cosmetics and fragrances, watches, and other products.

PT Indomobil Sukses Internasional Tbk assembles, and distributes automobiles, buses, trucks, motorcycles, and their related parts. The Company provides automotive maintenance, financing, and rental services.  Indomobil also trades used cars.

PT Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk is an automotive company which provides distribution & retail for Honda motorcycles, manufacturing and distribution of auto parts such as lubricant oil, auto services such as car rental and auto-related financial services such as consumer financing and insurance.

Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store Co. Ltd. operates department stores in Nanjing, Jiangsu.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also develops real estate and manufactures pharmaceuticals.

Nanjing Xinjiekou Department S (600682 CH)

V-Mart Retail Limited owns, operates, and franchises a chain of family lifestyle stores in India. The Company operates medium sized hypermarket format retail stores that sell clothes, accessories, and footwear for men, women, and kids; cosmetics, luggage, toys, and games; and food, non-food, and staple items.

Dashang Group Co., Ltd. owns and operates department stores in the northeast of China.  The Company also provides entertainment and food services.

Rainbow Department Store Co., Ltd. operates chain department store.  The Company operates retail department stores and franchises shopping malls.

Chengdu Hongqi Chain Company Limited operates convenience stores chain. The Company's main products are food, alcoholic drinks and tobacco, and other daily necessities.

Hyundai Department Store Co., Ltd. operates department stores under the name of Hyundai Department over nationwide.  The Company also produces home shopping programs for cable channels and sells merchandise through home shopping programs.

Wuhan Department Store Group Co., Ltd. owns and operates department stores. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also invests in real estate development, property management, and food services.

Wuhan Department Store Group Co Ltd. (000501 CH)

Hangzhou Jiebai Group Co., Ltd. operates department stores, invests in import and export trading, operates hotels, and provides advertising services.

Beijing Cuiwei Tower Co. Ltd. retails diversified products. The Company sells apparel, jewelry, cosmetics, sports products, home appliances, handicrafts, photographic equipment, household goods, and other goods through its department stores. Beijing Cuiwei Tower also provides online sales services.

Kintetsu Department Store Co., Ltd. operates department stores mainly in Osaka, Nara, Kyoto, and other Kansai prefectures. The Company sells clothing, foods, as well as other household items. Kintetsu Department Store also operates restaurants.

Bukalapak.com PT Tbk provides e-discretionary services. The Company offers range of electronics, food, shoes, apparel, watches, bags, cosmetics products, and other accessories. Bukalapak.com serves customers in Indonesia.

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Bukalapak.com PT Tbk (BUKA IJ)

SEA EConomy - A Squall in 2022 with Rough Seas Ahead

Major digital players in South-East Asia will release 3Q results next month with all eyes focused on take rates, contribution margins, and Adjusted...

Angus Mackintosh

SEA Digital Economy to Grow in 2022 Despite Headwinds: Report

Southeast Asia’s digital economy is poised to hit US$200 billion in gross merchandise value (GMV) in 2022 – three years earlier than predicted.

Tech in Asia

GoTo Lock-Up: A Sizeable Secondary Offering Incoming

The lock-up of 89.63% of shares expires on 30 November. The shares are fairly valued at the last close, but the sizeable secondary offering (US$1bn...

Arun George

Blibli IPO: Valuation Insights

Bookbuilding will close on 24 October. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. We would give the IPO a pass.

Arun George

Blibli Vs Tokopedia Vs Bukalapak Vs Lazada Vs Shopee

In this note, we compare Blibli vs its peers' relevant businesses across monthly site visits, app downloads, social engagement, GTV, take rates and...

Arun George

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