Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Float and capping changes will require passive trackers to buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a> and sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia Persero (BBRI IJ)</a> at the close on 28 April.</li>
<li>There will be passive changes to other stocks too, though the impact will not be material on most of the stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> could be added to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in May. With the oversubscription option nearly all used up, the stock should trade weak near-term.</li>
</ul>


Float and capping changes will require passive trackers to buy Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ) and sell Bank Rakyat Indonesia Persero (BBRI IJ) at the close on 28 April.
There will be passive changes to other stocks too, though the impact will not be material on most of the stocks.

GoTo (GOTO IJ) could be added to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in May. With the oversubscription option nearly all used up, the stock should trade weak near-term.


IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 Index Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> booked a strong set of FY2021 results with sales growing by +68% and net profit by +64%, driven by a strong performance from logistics business.</li>
<li>Anteraja now makes up 54% of sales and broke even in FY2021, delivering an average of 650,000 parcels per day in 2021, expected to rise to 1.5m by December 2022.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adi-sarana-armada-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16947:1" rel="noopener">Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ)</a> is a proxy for mobility through car leasing, online and offline used car sales through <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autopedia-sukses-lestari" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35508:1" rel="noopener">Autopedia</a>, and last-mile deliveries through Anteraja.</li>
</ul>



Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) booked a strong set of FY2021 results with sales growing by +68% and net profit by +64%, driven by a strong performance from logistics business.
Anteraja now makes up 54% of sales and broke even in FY2021, delivering an average of 650,000 parcels per day in 2021, expected to rise to 1.5m by December 2022.

Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) is a proxy for mobility through car leasing, online and offline used car sales through Autopedia, and last-mile deliveries through Anteraja.


Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) - Mobility, Logistics, and the Digital Economy

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitra-adiperkasa-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18684:1" rel="noopener">Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ace-hardware-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ),</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a>, as well as rapidly transforming <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>We also look at the IPO debut of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a>, slower cement sales in Indonesia, and the end of an era for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ), Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ), and Bukalapak (BUKA IJ), as well as rapidly transforming Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ). 
We also look at the IPO debut of GoTo (GOTO IJ), slower cement sales in Indonesia, and the end of an era for Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP). 


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - MAPI's Remoulding, Sido Muncul, and Bukalapak's Renaissance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak's (BUKA IJ)</a> results saw very strong growth from its Mitra Business, with a much slower marketplace but we see the latter picking up as its specialty strategy is developed. </li>
<li>The launch of both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allo-bank-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33551:1" rel="noopener">Allo Bank Indonesia</a> and Allo Fresh over the next two quarters should provide some excitement, whilst its gaming marketplace Itemku is already profitable. </li>
<li>Take rates should improve in 2022 as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bukalapak" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33575:1" rel="noopener">Bukalapak (BUKA IJ)</a> offers a broadening array of services across its Mitra and marketplace verticals. Valuations look attractive versus peers. </li>
</ul>



Bukalapak's (BUKA IJ) results saw very strong growth from its Mitra Business, with a much slower marketplace but we see the latter picking up as its specialty strategy is developed. 
The launch of both Allo Bank Indonesia and Allo Fresh over the next two quarters should provide some excitement, whilst its gaming marketplace Itemku is already profitable. 
Take rates should improve in 2022 as Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) offers a broadening array of services across its Mitra and marketplace verticals. Valuations look attractive versus peers. 


Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Increasing Clarity with a Focus on Category Leadership

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> lists on the IDX tomorrow. The IDX has <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a>'s free float at 66% which would mean IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 Fast Entry index inclusion. </li>
<li>If included in the indices at a free float of 66%, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> will have a weight of 13.55% in the IDX30 Index and 12.12% in the LQ45 Index.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will then need to buy 13.2% of the real float on the stock. Active funds will also buy the stock as it would appear in their benchmarks.</li>
</ul>



GoTo (GOTO IJ) lists on the IDX tomorrow. The IDX has GoTo (GOTO IJ)'s free float at 66% which would mean IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 Fast Entry index inclusion. 
If included in the indices at a free float of 66%, GoTo (GOTO IJ) will have a weight of 13.55% in the IDX30 Index and 12.12% in the LQ45 Index.
Passive trackers will then need to buy 13.2% of the real float on the stock. Active funds will also buy the stock as it would appear in their benchmarks.


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Potential LQ45, IDX30, IDX80 Index Fast Entry & Impact

Indonesia

PT Matahari Department Store Tbk engages in the retail business for several types of products such as clothes, accessories, bags, shoes, cosmetics, household appliances, and management consulting services.

PT Ramayana Lestari Sentosa Tbk operates department stores in Indonesia which sell items such as clothes, accessories, bags, shoes, cosmetics, and daily needs. Its department stores are known as Ramayana, Robinson, and Cahaya.

PT Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk operates department stores and specialty stores selling a broad range of goods including clothing, toys, food, and other merchandise.

PT Multipolar Tbk imports, trades, distributes, retails, and services computers and related products. The Company provides computer equipment rental, informatics engineering, and management services. Multipolar, through its subsidiaries, also provides share administration services.

PT Trikomsel Oke Tbk operates in the retail telecommunication business.  The Company operates retail stores in cities throughout Indonesia that offer a wide range of branded cellular phones.

PT ACE Hardware Indonesia Tbk retails tools, home improvement products, lawn and garden supplies, plumbing, furniture, sporting goods, and pet supplies.

PT Tunas Ridean Tbk and its subsidiaries operate automobile dealerships that sell new and used motor vehicles, spare parts and accessories as well as provide after-sales services.  Through its subsidiary, PT Tunas Financindo Corporation, the Company also provides operating lease and consumer financing services.

PT Golden Retailindo Tbk operates department stores.  The Company retails men's, women's and children's clothing, shoes, cosmetics and fragrances, watches, and other products.

PT Indomobil Sukses Internasional Tbk assembles, and distributes automobiles, buses, trucks, motorcycles, and their related parts. The Company provides automotive maintenance, financing, and rental services.  Indomobil also trades used cars.

PT Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk is an automotive company which provides distribution & retail for Honda motorcycles, manufacturing and distribution of auto parts such as lubricant oil, auto services such as car rental and auto-related financial services such as consumer financing and insurance.

Nanjing Xinjiekou Department Store Co. Ltd. operates department stores in Nanjing, Jiangsu.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also develops real estate and manufactures pharmaceuticals.

Nanjing Xinjiekou Department S (600682 CH)

V-Mart Retail Limited owns, operates, and franchises a chain of family lifestyle stores in India. The Company operates medium sized hypermarket format retail stores that sell clothes, accessories, and footwear for men, women, and kids; cosmetics, luggage, toys, and games; and food, non-food, and staple items.

Dashang Group Co., Ltd. owns and operates department stores in the northeast of China.  The Company also provides entertainment and food services.

Rainbow Department Store Co., Ltd. operates chain department store.  The Company operates retail department stores and franchises shopping malls.

Chengdu Hongqi Chain Company Limited operates convenience stores chain. The Company's main products are food, alcoholic drinks and tobacco, and other daily necessities.

Hyundai Department Store Co., Ltd. operates department stores under the name of Hyundai Department over nationwide.  The Company also produces home shopping programs for cable channels and sells merchandise through home shopping programs.

Wuhan Department Store Group Co., Ltd. owns and operates department stores. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also invests in real estate development, property management, and food services.

Wuhan Department Store Group Co Ltd. (000501 CH)

Hangzhou Jiebai Group Co., Ltd. operates department stores, invests in import and export trading, operates hotels, and provides advertising services.

Beijing Cuiwei Tower Co. Ltd. retails diversified products. The Company sells apparel, jewelry, cosmetics, sports products, home appliances, handicrafts, photographic equipment, household goods, and other goods through its department stores. Beijing Cuiwei Tower also provides online sales services.

Kintetsu Department Store Co., Ltd. operates department stores mainly in Osaka, Nara, Kyoto, and other Kansai prefectures. The Company sells clothing, foods, as well as other household items. Kintetsu Department Store also operates restaurants.

Bukalapak.com PT Tbk provides e-discretionary services. The Company offers range of electronics, food, shoes, apparel, watches, bags, cosmetics products, and other accessories. Bukalapak.com serves customers in Indonesia.

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Bukalapak.com PT Tbk (BUKA IJ)

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Float and capping changes will require passive trackers to buy BBCA and sell BBRI at the close on 28 April. There are changes to other stocks as...

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Adi Sarana Armada (ASSA IJ) is a proxy for mobility through car leasing, online and offline used car sales through Autopedia, and last-mile...

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The past week saw insights on Mitra Adiperkasa (MAPI IJ), Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ), and Bukalapak (BUKA IJ), as well as rapidly...

Angus Mackintosh

Bukalapak (BUKA IJ) - Increasing Clarity with a Focus on Category Leadership

Take rates should improve in 2022, as Bukalapak offers a broadening array of services across its Mitra and marketplace verticals, with valuations...

Angus Mackintosh

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia IPO: Potential LQ45, IDX30, IDX80 Index Fast Entry & Impact

GoTo lists tomorrow and could get Fast Entry to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices if the IDX uses a float of 66%. That would require passives to...

Brian Freitas

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