HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With US inflation figures higher than expectations, there is an increase in risk that the Fed's next move may be a hike.  Some HSI constituents are set to benefit.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK),</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> have significant USD net cash position and will be gainers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> have large China operations but they are net long on USD balance and this will make them beneficiaries.</li>
</ul>


With US inflation figures higher than expectations, there is an increase in risk that the Fed's next move may be a hike.  Some HSI constituents are set to benefit.

Orient Overseas International (316 HK), Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK), and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) have significant USD net cash position and will be gainers.

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) and Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) have large China operations but they are net long on USD balance and this will make them beneficiaries.


HK Strategy: What Are the Winners if US Hike Rates Instead of Cut?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK)</a> (SBBI) raised around US$330m in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance and valuations in our past note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK) (SBBI) raised around US$330m in its HK IPO.
SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.
We have looked at the company’s performance and valuations in our past note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO Trading - Tepid Demand, While Peers Have Corrected

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial</a> is looking to raise up to US$330m in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial is looking to raise up to US$330m in its HK IPO.
SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.
We have looked at the company’s performance in our past note. In this note, we talk about valuations


Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO - Doesn’t Offer a Discount to Peers

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial</a> (SBBI) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO.</li>
<li>SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes.  In this note, we provide our initial thoughts on valuations.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SBBI) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO.
SBBI sells new-style tea drinks through its ChaPanda stores. According to F&amp;S, SBBI ranked third in China’s new-style tea shop market with a market share of 6.8% in FY23.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes.  In this note, we provide our initial thoughts on valuations.


Sichuan Baicha Baidao Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group</a> is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha </a> (ChaPanda), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming</a> (Good me) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/auntea-jenny-shanghai-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40891:1" rel="noopener">Auntea </a>are said to be looking to raise around US$300m.</li>
<li>All four are primarily focussed on providing freshly-made drinks, including freshly-made fruit drinks, and tea, with some selling ice cream, coffee, baked goods and ready to drink beverages as well.</li>
<li>We undertook a peer comparison in Feb 2024. In this note, we add Auntea to the mix and include the latest financials for ChaPanda.</li>
</ul>



Mixue Group is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while Sichuan Baicha  (ChaPanda), Guming (Good me) and Auntea are said to be looking to raise around US$300m.
All four are primarily focussed on providing freshly-made drinks, including freshly-made fruit drinks, and tea, with some selling ice cream, coffee, baked goods and ready to drink beverages as well.
We undertook a peer comparison in Feb 2024. In this note, we add Auntea to the mix and include the latest financials for ChaPanda.


MIXUE/ChaPanda/Good Me/Auntea Pre-IPO - Updated Peer Comparison

China

Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited is a company principally engaged in the brewing and distribution of beer. The Company produces, imports, markets, distributes over 50 brands including Budweiser, Stella Artois, Corona, Hoegaarden, Cass, and Harbin. The principal markets include China, South Korea, India and Vietnam.

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Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)

HK Strategy: What Are the Winners if US Hike Rates Instead of Cut?

HSI constituents like Orient Overseas, Budweiser Brewing, Galaxy Entertainment, Sunny Optical, and Haier Smart Home are set to gain in case the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO Trading - Tepid Demand, While Peers Have Corrected

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK) (SBBI) raised around US$330m in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO - Doesn’t Offer a Discount to Peers

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial is looking to raise up to US$330m in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SBBI) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. We have looked at the past performance in our...

Sumeet Singh

MIXUE/ChaPanda/Good Me/Auntea Pre-IPO - Updated Peer Comparison

Mixue is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while Sichuan Baicha ChaPanda, Good me and Auntea are looking to raise around US$300m....

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: What Are the Winners if US Hike Rates Instead of Cut?

​HSI constituents like Orient Overseas, Budweiser Brewing, Galaxy Entertainment, Sunny Optical, and Haier Smart Home are set to gain in case the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO Trading - Tepid Demand, While Peers Have Corrected

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK) (SBBI) raised around US$330m in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Sichuan Baicha Baidao IPO - Doesn’t Offer a Discount to Peers

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial is looking to raise up to US$330m in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SBBI) is looking to raise up to US$300m in its upcoming HK IPO. We have looked at the past performance in our...

Sumeet Singh

MIXUE/ChaPanda/Good Me/Auntea Pre-IPO - Updated Peer Comparison

Mixue is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while Sichuan Baicha ChaPanda, Good me and Auntea are looking to raise around US$300m....

Sumeet Singh

HSI constituents like Orient Overseas, Budweiser Brewing, Galaxy Entertainment, Sunny Optical, and Haier Smart Home are set to gain in case the...