HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mengniu-dairy-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:354:1" rel="noopener">China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> are massive laggards YTD.</li>
<li>As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. </li>
</ul>


Many have missed out on the 14%, or 2,300 points, rally of the HSI in the last 9 trading days. There are still several stocks that look interesting now.

Li Auto (2015 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), China Mengniu Dairy Co (2319 HK), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) are massive laggards YTD.
As they have only experienced limited rebounds from the 19-Apr trough, they are set to catch up. Also, their earnings prospects look positive this year. 


HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage</a> is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Remains a Minnow in Other Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage</a> is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - The Positives - Strong Position in Its Main Market

<ul>
<li>China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Company Limited is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are BofA, BOCI, Citic, and UBS.</li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages  in China.</li>
<li>According CIC, it was the second largest company in the packaged drinking water market in China and the largest company in the purified drinking water market in 2023.</li>
</ul>


China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Company Limited is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are BofA, BOCI, Citic, and UBS.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages  in China.
According CIC, it was the second largest company in the packaged drinking water market in China and the largest company in the purified drinking water market in 2023.


China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Pre-IPO Tearsheet

<ul>
<li>With US inflation figures higher than expectations, there is an increase in risk that the Fed's next move may be a hike.  Some HSI constituents are set to benefit.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/budweiser-brewing-co-apac-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28077:1" rel="noopener">Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK),</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> have significant USD net cash position and will be gainers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-technology-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a> have large China operations but they are net long on USD balance and this will make them beneficiaries.</li>
</ul>


With US inflation figures higher than expectations, there is an increase in risk that the Fed's next move may be a hike.  Some HSI constituents are set to benefit.

Orient Overseas International (316 HK), Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK), and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) have significant USD net cash position and will be gainers.

Sunny Optical Technology Group (2382 HK) and Haier Smart Home (6690 HK) have large China operations but they are net long on USD balance and this will make them beneficiaries.


HK Strategy: What Are the Winners if US Hike Rates Instead of Cut?

China

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock Company Ltd. manufactures spirits. The Company's products include white spirits, top-graded gifts liquor, and liquor for daily consumption.

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited produces and distributes beer products.  The Company markets its products throughout China and around the world under the Tsingtao Beer brand name.

Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. produces and markets distilled spirits and wine.

Anhui Yingjia Distillery Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells liquor products. The Company operates in China.

Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery JSC Ltd. operates as a wine company. The Company produces and distributes wine, liquor, and other related products.

Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery JS (603369 CH)

Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co., Ltd. operates in the brewery industry.  The Company's products include beer, spring water, beer raw materials, feeds, yeast, and other related products.

Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co, Ltd. (000729 CH)

Luzhou Laojiao Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells spirits products worldwide. The Company also produces glass products, manages hotels, and invests in the real estate business.

Chongqing Brewery Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets beer products.  The Company also produces medical preparations and capsules.

Hebei Hengshui Laobaigan Liquor Co., Ltd. produces white spirits, breeds and raises pigs, as well as manufactures feeds.

Shede Spirits Co., Ltd. manufactures liquor products. The Company produces high end liquor, low end liquor, mid end liquor, and other products. Shede Spirits markets its products throughout China.

China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is an alcoholic beverage retailer.

Brown-Forman Corporation manufactures, bottles, imports, exports, and markets a wide variety of alcoholic beverage brands. The Company's products include branded whiskey, vodka, wines, tequila, bourbon, and gin.

United Spirits Ltd. manufactures and distributes alcoholic beverages. The Company provides a variety of alcohols and spirits, including whiskey, brandy, and rum. United Spirits also manufactures indian-made foreign liquor brands. United Spirits serves customers worldwide.

Molson Coors Brewing Company operates as a brewing company. The Company brews and produces beer. Molson Coors Brewing serves customers worldwide.

Suntory Beverage & Food Ltd manufacture and sells beverages and food products worldwide. The company is a part of Suntory Holdings ltd.

Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd. produces beer and other beverages including non-alcoholic drinks. The Company sells its products in Japan and overseas.

Coca-Cola Bottling Company Consolidated operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and distributes nonalcoholic beverages such as energy drinks, bottled water, tea, ready-to-drink coffee, enhanced water, juices, and sports drinks.

Coca Cola Bottling Co. Consolidated (COKE US)

Kirin Holdings Company, Limited produces beer, soft drinks, food products, whisky, and pharmaceuticals.  The Company sells its products in Japan and overseas.

Heineken Holding NV, through its subsidiary produces and distributes beverages internationally.  The Company produces beers, spirits, wines, and soft drinks under various brand names. Heineken operates through numerous subsidiaries and associated companies worldwide.

Coca-Cola HBC AG is one of the bottlers in the Coca-Cola system, operating plants in Europe, Africa, and Asia. The Company produces, sells, and distributes a wide range of non-alcoholic beverages, including sparkling, juice, water, sport, energy, tea, and coffee.

Budweiser Brewing Company APAC Limited is a company principally engaged in the brewing and distribution of beer. The Company produces, imports, markets, distributes over 50 brands including Budweiser, Stella Artois, Corona, Hoegaarden, Cass, and Harbin. The principal markets include China, South Korea, India and Vietnam.

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Budweiser Brewing APAC (1876 HK)

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Remains a Minnow in Other Markets

China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the...

Sumeet Singh

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - The Positives - Strong Position in Its Main Market

China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this ntoe, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Pre-IPO Tearsheet

China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Company Limited is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are BofA,...

Sumeet Singh

HK Strategy: What Are the Winners if US Hike Rates Instead of Cut?

HSI constituents like Orient Overseas, Budweiser Brewing, Galaxy Entertainment, Sunny Optical, and Haier Smart Home are set to gain in case the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Strategy: Where Are the Short-Term Opportunities?

Li Auto, Link REIT, China Mengniu, Hang Lung Properties, and Galaxy Entertainment are massive laggards YTD but the recent rebound from the trough...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Remains a Minnow in Other Markets

China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the...

Sumeet Singh

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - The Positives - Strong Position in Its Main Market

China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this ntoe, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Pre-IPO Tearsheet

China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Company Limited is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are BofA,...

Sumeet Singh

HK Strategy: What Are the Winners if US Hike Rates Instead of Cut?

​HSI constituents like Orient Overseas, Budweiser Brewing, Galaxy Entertainment, Sunny Optical, and Haier Smart Home are set to gain in case the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HSI constituents like Orient Overseas, Budweiser Brewing, Galaxy Entertainment, Sunny Optical, and Haier Smart Home are set to gain in case the...