IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nikkei <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-deals/Japan-state-backed-fund-looks-to-buy-top-photoresist-maker-JSR" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reports</a> that Japan Investment Corporation (JIC) is in talks to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> for around JPY1 trillion (US$7 billion) through a tender offer.</li>
<li>JSR responded, "<em>No decision has been made at this moment, although JSR is considering this matter.</em>” The Board will discuss the proposal on Monday.</li>
<li>Minorities will be supportive as the JPY1 trillion valuation implies a tender price of JPY4,850 per share, a 50% premium to the last close and an all-time share price high.   </li>
</ul>


Nikkei reports that Japan Investment Corporation (JIC) is in talks to acquire JSR Corp (4185 JP) for around JPY1 trillion (US$7 billion) through a tender offer.
JSR responded, "No decision has been made at this moment, although JSR is considering this matter.” The Board will discuss the proposal on Monday.
Minorities will be supportive as the JPY1 trillion valuation implies a tender price of JPY4,850 per share, a 50% premium to the last close and an all-time share price high.   


JSR Corporation (4185 JP): JIC’s Tender Offer Looming?

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) have marginally broken above the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range of $93 on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>In our 4/18/23 Int’l MacroVision we acknowledged that a break above $93 and a reach to $96-$97 was also possible – and so far, this is what has played out.</li>
<li>We will continue to watch the $93 level for a potential false breakout, but as long as the ACWI-US is above $90.50, we cannot be bearish.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) have marginally broken above the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range of $93 on ACWI-US.
In our 4/18/23 Int’l MacroVision we acknowledged that a break above $93 and a reach to $96-$97 was also possible – and so far, this is what has played out.
We will continue to watch the $93 level for a potential false breakout, but as long as the ACWI-US is above $90.50, we cannot be bearish.


MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives (Staples, Health Care, and Utilities) as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93.</li>
<li>We also remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, where a lot more than just defensives continue to outperform.</li>
<li>Actionable Themes: Consumer Discretionary and Defensives, Mainly in Japan and Europe</li>
</ul>


We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives (Staples, Health Care, and Utilities) as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93.
We also remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, where a lot more than just defensives continue to outperform.
Actionable Themes: Consumer Discretionary and Defensives, Mainly in Japan and Europe


Remain Overweight Japan, Europe, & India; Buys in Discretionary and Defensives W/ Japan/Europe Focus

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX Gains (barely) after a brutal week; Durable Goods Ex-Transport point to economic resilience;  Beta/Growth&gt; Value as Cyclicals rebound; JPM Quant Sees $50bn Selling if SPX breeches 3940</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY 136.2; BOJ Gov Designate Ueda says no change to Easing for now; Japan Post Massive X-Share $9bn sale of Sub shares; Auto Upgrades</li>
<li>NUGGETS NUGGET. Nidec's E-Axle Future may rest with the Europeans, not the Chinese !</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX Gains (barely) after a brutal week; Durable Goods Ex-Transport point to economic resilience;  Beta/Growth&gt; Value as Cyclicals rebound; JPM Quant Sees $50bn Selling if SPX breeches 3940
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY 136.2; BOJ Gov Designate Ueda says no change to Easing for now; Japan Post Massive X-Share $9bn sale of Sub shares; Auto Upgrades
NUGGETS NUGGET. Nidec's E-Axle Future may rest with the Europeans, not the Chinese !


Good Morning Japan |SPX Holds After Brutal Week; Solid Durable Goods; Japan Post $9bn X-Share Unwind

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX -1.4% post hot PPI print;  Fed's Meister looking at 50bp hike; Tesla: Model Y sells out but Co issues big vehicle recall; AMAT after hours- looks good !</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 133.95;  Japan set to give up yesterday's gains but equities look good; Bridgestone earnings-solid; Good AMAT = Good TEL; Citi cuts Fujitsu</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. Future looks bright for Panasonic, supplier of batteries to Tesla in the US. As the IRA takes effect, Tesla's sales are going through the roof. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX -1.4% post hot PPI print;  Fed's Meister looking at 50bp hike; Tesla: Model Y sells out but Co issues big vehicle recall; AMAT after hours- looks good !
JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.7% vs Cash; USDJPY 133.95;  Japan set to give up yesterday's gains but equities look good; Bridgestone earnings-solid; Good AMAT = Good TEL; Citi cuts Fujitsu
DAILY NUGGET. Future looks bright for Panasonic, supplier of batteries to Tesla in the US. As the IRA takes effect, Tesla's sales are going through the roof. 


Good Morning Japan |Equities Waver on Hot PPI Print/Higher Rates; Telsa: Good Vs Bad; ARM IPO Risk?

Japan

BRIDGESTONE CORPORATION designs, produces, and sells automobile tires. The Company also produces and markets scales to weigh racing cars and jumbo aircrafts and sporting goods including golf equipment, tennis rackets, and bicycles.  Bridgestone operates its businesses worldwide.

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Bridgestone Corp (5108 JP)

JSR Corporation (4185 JP): JIC’s Tender Offer Looming?

Nikkei reports the JIC is in talks to acquire JSR for around JPY1 trillion. The rumoured offer implies a 50% premium to the last close and an all...

Arun George

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM $TSM #Samsung $BABA; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece. $ACWI break above $93 and...

Vermilion Research

Remain Overweight Japan, Europe, & India; Buys in Discretionary and Defensives W/ Japan/Europe Focus

We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives as $ACWI tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93. Remain...

Vermilion Research

Good Morning Japan |Equities Waver on Hot PPI Print/Higher Rates; Telsa: Good Vs Bad; ARM IPO Risk?

Japan likely to start low post US sell off overnight. The NKY is still up 6.1% YTD, so shedding off 100bps isn't a biggie. PM Kishida still in the...

Mark Chadwick

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JSR Corporation (4185 JP): JIC’s Tender Offer Looming?

Nikkei reports the JIC is in talks to acquire JSR for around JPY1 trillion. The rumoured offer implies a 50% premium to the last close and an all...

Arun George

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM $TSM #Samsung $BABA; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece. $ACWI break above $93 and...

Vermilion Research

Remain Overweight Japan, Europe, & India; Buys in Discretionary and Defensives W/ Japan/Europe Focus

We continue to recommend a tactical overweight to defensives as $ACWI tests the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range at $93. Remain...

Vermilion Research

Good Morning Japan |SPX Holds After Brutal Week; Solid Durable Goods; Japan Post $9bn X-Share Unwind

US stocks hold on to gains after last week's sell off; In Japan, BOJ Gov Designate Ueda says no change to Easing for now; Japan Post Massive X...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Equities Waver on Hot PPI Print/Higher Rates; Telsa: Good Vs Bad; ARM IPO Risk?

Japan likely to start low post US sell off overnight. The NKY is still up 6.1% YTD, so shedding off 100bps isn't a biggie. PM Kishida still in the...

Mark Chadwick