Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a> reported Q2FY24 revenue of $8B, representing 5% organic growth, topping guidance of 4.0–4.5%. Cardiovascular, neuroscience, and medical surgical grew mid-single-digit with diabetes accelerating to high-single-digit.</li>
<li>The company now expects FY24 organic revenue growth of 4.75% versus the prior 4.5%. Medtronic raised FY24 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.13–5.19 from $5.08–5.16 earlier.</li>
<li>In November, the company has received FDA approval for innovative renal denervation device for the treatment of hypertension, which should open a multi-billion-dollar market opportunity.</li>
</ul>



Medtronic Plc (MDT US) reported Q2FY24 revenue of $8B, representing 5% organic growth, topping guidance of 4.0–4.5%. Cardiovascular, neuroscience, and medical surgical grew mid-single-digit with diabetes accelerating to high-single-digit.
The company now expects FY24 organic revenue growth of 4.75% versus the prior 4.5%. Medtronic raised FY24 adjusted EPS guidance to $5.13–5.19 from $5.08–5.16 earlier.
In November, the company has received FDA approval for innovative renal denervation device for the treatment of hypertension, which should open a multi-billion-dollar market opportunity.


Medtronic (MDT US): Beat-And-Raise Q2; Weight Loss Drugs Not to Impact Growth; New Device Approval

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15915:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)</a> is poised for multi-year growth through strong market demand for its technically superior guidewires, market leadership positioning, new product launches, and direct marketing initiatives.</li>
<li>In FY24, Asahi Intecc aims to achieve revenue of ¥100B (+11% YoY), a significant milestone. The company targets revenue of ¥110B and an operating profit margin of 23–25% in FY26.</li>
<li>Asahi Intecc is expected to be a continued beneficiary of global procedure volume recovery. The company is likely to achieve its medium-term business plan ahead of schedule.</li>
</ul>



Asahi Intecc (7747 JP) is poised for multi-year growth through strong market demand for its technically superior guidewires, market leadership positioning, new product launches, and direct marketing initiatives.
In FY24, Asahi Intecc aims to achieve revenue of ¥100B (+11% YoY), a significant milestone. The company targets revenue of ¥110B and an operating profit margin of 23–25% in FY26.
Asahi Intecc is expected to be a continued beneficiary of global procedure volume recovery. The company is likely to achieve its medium-term business plan ahead of schedule.


2024 High Conviction: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- Procedure Volume Recovery to Accelerate Growth

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Acotec Scientific Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 12 December, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/acotec-scientific-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32176:1" rel="noopener">Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK)</a> announced a Partial Offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boston-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11115:1" rel="noopener">Boston Scientific (BSX US)</a>
</li>
<li>The Offer Price of $20/share is for up to 65% of shares out. Irrevocables total up to 60.14% of shares out, sufficient to clear the minimum tendering condition.</li>
<li>My initial read was that the proration was simply 65%. That was wrong. It is higher. Plus there are some interesting quirks to avoid breaching the public float post-Offer.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 12 December, Acotec Scientific Holdings (6669 HK) announced a Partial Offer from Boston Scientific (BSX US)

The Offer Price of $20/share is for up to 65% of shares out. Irrevocables total up to 60.14% of shares out, sufficient to clear the minimum tendering condition.
My initial read was that the proration was simply 65%. That was wrong. It is higher. Plus there are some interesting quirks to avoid breaching the public float post-Offer.


Acotec/Boston Scientific: Even Higher Proration

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Recently a note on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shockwave-medical-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28730:1" rel="noopener">Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US)</a> was published on SK. Being a potential game changer, we analyzed technical publications to see how well the company is positioned</li>
<li>Currently, Shockwave Medical is likely the only player in the intravascular lithotripsy market. As the intravascular device deals with calcified lesions, its primary competition is from the atherectomy market </li>
<li>Despite being a recent company with a new technology it ranks third in innovating in the area of - removing/modifying obstructions, calculi and pre-procedure preparation for intravascular intervention.</li>
</ul>


Recently a note on Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US) was published on SK. Being a potential game changer, we analyzed technical publications to see how well the company is positioned
Currently, Shockwave Medical is likely the only player in the intravascular lithotripsy market. As the intravascular device deals with calcified lesions, its primary competition is from the atherectomy market 
Despite being a recent company with a new technology it ranks third in innovating in the area of - removing/modifying obstructions, calculi and pre-procedure preparation for intravascular intervention.


Datamining Tech Publications to Assess Shockwave's Paradigm Shift Solution In Vascular Interventions

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olympus-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:356:1" rel="noopener">Olympus Corp (7733 JP)</a> is the global market leader in gastrointestinal endoscopic equipment, with 70%+ share. Global GI endoscopic equipment market is expected to have a CAGR of 4–6% during FY21–24. Olympus is expected to outpace the market due to its dominant positioning in Asia market and superior imaging technologies. The company is one of the early entrants in fast growing Asia markets among its peers. Consequently, Olympus witnessed 4.2x jump in medical business revenue from China in the last decade. Last year, Olympus has launched its most advanced endoscopy system to date, EVIS X1, the first new model in about eight years (vs usual product life cycle of 5–6 years). The company estimates 70,000 units potential only for replacing the previous models by EVIS X1. Olympus is transforming itself to become a pure-play global medical devices company and conducted several M&amp;A to augment its medium-term growth. Its medical business is now back to pre-pandemic level. Concerns regarding China business seems to be over and Olympus shares are trading near its highs. Despite some risk due to global semiconductor shortage, we are bullish on the growth potential of the company’s medical business due to ongoing recovery in elective procedures and new product launch.

Olympus Corp (7733 JP) is the global market leader in gastrointestinal endoscopic equipment, with 70%+ share. Global GI endoscopic equipment market is expected to have a CAGR of 4–6% during FY21–24. Olympus is expected to outpace the market due to its dominant positioning in Asia market and superior imaging technologies. The company is one of the early entrants in fast growing Asia markets among its peers. Consequently, Olympus witnessed 4.2x jump in medical business revenue from China in the last decade. Last year, Olympus has launched its most advanced endoscopy system to date, EVIS X1, the first new model in about eight years (vs usual product life cycle of 5–6 years). The company estimates 70,000 units potential only for replacing the previous models by EVIS X1. Olympus is transforming itself to become a pure-play global medical devices company and conducted several M&amp;A to augment its medium-term growth. Its medical business is now back to pre-pandemic level. Concerns regarding China business seems to be over and Olympus shares are trading near its highs. Despite some risk due to global semiconductor shortage, we are bullish on the growth potential of the company’s medical business due to ongoing recovery in elective procedures and new product launch. 

Olympus (7733 JP): Medical Business Is on a Strong Foothold; Buy at Current Level

United States

Boston Scientific Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets minimally invasive medical devices. The Company's products are used in interventional cardiology, cardiac rhythm management, peripheral interventions, electrophysiology, neurovascular intervention, endoscopy, urology, gynecology, and neuromodulation.

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Boston Scientific (BSX UN)

Medtronic (MDT US): Beat-And-Raise Q2; Weight Loss Drugs Not to Impact Growth; New Device Approval

Medtronic reported Q2FY24 organic revenue growth of 5%. The company raised FY24 organic revenue growth and EPS guidance. FDA approval for a new...

Tina Banerjee

2024 High Conviction: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- Procedure Volume Recovery to Accelerate Growth

Asahi Intecc is poised for double-digit sales growth through FY26, driven by strong market demand for guidewires, market leadership positioning,...

Tina Banerjee

Acotec/Boston Scientific: Even Higher Proration

I was wrong - the minimum proration is 71.31%, not 65%. Given the irrevocables, this Partial Offer will become unconditional. I'd be a buyer here...

David Blennerhassett

Datamining Tech Publications to Assess Shockwave's Paradigm Shift Solution In Vascular Interventions

Shockwave’s intravascular lithotripsy product could become a game changer in dealing with coronary calcium and may offer a more effective solution...

Pyari Menon

Olympus (7733 JP): Medical Business Is on a Strong Foothold; Buy at Current Level

Olympus is well-positioned for double-digit revenue growth this fiscal driven by earlier-than-expected recovery in medical business and new product...

Tina Banerjee

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Medtronic (MDT US): Beat-And-Raise Q2; Weight Loss Drugs Not to Impact Growth; New Device Approval

​Medtronic reported Q2FY24 organic revenue growth of 5%. The company raised FY24 organic revenue growth and EPS guidance. FDA approval for a new...

Tina Banerjee

2024 High Conviction: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- Procedure Volume Recovery to Accelerate Growth

Asahi Intecc is poised for double-digit sales growth through FY26, driven by strong market demand for guidewires, market leadership positioning,...

Tina Banerjee

Acotec/Boston Scientific: Even Higher Proration

I was wrong - the minimum proration is 71.31%, not 65%. Given the irrevocables, this Partial Offer will become unconditional. I'd be a buyer here...

David Blennerhassett

Datamining Tech Publications to Assess Shockwave's Paradigm Shift Solution In Vascular Interventions

Shockwave’s intravascular lithotripsy product could become a game changer in dealing with coronary calcium and may offer a more effective solution...

Pyari Menon

Olympus (7733 JP): Medical Business Is on a Strong Foothold; Buy at Current Level

Olympus is well-positioned for double-digit revenue growth this fiscal driven by earlier-than-expected recovery in medical business and new product...

Tina Banerjee

Medtronic reported Q2FY24 organic revenue growth of 5%. The company raised FY24 organic revenue growth and EPS guidance. FDA approval for a new...