Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Donald Trump is the first candidate to win non-consecutive terms as President since Grover Cleveland 132 years ago. Winning the popular vote strengthens his mandate, with Senate/House also Republican. </li>
<li>Trump proposes to cut the corporate tax rate to 15%, make his income tax cuts permanent, de-regulate energy (and end the Ukraine war). Lower oil prices and faster growth likely. </li>
<li>Lower taxes and regulation, hence lower inflation/rates, would provide a fillip to equities. Conventional energy, banks/PE would win. India, Japan, SKorea, Germany, Russia would be winners, UK/NATO the losers. </li>
</ul>


Donald Trump is the first candidate to win non-consecutive terms as President since Grover Cleveland 132 years ago. Winning the popular vote strengthens his mandate, with Senate/House also Republican. 
Trump proposes to cut the corporate tax rate to 15%, make his income tax cuts permanent, de-regulate energy (and end the Ukraine war). Lower oil prices and faster growth likely. 
Lower taxes and regulation, hence lower inflation/rates, would provide a fillip to equities. Conventional energy, banks/PE would win. India, Japan, SKorea, Germany, Russia would be winners, UK/NATO the losers. 


US: Trump Sweep of WH, Senate, House Clears the Way for Growth and Lower Brent

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Halliburton’s revenue is expected to rise 0.5% YoY, but EPS is estimated to fall 2.6% due to oversupply concerns and weak oil demand reducing upstream activity.</li>
<li>Halliburton expects a 1%-3% sequential revenue decline and a 75-125 bps margin reduction in its Completion &amp; Production division in Q3 2024.</li>
<li>Halliburton aims to expand its international footprint to offset stagnating US onshore production activity. International markets currently account for 58% of revenue versus 42% from North America.</li>
</ul>


Halliburton’s revenue is expected to rise 0.5% YoY, but EPS is estimated to fall 2.6% due to oversupply concerns and weak oil demand reducing upstream activity.
Halliburton expects a 1%-3% sequential revenue decline and a 75-125 bps margin reduction in its Completion &amp; Production division in Q3 2024.
Halliburton aims to expand its international footprint to offset stagnating US onshore production activity. International markets currently account for 58% of revenue versus 42% from North America.


[Earnings Preview] Halliburton's Q3 Profitability Expected to Fall Amid Slowing Upstream Activity

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BlackRock and Jio Financial Discuss Private Credit Venture in India</li>
<li>Tata Group to Create 5,00,000 Jobs in next Five Years</li>
<li>Indian Oil and Ever Enviro Partner for Compressed Biogas Production</li>
</ul>


BlackRock and Jio Financial Discuss Private Credit Venture in India
Tata Group to Create 5,00,000 Jobs in next Five Years
Indian Oil and Ever Enviro Partner for Compressed Biogas Production


# 65 India Insight: BlackRock Jio Financial PV, Tata Group 5 Lakh Jobs, Indian Oil Biogas Production

<ul>
<li>ExxonMobil’s Q3 revenue is expected to rise 6.3% YoY and 3.7% QoQ but its EPS is anticipated to fall 11% YoY and 5.6% QoQ.</li>
<li>Management expects upstream earnings to decline by USD 0.6-1 billion due to falling crude oil prices. Earnings from the energy products segment are also projected to drop significantly.</li>
<li>Exxon expects production in 2024 to be around 4.3 Moebd, with 1.2 Moebd coming from the Permian. The total capex for the year is estimated at USD 28 billion.</li>
</ul>


ExxonMobil’s Q3 revenue is expected to rise 6.3% YoY and 3.7% QoQ but its EPS is anticipated to fall 11% YoY and 5.6% QoQ.
Management expects upstream earnings to decline by USD 0.6-1 billion due to falling crude oil prices. Earnings from the energy products segment are also projected to drop significantly.
Exxon expects production in 2024 to be around 4.3 Moebd, with 1.2 Moebd coming from the Permian. The total capex for the year is estimated at USD 28 billion.


[Earnings Preview] Exxon's Q3 Profit Faces Pressure from Weak Oil Prices and Tight Refining Margins

<ul>
<li>Chevron's Q3 revenue is expected to decline by 7% YoY, with EPS projected to fall 8.9% due to contracting refining margins and lower price realisations.</li>
<li>The early September plunge in oil prices may further squeeze already tight refining margins. Management anticipates a slowdown in output due to increased maintenance in Q3.</li>
<li>Chevron became the most shorted large-cap stock in the US in August, with shares shorted increasing by over USD 200 million amid growing bearish sentiment.</li>
</ul>


Chevron's Q3 revenue is expected to decline by 7% YoY, with EPS projected to fall 8.9% due to contracting refining margins and lower price realisations.
The early September plunge in oil prices may further squeeze already tight refining margins. Management anticipates a slowdown in output due to increased maintenance in Q3.
Chevron became the most shorted large-cap stock in the US in August, with shares shorted increasing by over USD 200 million amid growing bearish sentiment.


[Earnings Preview] Chevron Faces Pressure from Tight Refining Margins and Increased Maintenance

United States

BlackRock, Inc. provides diversified investment management services to institutional clients and to retail investors through various investment vehicles. The Company offers the BlackRock Funds and Blackrock Liquidity Funds, and also provides risk management services to fixed income institutional investors.

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Blackrock Inc (BLK US)

US: Trump Sweep of WH, Senate, House Clears the Way for Growth and Lower Brent

Trump's re-election strengthens mandate with Republican control of Senate/House. Proposed tax cuts, deregulation to boost economy/equities and...

Prasenjit K. Basu

[Earnings Preview] Halliburton's Q3 Profitability Expected to Fall Amid Slowing Upstream Activity

Halliburton’s revenue is estimated to remain flat sequentially and rise 0.5% YoY. However, profitability is projected to fall QoQ and YoY. Slowdown...

Mint Finance

# 65 India Insight: BlackRock Jio Financial PV, Tata Group 5 Lakh Jobs, Indian Oil Biogas Production

Major Indian companies like BlackRock, Jio Financial, Tata Group, and Indian Oil are making significant moves in the private credit, job creation,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

[Earnings Preview] Exxon's Q3 Profit Faces Pressure from Weak Oil Prices and Tight Refining Margins

Falling crude prices and tightening refining margins are expected to hit Q3 profits. Analysts predict a dip in EPS but see revenue growth. Exxon’s...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Preview] Chevron Faces Pressure from Tight Refining Margins and Increased Maintenance

Chevron’s short-term outlook is gloomy due to weak oil prices and global oil demand amid regulatory complications with its Hess purchase. In Q3,...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

US: Trump Sweep of WH, Senate, House Clears the Way for Growth and Lower Brent

​Trump's re-election strengthens mandate with Republican control of Senate/House. Proposed tax cuts, deregulation to boost economy/equities and...

Prasenjit K. Basu

[Earnings Preview] Halliburton's Q3 Profitability Expected to Fall Amid Slowing Upstream Activity

Halliburton’s revenue is estimated to remain flat sequentially and rise 0.5% YoY. However, profitability is projected to fall QoQ and YoY. Slowdown...

Mint Finance

# 65 India Insight: BlackRock Jio Financial PV, Tata Group 5 Lakh Jobs, Indian Oil Biogas Production

​Major Indian companies like BlackRock, Jio Financial, Tata Group, and Indian Oil are making significant moves in the private credit, job creation,...

Sudarshan Bhandari

[Earnings Preview] Exxon's Q3 Profit Faces Pressure from Weak Oil Prices and Tight Refining Margins

Falling crude prices and tightening refining margins are expected to hit Q3 profits. Analysts predict a dip in EPS but see revenue growth. Exxon’s...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Preview] Chevron Faces Pressure from Tight Refining Margins and Increased Maintenance

Chevron’s short-term outlook is gloomy due to weak oil prices and global oil demand amid regulatory complications with its Hess purchase. In Q3,...

Mint Finance

Trump's re-election strengthens mandate with Republican control of Senate/House. Proposed tax cuts, deregulation to boost economy/equities and...

Major Indian companies like BlackRock, Jio Financial, Tata Group, and Indian Oil are making significant moves in the private credit, job creation,...