Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In the past week, Binggrae (005180 KS) announced that it plans to split into a holding company and an operating company in May 2025.</li>
<li>As part of this company reorganization, Binggrae announced that it plans to cancel all of its treasury shares (1 million common shares, representing 10.2% of total common shares outstanding).</li>
<li>We are positive on Binggrae due to cheap valuations (1.6x EV/EBITDA in 2025), steady growth in sales and profits, and 10% share cancellation. </li>
</ul>


In the past week, Binggrae (005180 KS) announced that it plans to split into a holding company and an operating company in May 2025.
As part of this company reorganization, Binggrae announced that it plans to cancel all of its treasury shares (1 million common shares, representing 10.2% of total common shares outstanding).
We are positive on Binggrae due to cheap valuations (1.6x EV/EBITDA in 2025), steady growth in sales and profits, and 10% share cancellation. 


Binggrae: Split into Two Companies and A Cancellation of 10% of Outstanding Shares

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>One of the key themes this year that has worked well has been Korean food &amp; beverage stocks that have significantly outperformed KOSPI. </li>
<li>Some of the best selling Korean foods (especially overseas) include Samyang Foods' instant noodles, CJ Seafood's seaweed products, and Wooyang's frozen gimbab. </li>
<li>We prefer a basket approach to investing in Korean F&amp;B stocks. A basket of top 10 F&amp;B stocks in Korea has outperformed the market YTD and this outperformance could continue.</li>
</ul>


One of the key themes this year that has worked well has been Korean food &amp; beverage stocks that have significantly outperformed KOSPI. 
Some of the best selling Korean foods (especially overseas) include Samyang Foods' instant noodles, CJ Seafood's seaweed products, and Wooyang's frozen gimbab. 
We prefer a basket approach to investing in Korean F&amp;B stocks. A basket of top 10 F&amp;B stocks in Korea has outperformed the market YTD and this outperformance could continue.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.</li>
<li>We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices started 1 June and will end 31 August. The changes will be implemented at the close 7 September.
We see 7 migrations from MidCap to LargeCap, 6 migrations from LargeCap to MidCap, 7 new adds to MidCap, and 17 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap.
Historically, stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices ends 28 February. The results will be announced early March and implemented at the close on 9 March.</li>
<li>We see 5 migrations between MidCap and LargeCap, 8 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new adds to MidCap, and 11 migrations from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the KOSPI Size Indices ends 28 February. The results will be announced early March and implemented at the close on 9 March.
We see 5 migrations between MidCap and LargeCap, 8 migrations from SmallCap to MidCap, 3 new adds to MidCap, and 11 migrations from MidCap to SmallCap.
Stocks migrating from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed stocks that are migrating between other categories.


KOSPI Size Indices - Potential Changes in March

<ul>
<li>On 23 March, it was announced that Lotte Confectionery (280360 KS) (market cap of 744 billion won) will merge with Lotte Food (002270 KS) (market cap of 395 billion won).</li>
<li>We believe this merger will have a positive impact on the shares of Lotte Confectionery and Lotte Food.</li>
<li>Lotte Confectionery and Lotte Food are not currently included in the KOSPI200. There will be a growing likelihood that the combined entity could be included in the KOSPI200 index. </li>
</ul>


On 23 March, it was announced that Lotte Confectionery (280360 KS) (market cap of 744 billion won) will merge with Lotte Food (002270 KS) (market cap of 395 billion won).
We believe this merger will have a positive impact on the shares of Lotte Confectionery and Lotte Food.
Lotte Confectionery and Lotte Food are not currently included in the KOSPI200. There will be a growing likelihood that the combined entity could be included in the KOSPI200 index. 


A Merger Between Lotte Confectionery and Lotte Food: An Alpha Generating Event

South Korea

Binggrae Co., Ltd. manufactures dairy food products.  The Company has cold-storage and frozen divisions.  Bonggrae's main items include Banana Flavoured Milk, yogurts, snacks and various types of ice cream.

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Binggrae Co Ltd (005180 KS)

Binggrae: Split into Two Companies and A Cancellation of 10% of Outstanding Shares

Binggrae announced a company split. We are positive on Binggrae due to cheap valuations (1.6x EV/EBITDA in 2025), steady growth in sales and...

Douglas Kim

Korean Food Goes Global

We prefer a basket approach to investing in Korean F&B stocks. A basket of top 10 F&B stocks in Korea has outperformed the market YTD and this...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI Size Indices - Plenty of Migrations to Attract Active Flows

We currently forecast 53 migrations for the KOSPI Size Indices. There are stocks that are potential KOSPI200 adds in December and others that will...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI Size Indices - Potential Changes in March

The review period for the March rebal of the KOSPI Size Indices ends on 28 February. We see quite a lot of potential migrations. Some stocks could...

Brian Freitas

A Merger Between Lotte Confectionery and Lotte Food: An Alpha Generating Event

The merger between Lotte Confectionery and Lotte Food is an alpha generating event. There are numerous opportunities to streamline their operations...

Douglas Kim

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