Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Major breakouts for UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50, and Germany's DAX (among others) continue to support our belief that non-U.S. equities are likely to outperform in the months/years ahead.</li>
<li>We continue to recommend adding exposure to China/Hong Kong, and to add exposure/remain overweight Europe and the UK; these remain our favorite areas to invest in the year ahead.</li>
<li>The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China make up the majority of today's individual stock buy recommendations. Industrials, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary Sectors are all bullish and highlighted today -- add exposure.</li>
</ul>


Major breakouts for UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50, and Germany's DAX (among others) continue to support our belief that non-U.S. equities are likely to outperform in the months/years ahead.
We continue to recommend adding exposure to China/Hong Kong, and to add exposure/remain overweight Europe and the UK; these remain our favorite areas to invest in the year ahead.
The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China make up the majority of today's individual stock buy recommendations. Industrials, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary Sectors are all bullish and highlighted today -- add exposure.


UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50 Breaking Out; Non-U.S. Outperformance to Continue, Buys in Cyclicals

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>BHP shareholders received US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022, post the completion of the merger.</li>
<li>As a part of the distribution, some shares belonging to ineligible and other small shareholders are being sold by the sales agent, JPM, in a US$823m block.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the possible deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


BHP shareholders received US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022, post the completion of the merger.
As a part of the distribution, some shares belonging to ineligible and other small shareholders are being sold by the sales agent, JPM, in a US$823m block.
In this note, we will look at the possible deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


BHP Woodside Placement - Here Comes the Block, Will Be Tricky Trading over the Next Few Days

<ul>
<li>BHP shareholders will receive US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022, post the completion of the merger. Block, worth US$1.5bn, could be sold in early June.</li>
<li>As a part of the distribution, some shares belonging to ineligible and other small shareholders will have to be sold by the sales agent, JPM. </li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the possible deal dynamics and the overall background of the deal.</li>
</ul>


BHP shareholders will receive US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022, post the completion of the merger. Block, worth US$1.5bn, could be sold in early June.
As a part of the distribution, some shares belonging to ineligible and other small shareholders will have to be sold by the sales agent, JPM. 
In this note, we will look at the possible deal dynamics and the overall background of the deal.


BHP Woodside Distribution - Could Be a Large Block (~US$1bn) In Early June

<ul>
<li>Market dynamics remain largely constructive and we are now seeing meaningful improvement within emerging markets (EEM-US) as the Hang Seng index displays bullish price and relative strength (RS) reversals.</li>
<li>Brent and WTI crude oil are hitting 8-year highs, base metals are bullishly inflecting, and critical supports are holding on the broad global indexes.</li>
<li>Sticking with the theme from last week when we recommended Energy and Financials, two more Sectors that stand to benefit from rising rates include Materials and Industrials/Manufacturing -- add exposure.</li>
</ul>


Market dynamics remain largely constructive and we are now seeing meaningful improvement within emerging markets (EEM-US) as the Hang Seng index displays bullish price and relative strength (RS) reversals.
Brent and WTI crude oil are hitting 8-year highs, base metals are bullishly inflecting, and critical supports are holding on the broad global indexes.
Sticking with the theme from last week when we recommended Energy and Financials, two more Sectors that stand to benefit from rising rates include Materials and Industrials/Manufacturing -- add exposure.


Sticking With Value; Buying Materials & Industrials

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The spread on the BHP PLC/Limited arbitrage has widened as stock borrow on the AU line has dried up ahead of the ex-date for the General Meeting</li>
<li>An analysis of the shareholder register of BHP Group PLC suggests that BHP has mis-underestimated the passive ownership of PLC by a lot.</li>
<li>All told, on a NET basis, the 28th of January is likely to be a US$40bn index event (two way, both names, both funding trades). Another $10-15bn rolls within index.</li>
</ul>


The spread on the BHP PLC/Limited arbitrage has widened as stock borrow on the AU line has dried up ahead of the ex-date for the General Meeting
An analysis of the shareholder register of BHP Group PLC suggests that BHP has mis-underestimated the passive ownership of PLC by a lot.
All told, on a NET basis, the 28th of January is likely to be a US$40bn index event (two way, both names, both funding trades). Another $10-15bn rolls within index.


BHP Unification - Trading and Spread Update

Australia

BHP Group Plc operates as a resource mining company. The Company focuses on minerals, metals, petroleum products, and oil and gas extraction and processing activities, as well as provides marketing services. BHP Group serves customers worldwide.

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BHP Group UK (BHPBF US)

UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50 Breaking Out; Non-U.S. Outperformance to Continue, Buys in Cyclicals

Recent major breakouts for the FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50, and Germany's DAX (among others) continue to support our belief that non-U.S. equities...

Vermilion Research

BHP Woodside Placement - Here Comes the Block, Will Be Tricky Trading over the Next Few Days

BHP shareholders received US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022. As a part of the merger, JPM is looking to sell around...

Sumeet Singh

BHP Woodside Distribution - Could Be a Large Block (~US$1bn) In Early June

BHP shareholders will receive US$18bn worth of Woodside petroleum shares on 1st Jun 2022, post the completion of the merger. Block, worth US$1.5bn,...

Sumeet Singh

Sticking With Value; Buying Materials & Industrials

Sticking with the theme from last week when we recommended Energy and Financials, two more Sectors that stand to benefit from rising rates include...

Vermilion Research

BHP Unification - Trading and Spread Update

The BHP Unification Trade is a big one. I expect that the "mandated" index sell of BHP LN and reverse funding trade are US$13bn a side, the BHP AU...

Travis Lundy

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