Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Copper declined below the 9,000 USD/ton levels (WoW by -0.5%) due to weakness in financial markets caused by the Federal Reserve's slowness in cutting rates. </li>
<li>Positive signs for copper were the Yangshan Copper Premium inflecting into positive territory and combined inventory on all exchanges being drawn down by almost 5%. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lundin-mining-corp-92352503-3781-4fcb-a4db-62e6f6343783" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25356:1" rel="noopener">Lundin Mining (LUN CN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> will acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/filo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42545:1" rel="noopener">Filo (FIL CN)</a> for 4.1 bn CAD and develop the <a href="https://lundinmining.com/news/lundin-mining-and-bhp-to-acquire-filo-and-form-a-5-123162/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Josemaria project in Argentina</a>. </li>
</ul>


Copper declined below the 9,000 USD/ton levels (WoW by -0.5%) due to weakness in financial markets caused by the Federal Reserve's slowness in cutting rates. 
Positive signs for copper were the Yangshan Copper Premium inflecting into positive territory and combined inventory on all exchanges being drawn down by almost 5%. 

Lundin Mining (LUN CN) and BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) will acquire Filo (FIL CN) for 4.1 bn CAD and develop the Josemaria project in Argentina. 


Copper Tracker August 5th, 2024: Physical/​Equity Screens And Trades, Positive Signs For Copper

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At a time when the LSE has dumbed down the checks and balances for listed companies, now may be the right time to consider collapsing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto (RIO AU)</a>'s DLC.</li>
<li>Re: Sep24 Nikkei 225 Rebal, long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ryohin-keikaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2765:1" rel="noopener">Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a>, but this may not last. It has worked very well. </li>
<li>Unless we see a significant (and sustainable) reversal in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a>'s US/Mexican ops in the interim results, now hardly appears the opportune time for a Smithfield IPO.</li>
</ul>


At a time when the LSE has dumbed down the checks and balances for listed companies, now may be the right time to consider collapsing Rio Tinto (RIO AU)'s DLC.
Re: Sep24 Nikkei 225 Rebal, long Ryohin Keikaku (7453 JP) vs. Fast Retailing (9983 JP), but this may not last. It has worked very well. 
Unless we see a significant (and sustainable) reversal in WH Group (288 HK)'s US/Mexican ops in the interim results, now hardly appears the opportune time for a Smithfield IPO.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Rio Tinto, Ryohin Keikaku/Fast Retailing, WH Group, ThaiBev/F&N, PCCW

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 26th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, Fortescue, ANZ, CSL, Altium, Telstra.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 26th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD20.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, Fortescue, ANZ, CSL, Altium, Telstra.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 26th): Woodside Energy, Fortescue, ANZ, CSL, Altium, Telstra

<ul>
<li>Just shy of three years ago, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a> announced the unification of its dual-headed corporate structure to make BHP "simpler and more agile".</li>
<li>Collapsing DLCs/share-classes was all the rage back then. The prior year, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unilever-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21141:1" rel="noopener">Unilever (UNA NA)</a> collapsed its DLC; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/royal-dutch-shell-plc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:792:1" rel="noopener">Royal Dutch Shell </a> unified its A and B lines in 2021. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio (RIO AU/LN)</a> is one of only a handful of remaining DLCs. Renewed investor calls to unwind the DLC and the recent UK's listing regime reform necessitate a rethink.</li>
</ul>


Just shy of three years ago, BHP (BHP AU) announced the unification of its dual-headed corporate structure to make BHP "simpler and more agile".
Collapsing DLCs/share-classes was all the rage back then. The prior year, Unilever (UNA NA) collapsed its DLC; and Royal Dutch Shell  unified its A and B lines in 2021. 

Rio (RIO AU/LN) is one of only a handful of remaining DLCs. Renewed investor calls to unwind the DLC and the recent UK's listing regime reform necessitate a rethink.


Rio Tinto (RIO AU/LN): Thinking About The "Unification"

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>BHP bullish on copper, bearish on iron ore due to buying Filo with Lundeens</li><li>FMG share price down nearly 40% with export volumes shrinking and rising costs in WA operations</li><li>Iron ore prices break below $100/ton for the first time in a while, China steelmaker Jiangsu DeLong facing counterparty risk and property market struggles due to lack of demand and unfinished projects</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

BHP bullish on copper, bearish on iron ore due to buying Filo with LundeensFMG share price down nearly 40% with export volumes shrinking and rising costs in WA operationsIron ore prices break below $100/ton for the first time in a while, China steelmaker Jiangsu DeLong facing counterparty risk and property market struggles due to lack of demand and unfinished projectsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

The Largest Acquisition of an Undeveloped Project in Decades

Australia

BHP Billiton Limited is an international resources company.  The Company's principal business lines are mineral exploration and production, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel and copper concentrate, as well as petroleum exploration, production, and refining.  Dually-listed company with BLT LN.

Price Gauge
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BHP Group Ltd (BHP US)

Copper Tracker August 5th, 2024: Physical/Equity Screens And Trades, Positive Signs For Copper

This brief insight summarizes Copper's performance and equities on our screens. We highlight our research and trades to explore.

Sameer Taneja

Last Week in Event SPACE: Rio Tinto, Ryohin Keikaku/Fast Retailing, WH Group, ThaiBev/F&N, PCCW

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 26th): Woodside Energy, Fortescue, ANZ, CSL, Altium, Telstra

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, Fortescue, ANZ, CSL, Altium, Telstra.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Rio Tinto (RIO AU/LN): Thinking About The "Unification"

At a time when the LSE has opted to dumb down the checks and balances for listed companies on its bourse, now may be just the right time to...

David Blennerhassett

The Largest Acquisition of an Undeveloped Project in Decades

BHP bullish on copper but bearish on iron ore, FMG experiencing block trades and share price decrease, uncertainty in future projects and executive...

Money of Mine

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Copper Tracker August 5th, 2024: Physical/​Equity Screens And Trades, Positive Signs For Copper

This brief insight summarizes Copper's performance and equities on our screens. We highlight our research and trades to explore.

Sameer Taneja

Last Week in Event SPACE: Rio Tinto, Ryohin Keikaku/Fast Retailing, WH Group, ThaiBev/F&N, PCCW

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 26th): Woodside Energy, Fortescue, ANZ, CSL, Altium, Telstra

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woodside Energy, Fortescue, ANZ, CSL, Altium, Telstra.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Rio Tinto (RIO AU/LN): Thinking About The "Unification"

At a time when the LSE has opted to dumb down the checks and balances for listed companies on its bourse, now may be just the right time to...

David Blennerhassett

The Largest Acquisition of an Undeveloped Project in Decades

BHP bullish on copper but bearish on iron ore, FMG experiencing block trades and share price decrease, uncertainty in future projects and executive...

Money of Mine

Copper Tracker August 5th, 2024: Physical/Equity Screens And Trades, Positive Signs For Copper