Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Over the weekend we outlined Friday's downturn in defensive sectors and the crowded commodity unwind to unfold led by the AUD support break.</li>
<li>Resources plays, base metals, steel, gold and to a lesser extent energy are all seeing mounting sell pressure with impulsive downside moves. Key support breaks will damage breadth.</li>
<li>Safe havens coming under pressure as markets enter a more mature stage of a decline, often leads to bigger out of range moves and varying degrees of panic selling.</li>
</ul>


Over the weekend we outlined Friday's downturn in defensive sectors and the crowded commodity unwind to unfold led by the AUD support break.
Resources plays, base metals, steel, gold and to a lesser extent energy are all seeing mounting sell pressure with impulsive downside moves. Key support breaks will damage breadth.
Safe havens coming under pressure as markets enter a more mature stage of a decline, often leads to bigger out of range moves and varying degrees of panic selling.


Resource/Defensive Shakeout and Pivot Supports

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/igo-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:462:1" rel="noopener">IGO (IGO AU)</a> has bumped its Offer Price for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a> by 15.2% to A$3.87  from A$3.36. WSA unanimously recommends shareholders vote in favour of the Revised Scheme.</li>
<li>IGO entered into a consultation with WSA after an Independent Export draft indicated the initial Offer was not fair and reasonable, and WSA's shares were suspended on 7 April.</li>
<li>This now looks all stitched up with a Scheme Meeting expected next month, and implementation the month after. Unless <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> opts to crash the party.</li>
</ul>



IGO (IGO AU) has bumped its Offer Price for Western Areas (WSA AU) by 15.2% to A$3.87  from A$3.36. WSA unanimously recommends shareholders vote in favour of the Revised Scheme.
IGO entered into a consultation with WSA after an Independent Export draft indicated the initial Offer was not fair and reasonable, and WSA's shares were suspended on 7 April.
This now looks all stitched up with a Scheme Meeting expected next month, and implementation the month after. Unless BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) opts to crash the party.


Western Areas Supports IGO's Revised Offer

<ul>
<li>#2 shareholder and erstwhile activist 3D Investment Partners writes a letter to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>'s Board demanding 3 measures before the AGM. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> is assessing Perpetual's cash/scrip Offer provides an indicative price of $6.23/share; however, the wording in the announcement suggests the bid is opportunistic and will be rejected. </li>
<li>Because of rising regulatory requirements for NBFCs, a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> /<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> was to be expected at some point.</li>
</ul>


#2 shareholder and erstwhile activist 3D Investment Partners writes a letter to Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)'s Board demanding 3 measures before the AGM. 

Pendal Group (PDL AU) is assessing Perpetual's cash/scrip Offer provides an indicative price of $6.23/share; however, the wording in the announcement suggests the bid is opportunistic and will be rejected. 
Because of rising regulatory requirements for NBFCs, a HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) /HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) was to be expected at some point.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Pendal, HDFC Bank, YZJ Shipbuilding, BHP, Virtus

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> proposed a merger between Woodside and BHP Petroleum in August 2021, and signed the deal in November 2021.</li>
<li>It required regulatory approvals (of which it already has some) and Woodside shareholder approval, and the Woodside shares to be received by BHP would be distributed to BHP Shareholders.</li>
<li>Today, Woodside presented the <a href="https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20220408/pdf/457vkgr3tsd00s.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Explanatory Memorandum</a>, the <a href="https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20220408/pdf/457vkk523x0q8z.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Independent Expert Report</a> ("fair and reasonable"), and <a href="https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20220408/pdf/457vkbn81yv3cr.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">information about the 19 May AGM vote</a>. This deal could be done 1 June.</li>
</ul>



Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU) and BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) proposed a merger between Woodside and BHP Petroleum in August 2021, and signed the deal in November 2021.
It required regulatory approvals (of which it already has some) and Woodside shareholder approval, and the Woodside shares to be received by BHP would be distributed to BHP Shareholders.
Today, Woodside presented the Explanatory Memorandum, the Independent Expert Report ("fair and reasonable"), and information about the 19 May AGM vote. This deal could be done 1 June.


Woodside / BHP Petroleum Merger On Tap; Index Impact Minimal but Flowback May Not Be

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>ZIP announced that it would acquire Sezzle in an all-stock deal. It also announced its earnings and that it would raise A$149m (A$107m) from a placement.</li>
<li>We have also covered the Oct 2020 placements in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zip-placement-sorry-it-s-not-you-it-s-me" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44380" rel="noopener">Zip Placement - Sorry, It's Not You. It's Me</a>. </li>
<li>In this note we will talk about the recent developments and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


ZIP announced that it would acquire Sezzle in an all-stock deal. It also announced its earnings and that it would raise A$149m (A$107m) from a placement.
We have also covered the Oct 2020 placements in our earlier note, Zip Placement - Sorry, It's Not You. It's Me. 
In this note we will talk about the recent developments and run the deal through our ECM framework.


ZIP Acquisition and Unlinked Placement - Too Many Things at Once

Australia

BHP Billiton Limited is an international resources company.  The Company's principal business lines are mineral exploration and production, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel and copper concentrate, as well as petroleum exploration, production, and refining.  Dually-listed company with BLT LN.

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BHP Group Ltd (BHP US)

Resource/Defensive Shakeout and Pivot Supports

Over the weekend we outlined Friday's downturn in defensive sectors and the crowded commodity unwind to unfold led by the AUD support break.

Thomas Schroeder

Western Areas Supports IGO's Revised Offer

Trading 0.6% above terms. if you're in, hold on for any Offer from BHP. If not in, enter on any pullback. A BHP Offer is by no means a certainty;...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Pendal, HDFC Bank, YZJ Shipbuilding, BHP, Virtus

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Woodside / BHP Petroleum Merger On Tap; Index Impact Minimal but Flowback May Not Be

Woodside has announced its Shareholder Meeting Date for the BHP Petroleum Merger Approval (it was already known). The IE has declared it "fair and...

Travis Lundy

ZIP Acquisition and Unlinked Placement - Too Many Things at Once

ZIP announced that it would acquire Sezzle in an all-stock deal. It also announced its earnings and that it would raise A$149m (A$107m) from a...

Sumeet Singh

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