Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.</li>
<li>This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.</li>
<li>We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.
This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.
We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight


MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Samvat 2079 proved to be an intriguing year for the Indian equity market, characterized by notable volatility in the first half.</li><li>Several factors contributed to this turbulence, including a) A hawkish central bank view on the interest rates, b) Rising bond yields, c) Rising Covid-19 cases in China towards the end of 2022, d) Imposition of lockdowns in the Chinese economy, e) Union budget-related developments, and f) Other macroeconomic challenges.</li><li>These occurrences collectively subdued market performance in the first half of Samvat. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Samvat 2079 proved to be an intriguing year for the Indian equity market, characterized by notable volatility in the first half.Several factors contributed to this turbulence, including a) A hawkish central bank view on the interest rates, b) Rising bond yields, c) Rising Covid-19 cases in China towards the end of 2022, d) Imposition of lockdowns in the Chinese economy, e) Union budget-related developments, and f) Other macroeconomic challenges.These occurrences collectively subdued market performance in the first half of Samvat. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In Q2FY24, Bharti Airtel Ltd. (Bharti) reported revenue of Rs 37,044 Cr, down 1.1% QoQ but up 7.3% YoY, which stood below our expectations. </li><li>This was mainly on account of the devaluation of Nigeria's Naira and other currencies during the period. </li><li>The company posted an operating profit of Rs 19,514 Cr with operating margins growing by 40bps, largely led by larger 4G conversions and a better service mix.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In Q2FY24, Bharti Airtel Ltd. (Bharti) reported revenue of Rs 37,044 Cr, down 1.1% QoQ but up 7.3% YoY, which stood below our expectations. This was mainly on account of the devaluation of Nigeria's Naira and other currencies during the period. The company posted an operating profit of Rs 19,514 Cr with operating margins growing by 40bps, largely led by larger 4G conversions and a better service mix.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bharti Airtel Ltd - Broad-Based Growth; Gain in Market Share Continues

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Trung Nguyen

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Bharti Airtel's Q2/23-24 results were robust in our view, with solid revenue and earnings growth across the Indian and African businesses. Operational stats were healthy, with strong increases in user bases and ARPU (particularly the 5G customer base). The financial risk profile remains stable. Liquidity is adequate.

  Bharti Airtel's Q2/23-24 results were robust in our view, with solid revenue and earnings growth across the Indian and African businesses. Operational stats were healthy, with strong increases in user bases and ARPU (particularly the 5G customer base). The financial risk profile remains stable. Liquidity is adequate. 

Bharti Airtel - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

<ul>
<li>We remain constructive on global equities as long as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) holds above major support at $90.50-91.50.</li>
<li>We continue to monitor for whether ACWI-US and EEM-US break supports at $90.50-91.50 and $37, or if broken indexes (EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI ex-US, EAFE) can reclaim supports.</li>
<li>Neither has happened yet, so we remain in wait-and-see mode. We are downgrading non-US small-caps to market weight. Non-US Value remains leadership -- remain overweight/buys in Financials and Communications</li>
</ul>


We remain constructive on global equities as long as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) holds above major support at $90.50-91.50.
We continue to monitor for whether ACWI-US and EEM-US break supports at $90.50-91.50 and $37, or if broken indexes (EURO STOXX 50, MSCI ACWI ex-US, EAFE) can reclaim supports.
Neither has happened yet, so we remain in wait-and-see mode. We are downgrading non-US small-caps to market weight. Non-US Value remains leadership -- remain overweight/buys in Financials and Communications


MSCI ACWI, MSCI EM Still Above Supports; Buys in Global Value - Financials and Communications

India

Bharti Airtel Limited, a part of Bharti Enterprises, provides telecommunications services throughout India. The Company provides GSM Mobile Services, broadband, fixed line telephone services, long distance services (international & national) and enterprise services.

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Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)

MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

In our prior EM Strategy (10/2/23) we discussed that, if $EEM is above $37, we were buyers on the pullback. Support held and now EEM displays a...

Vermilion Research

Diwali Muhurat Picks SAMVAT 2080

Samvat 2079 proved to be an intriguing year for the Indian equity market, characterized by notable volatility in the first half.

Axis Direct

Bharti Airtel - Earnings Flash - Q2 FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Bharti Airtel's Q2/23-24 results were robust in our view, with solid revenue and earnings growth across the Indian and African businesses....

Lucror Analytics

MSCI ACWI, MSCI EM Still Above Supports; Buys in Global Value - Financials and Communications

MSCI $ACWI, MSCI EM $EEM Still Above Supports at $90.50-$91.50 and $37, though being tested today. Meanwhile, broken indexes (EURO $STOXX 50,...

Vermilion Research

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