Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 3Q 2024.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months, suggesting increased capital allocation to Korean holdcos relative to their opcos.</li>
<li>These pairs could generate trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal (Doosan Corp vs. Doosan Enerbility; Hyundai Mobis vs Hyundai Motor).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 3Q 2024.
Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months, suggesting increased capital allocation to Korean holdcos relative to their opcos.
These pairs could generate trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal (Doosan Corp vs. Doosan Enerbility; Hyundai Mobis vs Hyundai Motor).


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2024

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Futures backwardation resulting from the short selling ban will persist. Also, the contraction of market making will lead to more widespread and frequent occurrences of extreme spreads.</li>
<li>The straightforward sell arbitrage (reverse cash and carry) is no longer viable. We must pay attention to the emergence of new price and trading patterns driven by these market conditions.</li>
<li>One potential pattern is the possibility of spot buying centered around those that exhibited extreme spreads at expiration. This has already been observed to some extent in this month's expiration.</li>
</ul>


Futures backwardation resulting from the short selling ban will persist. Also, the contraction of market making will lead to more widespread and frequent occurrences of extreme spreads.
The straightforward sell arbitrage (reverse cash and carry) is no longer viable. We must pay attention to the emergence of new price and trading patterns driven by these market conditions.
One potential pattern is the possibility of spot buying centered around those that exhibited extreme spreads at expiration. This has already been observed to some extent in this month's expiration.


Understanding Extreme SSF Spreads in Korea & Trading Approaches

<ul>
<li>On 3 June, GS Retail (007070 KS) announced that it will spin off Parnas Hotel and Freshmeat subsidiaries to simplify its business structure and enhance shareholder value.</li>
<li>The company plans to create a new entity tentatively called Parnas Holdings which will include Parnas hotel and Freshmeat (a meat processing company). </li>
<li>We have a positive view of GS Retail's decision to conduct this equity spin off which simplifies the business structures and it could raise the valuation multiples of GS Retail. </li>
</ul>


On 3 June, GS Retail (007070 KS) announced that it will spin off Parnas Hotel and Freshmeat subsidiaries to simplify its business structure and enhance shareholder value.
The company plans to create a new entity tentatively called Parnas Holdings which will include Parnas hotel and Freshmeat (a meat processing company). 
We have a positive view of GS Retail's decision to conduct this equity spin off which simplifies the business structures and it could raise the valuation multiples of GS Retail. 


GS Retail: Equity Spin Off of Parnas Hotel and Freshmeat Subsidiaries

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of May 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Kb Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX Stocks as of May 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD6.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Kb Financial.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (May 3rd): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Kb Financial

HDC Hyundai Development Co-Engineering & Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

HDC Hyundai Development Co-Engineering & Construction

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 2Q 2024.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 26 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months, suggesting increased capital allocation to Korean holdcos relative to their opcos.  </li>
<li>These pairs could generate trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal. [CJ Corp vs CJ Cheiljedang &amp; Hanjin KAL Corp vs Korean Air Lines].</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 2Q 2024.
Of the 38 pair trades, 26 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months, suggesting increased capital allocation to Korean holdcos relative to their opcos.  
These pairs could generate trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal. [CJ Corp vs CJ Cheiljedang &amp; Hanjin KAL Corp vs Korean Air Lines].


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2024

South Korea

BGF Retail Co., Ltd. operates convenience stores. The Company retails delicatessen, sweets, snacks, beverages, tobacco, and other related products. BGF Retail markets its products throughout South Korea.

Price Gauge
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BGF retail (282330 KS)

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

Understanding Extreme SSF Spreads in Korea & Trading Approaches

This post offers insights into the currently observed extreme spreads in the Korean single stock futures market and explores practical trading...

Sanghyun Park

GS Retail: Equity Spin Off of Parnas Hotel and Freshmeat Subsidiaries

On 3 June, GS Retail announced that it will spin off Parnas Hotel and Freshmeat subsidiaries to simplify its business structure and enhance...

Douglas Kim

KRX Short Interest Weekly (May 3rd): Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Kb Financial

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Kb...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 2Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

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