Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended 30 June. The changes should be announced the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.</li>
<li>Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a>.</li>
<li>For a change, the impact on the potential inclusions will be higher since they will join the index with higher weights compared to the potential deletions.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index July rebalance ended 30 June. The changes should be announced the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 31 July.
Based on the index methodology, there could be up to 5 changes at the rebalance. Plus there will be capping changes for Bank Rakyat (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA).
For a change, the impact on the potential inclusions will be higher since they will join the index with higher weights compared to the potential deletions.


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Identifying Potential Index Changes

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> booked a solid set of 1H2023 results that were marred by an operational blip, with 2Q2023 impacted but this is likely to abate in 2H2023.</li>
<li>The company continues to stand out for its leading position in collateralized lending backed by 4W, 2W, heavy equipment, shophouses and property, with an accomplished 15-year track record</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia</a> remains the top pick to play the increasing growth from multi-finance in Indonesia. It trades on 2x FY2023E PBV, forecast to book an ROE over 20%.</li>
</ul>



BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) booked a solid set of 1H2023 results that were marred by an operational blip, with 2Q2023 impacted but this is likely to abate in 2H2023.
The company continues to stand out for its leading position in collateralized lending backed by 4W, 2W, heavy equipment, shophouses and property, with an accomplished 15-year track record

BFI Finance Indonesia remains the top pick to play the increasing growth from multi-finance in Indonesia. It trades on 2x FY2023E PBV, forecast to book an ROE over 20%.


BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) - Short-Term Blip Provides Opportunity

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-ufj-finl-spon-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8619:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG US)</a> and 92.7%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adira-dinamika-multi-finance-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3245:1" rel="noopener">Adira Dinamika Multi Finance (ADMF IJ)</a> have entered into SPAs with key shareholders to acquire an 80.6% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandala-multifinance-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12756:1" rel="noopener">Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>MUFG and Adira appear to be paying IDR 3,297/share or IDR 7tn all-in. The SPAs are subject to regulatory approvals with completion expected in early 2024. </li>
<li>Upon completion, MUFG will hold 70.6% in Mandala and Adira 10% in the Indo car/motorcycle loan lender. This will trigger a Mandatory Tender Offer for the remaining 19.4%.</li>
</ul>



Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (MUFG US) and 92.7%-held Adira Dinamika Multi Finance (ADMF IJ) have entered into SPAs with key shareholders to acquire an 80.6% stake in Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ).
MUFG and Adira appear to be paying IDR 3,297/share or IDR 7tn all-in. The SPAs are subject to regulatory approvals with completion expected in early 2024. 
Upon completion, MUFG will hold 70.6% in Mandala and Adira 10% in the Indo car/motorcycle loan lender. This will trigger a Mandatory Tender Offer for the remaining 19.4%.


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elite-commercial-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28807:1" rel="noopener">Elite Commercial REIT (ELITE SP)</a> and OceanaGold IPO in the Philippines. </li>
<li>There were also macro insights on Indonesia and Singapore plus a sector insight on Thai banks and an index rebalancing from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a> on the LQ45 in Indonesia. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia</li>
</ul>


The past week saw insights on Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ), BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ),Elite Commercial REIT (ELITE SP) and OceanaGold IPO in the Philippines. 
There were also macro insights on Indonesia and Singapore plus a sector insight on Thai banks and an index rebalancing from Brian Freitas on the LQ45 in Indonesia. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - BCA Leads, BFIN Is Back, and Thai Banks

<ul>
<li>The Past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goto-gojek-tokopedia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/grab-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26950:1" rel="noopener">Grab Holdings (GRAB US),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industri-jamu-dan-farmasi-sido-muncul-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6033:1" rel="noopener">Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astra-international-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>There was also a macro insight on the Thai Economy and further insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfortdelgro-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:497:1" rel="noopener">Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumrungrad-hospital-pub-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:883:1" rel="noopener">Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB)</a>, and UNOAsia in the Philippines. </li>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.</li>
</ul>


The Past week saw insights on GoTo, Grab Holdings (GRAB US),Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ), Matahari Department Store, BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) and Astra International (ASII IJ).
There was also a macro insight on the Thai Economy and further insights on Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP), Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB), and UNOAsia in the Philippines. 
The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across Southeast Asia.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - GoTo & Grab, BFIN's Rising, and Astra Intl's Oversold

Indonesia

PT Adira Dinamika Multi Finance Tbk provides consumer financing services.

PT Mandala Multifinance Tbk provides consumer finance services.  The Company leases motorcycles.

PT Clipan Finance Indonesia Tbk provides leasing and consumer financing services.

PT Wahana Ottomitra Multiartha Tbk provides consumer financing services.

PT Indomobil Multi Jasa, Tbk. operates as a holding company. The Company through its subsidiaries, provides motor vehicle and heavy equipment financing, transportation, and car rental services. Indomobil Multi Jasa serves clients in Indonesia.

PT Buana Finance Tbk provides financial services such as leasing, factoring, and consumer financing.

PT Tifa Finance Tbk offers financial services.  The Company offers lease financing, consumer loans, and factoring services.

PT Danasupra Erapacific Tbk provides financial services such as consumer financing, leasing, and factoring.

PT Batavia Prosperindo Finance Tbk offers vehicle purchase financing services.

PT Radana Bhaskara Finance Tbk provides financing for motorcycles and cars. The Company has been operating since 2005 and is based in Java and Sumatra, Indonesia.

Hong Leong Finance Limited provides depository and financing services to its clients.  The Company's services include hire purchase, leasing, factoring, mortgages, and other secured loans in the commercial, industrial, and consumer sectors.

Allied Group Limited provides investment, finance and corporate management, and consultancy services.  The Company also trades securities, invests in and develops real estate properties and provides building management and maintenance services.

Aeon Credit Service M Bhd provides consumer financing products.  The Company offers products such as easy payment, personal financing, and credit cards.

AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited provides consumer financial services.  The Company offers hire purchase loans for household products such as appliances, electronic equipment, and furniture, as well as other unsecured personal loans for general purposes.  It also issues locally accepted AEON credit cards, and internationally accepted Mastercards and JCB credit cards.

World Acceptance Corporation operates a small-loan consumer finance business. The Company offers short-term loans, related credit insurance, and ancillary products and services to individuals.  World Acceptance generally serves individuals with limited access to other sources of consumer credit from banks, savings and loans, other consumer finance businesses, and credit cards.

Credit Corp Group Limited provides collection and credit management services in Australia.  The Company purchases charged-off and delinquent debts and also provides document serving and field call services, debtor location services and legal services.

PRA Group Inc provides outsourced receivables management. The Company purchases, collects and manages portfolios of defaulted consumer receivables.

Ujjivan Financial Services Ltd. provides financial services. The Company offers business, family, education, emergency, housing, and livestock loans. Ujjivan Financial Services serves customers throughout India.

FinVolution Group develops online consumer finance platform. The Company offers credit risk assessment, fraud detection, big data, automated loan transaction, and artificial intelligence solutions. FinVolution Group serves clients in China.

FleetPartners Group Limited provides vehicle fleet leasing, fleet management, and diversified financial services. The Company offers consumers and businesses access to funding solutions including fleet leasing, vehicle sales, commercial equipment finance, and consumer motor vehicle finance. FleetPartners Group serves customers in Australia and New Zealand.

PT BFI Finance Indonesia Tbk provides financial services such as leasing, consumer financing, and factoring.

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BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July): Identifying Potential Index Changes

We have identified 5 potential changes for the LQ45 Index in July. There will also be capping flows for BBCA and BBRI. Historically, adds and...

Brian Freitas