Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Overnight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/berkshire-hathaway-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8635:1" rel="noopener">Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)</a> announced that it held 60.06m shares (US$4.43bn) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> as of 30 September.</li>
<li>That caused the ADR to spike after-hours and the local shares have rallied 8% today to close the gap with the ADR.</li>
<li>The ADR premium is trading near the lows and with Berkshire buying up a substantial chunk, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR</a> should trade at a bigger premium to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (2330)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Overnight, Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) announced that it held 60.06m shares (US$4.43bn) of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) as of 30 September.
That caused the ADR to spike after-hours and the local shares have rallied 8% today to close the gap with the ADR.
The ADR premium is trading near the lows and with Berkshire buying up a substantial chunk, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR should trade at a bigger premium to Taiwan Semiconductor (2330).


TSMC (TSM/2330 TT): Berkshire Buying Could Push ADR Premium Higher

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) disclosed that it has acquired about 60.1m shares in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US).  </li>
<li>Hon Hai is receiving local government support to recruit/return workers in order to ease its crisis there. Meanwhile, it will also quadruple its India-based iPhone manufacturing staff.</li>
<li>UMC's ADR premium is 0% and could see a bounce given the surge in TSMC.</li>
</ul>


Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) disclosed that it has acquired about 60.1m shares in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US).  
Hon Hai is receiving local government support to recruit/return workers in order to ease its crisis there. Meanwhile, it will also quadruple its India-based iPhone manufacturing staff.
UMC's ADR premium is 0% and could see a bounce given the surge in TSMC.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Buffet Invests in TSMC, Hon Hai Issues Improving, China Chip Imports Slump

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Despite a few tumultuous trading days, the S&amp;P 500 remains above its 200-week MA (3590-3600) and the Russell 2000 (IWM) remains above $163 -- both important support levels moving forward.</li>
<li>We continue to see potential for a bear market rally (~+10% from the lows) as long as these support levels hold.</li>
<li>Bear market rallies would be confirmed by bullish reversals of the 2-month downtrends, or above 3810 on the SPX and above $174 on the IWM, and the latter happened today.</li>
</ul>


Despite a few tumultuous trading days, the S&amp;P 500 remains above its 200-week MA (3590-3600) and the Russell 2000 (IWM) remains above $163 -- both important support levels moving forward.
We continue to see potential for a bear market rally (~+10% from the lows) as long as these support levels hold.
Bear market rallies would be confirmed by bullish reversals of the 2-month downtrends, or above 3810 on the SPX and above $174 on the IWM, and the latter happened today.


Bear Market Rally Remains in Play; Russell 2000 (IWM) Short-Term Breakout; Buys in Banks & Insurance

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> has recorded a more respectable result this year compared to the peers such as Tesla, Nio, and Xpeng. </li>
<li>Overseas sales could be the next growth engine if the domestic market sales may stall. </li>
<li>The price increase early this year to the customers did not deter the company's growth rate which indicates its pricing power. </li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK) has recorded a more respectable result this year compared to the peers such as Tesla, Nio, and Xpeng. 
Overseas sales could be the next growth engine if the domestic market sales may stall. 
The price increase early this year to the customers did not deter the company's growth rate which indicates its pricing power. 


Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul>
<li>China’s largest new-energy vehicle (NEV) manufacturer BYD Co. Ltd. reported record sales last month as China stepped up stimulus to shore up sluggish economic growth.</li>
<li>In September, Hong Kong- and Shenzhen-listed BYD sold 201,259 NEVs, a category that includes electric and hybrid vehicles.</li>
<li>The figure was up 183% year-on-year and marked the seventh consecutive month of growth.</li>
</ul>


China’s largest new-energy vehicle (NEV) manufacturer BYD Co. Ltd. reported record sales last month as China stepped up stimulus to shore up sluggish economic growth.
In September, Hong Kong- and Shenzhen-listed BYD sold 201,259 NEVs, a category that includes electric and hybrid vehicles.
The figure was up 183% year-on-year and marked the seventh consecutive month of growth.


BYD Sales Hit Record High as China Steers Stimulus to Auto Market

United States

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is a holding company owning subsidiaries in a variety of business sectors.  The Company's principal operations are insurance business conducted nationwide on a primary basis and worldwide on a reinsurance basis. Berkshire's other operations include a railway company, a specialty chemical company, and an international association of diversified businesses.

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Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US)

TSMC (TSM/2330 TT): Berkshire Buying Could Push ADR Premium Higher

Berkshire buying 60m TSM US will reduce supply. A rising SOX could increase demand for TSM US at the same time. The ADR premium to the local shares...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Buffet Invests in TSMC, Hon Hai Issues Improving, China Chip Imports Slump

Berkshire Hathaway Inc Cl B (BRK/B US) disclosed that it has acquired about 60.1m shares in Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US).

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Bear Market Rally Remains in Play; Russell 2000 (IWM) Short-Term Breakout; Buys in Banks & Insurance

A bear market rally (+10% from the lows) remains in play as long as the $SPX remains above its 200-week MA (3590-3600) and the $IWM remains above...

Vermilion Research

BYD (1211): Respectable Result

BYD currently trading at 0.46 forward PEG, a 36% discount compared to Tesla which is trading at 0.72x forward PEG. Its monthly sales growth rate is...

Henry Soediarko

BYD Sales Hit Record High as China Steers Stimulus to Auto Market

China’s largest new-energy vehicle (NEV) manufacturer BYD Co. Ltd. reported record sales last month as China stepped up stimulus to shore up...

Caixin Global

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