Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe Mr. Su’s resignation as chairman is not a concern, because Mr. Cheng, the CEO, has been operating the company for two years.</li>
<li>We believe the 3Q23 YoY growth will be lower, as 2Q23 had a lower comparison base.</li>
<li>We believe the operating margin can be negative in 3Q23 as Q3 is always a weak season, but operating profit will break even for 2023.</li>
</ul>


We believe Mr. Su’s resignation as chairman is not a concern, because Mr. Cheng, the CEO, has been operating the company for two years.
We believe the 3Q23 YoY growth will be lower, as 2Q23 had a lower comparison base.
We believe the operating margin can be negative in 3Q23 as Q3 is always a weak season, but operating profit will break even for 2023.


Kuaishou/KS (1024 HK) Earnings Preview: Unnecessary Concerns About Chairman Change and 3Q23 Results

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>Last week, China Mobile (941), SMIC (981) and CNOOC (883) all saw total SOUTHBOUND turnover top 75% of value traded on a gross basis, indicating huge participation. </li>
<li>Meituan was again the top SOUTHBOUND inflow, now net inflow every day for more than a month. Total Net Inflows at HK$6.9bn now 14 weeks straight in the positive column.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.
Last week, China Mobile (941), SMIC (981) and CNOOC (883) all saw total SOUTHBOUND turnover top 75% of value traded on a gross basis, indicating huge participation. 
Meituan was again the top SOUTHBOUND inflow, now net inflow every day for more than a month. Total Net Inflows at HK$6.9bn now 14 weeks straight in the positive column.


Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND (To 27-Oct-23); Meituan & Tech IN, High Div SOEs OUT, Financials MIA

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 27th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, Semiconductor Manufacturing International and CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 27th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, Semiconductor Manufacturing International and CNOOC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 27th): Meituan, Semiconductor Manufacturing International, CNOOC

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 27th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), Dongfeng Motor (489 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Oct 27th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), Dongfeng Motor (489 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 27th): AIA, Kuaishou Technology, Dongfeng Motor

<ul>
<li>This is the <em>somewhat brand-spanking-new</em> Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and four weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).</li>
<li>We like the nifty interactive tables+charts (please play with them!) and we welcome feedback. This 5-day week saw HKD 3.9bn+ of net buying. That makes 13 weeks of net inflows.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat brand-spanking-new Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor.
The data on liquid names is presented for 5 days and four weeks and anything seen can be ranked in tables or selected and charted (names, sectors, outperformance, etc).
We like the nifty interactive tables+charts (please play with them!) and we welcome feedback. This 5-day week saw HKD 3.9bn+ of net buying. That makes 13 weeks of net inflows.


Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 20 Oct 23): Meituan, SMIC, Great Wall!

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

Kuaishou/KS (1024 HK) Earnings Preview: Unnecessary Concerns About Chairman Change and 3Q23 Results

Mr. Su’s resigned as chairman, but Mr. Cheng, the CEO, has been operating the company for two years. We believe the coming 3Q23 slowdown is due to...

Ming Lu

Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND (To 27-Oct-23); Meituan & Tech IN, High Div SOEs OUT, Financials MIA

SOUTHBOUND saw net buying. Again. HK$6.9bn over four days. The oil and telecom SOEs continue to see outflows. Meituan continues to see inflows....

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 27th): Meituan, Semiconductor Manufacturing International, CNOOC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Meituan, Semiconductor Manufacturing International, CNOOC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Oct 27th): AIA, Kuaishou Technology, Dongfeng Motor

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were AIA (1299 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 20 Oct 23): Meituan, SMIC, Great Wall!

SOUTHBOUND flows last week were still mildly positive making it 13 weeks in a row. Great Wall Motors is finally a large net buy.

Travis Lundy

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