Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Kuaishou reported C1Q24 revenue, IFRS OP, and IFRS Net income inline, 58%, and 78% vs. our estimates; and inline, 67% and 86% vs. consensus</li>
<li>Company suggested contribution of Generative AI (GAI) to the growth of the advertising business to be substantial;</li>
<li>We reiterate our BUY rating and raised target price to HK$83, implying 17x PE in 2025.</li>
</ul>


Kuaishou reported C1Q24 revenue, IFRS OP, and IFRS Net income inline, 58%, and 78% vs. our estimates; and inline, 67% and 86% vs. consensus
Company suggested contribution of Generative AI (GAI) to the growth of the advertising business to be substantial;
We reiterate our BUY rating and raised target price to HK$83, implying 17x PE in 2025.


[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$83) Target Price Change]: Out-Performance in Off-Season Thanks to GAI

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In 1Q24, revenue grew by 17% YoY and e-commerce GMV grew by 28% YoY.</li>
<li>Both the operating margin and the operating profit reached historical highs in 1Q24.</li>
<li>We set an upside of 47% and the price target at HK$86.00. Buy.</li>
</ul>


In 1Q24, revenue grew by 17% YoY and e-commerce GMV grew by 28% YoY.
Both the operating margin and the operating profit reached historical highs in 1Q24.
We set an upside of 47% and the price target at HK$86.00. Buy.


KS / Kuaishou (1024 HK): 1Q24, Strong GMV and Historical High Op Margin Again

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a> is expected to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technol" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of HK$7.8bn (US$1bn).</li>
<li>Short interest is near the lows on both stocks but there has been a recent tick higher for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>



ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) is expected to replace Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the September rebalance.
Constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of HK$7.8bn (US$1bn).
Short interest is near the lows on both stocks but there has been a recent tick higher for ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK).


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: ASM Pacific (522) Could Replace Ping An Health (1833); US$1bn Trade

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NTES US: &lt;Naraka: Bladepoint&gt; PC Celebrates Third Anniversary with Several New Updates (+)</li>
<li>BIDU US: Baidu Netdisk Adds Vertical Screen Playback Feature to Accommodate Micro-Dramas (+)</li>
<li>AMZN US/BABA US: TikTok Shop to launch in Spain (-)</li>
</ul>


NTES US: &lt;Naraka: Bladepoint&gt; PC Celebrates Third Anniversary with Several New Updates (+)
BIDU US: Baidu Netdisk Adds Vertical Screen Playback Feature to Accommodate Micro-Dramas (+)
AMZN US/BABA US: TikTok Shop to launch in Spain (-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/BIDU US/AMZN US/BABA US/002230 SZ/9992 HK/1024 HK

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

<ul>
<li>Bilibili's &lt;Three Kingdom: MDTX&gt; continues to show strong monetization performance, Based on our data tracking, we are raising the annual grossing estimate by 25% to approximately RMB 5.5 billion.</li>
<li>NetEase's &lt;Naraka Mobile&gt; has surpassed 40 million pre-registrations, making it the most pre-registered game in NetEase's history. We are raising the annual grossing estimate by 20% to RMB 12 billion.</li>
<li>Tencent's &lt;FGS&gt; has seen a continuous rise in popularity following the release of the new mode. We are raising the annual grossing estimate by 10% to RMB 13 billion.</li>
</ul>


Bilibili's &lt;Three Kingdom: MDTX&gt; continues to show strong monetization performance, Based on our data tracking, we are raising the annual grossing estimate by 25% to approximately RMB 5.5 billion.
NetEase's &lt;Naraka Mobile&gt; has surpassed 40 million pre-registrations, making it the most pre-registered game in NetEase's history. We are raising the annual grossing estimate by 20% to RMB 12 billion.
Tencent's &lt;FGS&gt; has seen a continuous rise in popularity following the release of the new mode. We are raising the annual grossing estimate by 10% to RMB 13 billion.


Online Game Monitor: June 16-July 1, 2024

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$83) Target Price Change]: Out-Performance in Off-Season Thanks to GAI

Kuaishou's strong revenue and income performance, driven by Generative AI, prompts analysts to reiterate BUY rating and raise target price to HK$83.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

KS / Kuaishou (1024 HK): 1Q24, Strong GMV and Historical High Op Margin Again

In 1Q24, revenue grew by 17% YoY and e-commerce GMV grew by 28% YoY. Both the operating margin and the operating profit reached historical highs in...

Ming Lu

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: ASM Pacific (522) Could Replace Ping An Health (1833); US$1bn Trade

ASM Pacific could replace Ping An Healthcare in Sep. Constituent and capping changes will result in a 1-way turnover of 3.7% and in a round-trip...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/BIDU US/AMZN US/BABA US/002230 SZ/9992 HK/1024 HK

Celebrating third anniversary with updates, Baidu Netdisk adds vertical screen playback, TikTok Shop to launch in Spain.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Online Game Monitor: June 16-July 1, 2024

Top Chinese gaming companies Bilibili, NetEase, and Tencent are seeing strong monetization performance, with estimates raised for annual grossing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Kuaishou (1024 HK, BUY, TP HK$83) Target Price Change]: Out-Performance in Off-Season Thanks to GAI

​Kuaishou's strong revenue and income performance, driven by Generative AI, prompts analysts to reiterate BUY rating and raise target price to HK$83.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

KS / Kuaishou (1024 HK): 1Q24, Strong GMV and Historical High Op Margin Again

In 1Q24, revenue grew by 17% YoY and e-commerce GMV grew by 28% YoY. Both the operating margin and the operating profit reached historical highs in...

Ming Lu

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: ASM Pacific (522) Could Replace Ping An Health (1833); US$1bn Trade

ASM Pacific could replace Ping An Healthcare in Sep. Constituent and capping changes will result in a 1-way turnover of 3.7% and in a round-trip...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:NTES US/BIDU US/AMZN US/BABA US/002230 SZ/9992 HK/1024 HK

​Celebrating third anniversary with updates, Baidu Netdisk adds vertical screen playback, TikTok Shop to launch in Spain.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Online Game Monitor: June 16-July 1, 2024

​Top Chinese gaming companies Bilibili, NetEase, and Tencent are seeing strong monetization performance, with estimates raised for annual grossing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Kuaishou's strong revenue and income performance, driven by Generative AI, prompts analysts to reiterate BUY rating and raise target price to HK$83.

Celebrating third anniversary with updates, Baidu Netdisk adds vertical screen playback, TikTok Shop to launch in Spain.

Top Chinese gaming companies Bilibili, NetEase, and Tencent are seeing strong monetization performance, with estimates raised for annual grossing...