Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA).</li>
<li>There is nothing new about the list, on 2nd Dec 2021, SEC had issued final amendments to implement the HFCAA which had already spoken about the list and its implications.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments its possible timelines and implications.</li>
</ul>


On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA).
There is nothing new about the list, on 2nd Dec 2021, SEC had issued final amendments to implement the HFCAA which had already spoken about the list and its implications.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments its possible timelines and implications.


China ADRs Delisting - SEC Sets the Clock Ticking and Sends China ADRs Tripping

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The first to be affected is the clinical trial projects under way in Ukraine. It’s possible that pharmaceutical companies may lose such a high-quality and low cost clinical trial center. </li>
<li>Ukraine plays an important role in the healthcare supply chain. So, the war would affected both pharmaceutical companies and medical device companies, both directly and indirectly.</li>
<li>The risk to CXO is not completely eliminated. The “cyclical nature” of CRO industry could begin to show. But CDMO is better than CRO in terms of short-term investment opportunities.</li>
</ul>


The first to be affected is the clinical trial projects under way in Ukraine. It’s possible that pharmaceutical companies may lose such a high-quality and low cost clinical trial center. 
Ukraine plays an important role in the healthcare supply chain. So, the war would affected both pharmaceutical companies and medical device companies, both directly and indirectly.
The risk to CXO is not completely eliminated. The “cyclical nature” of CRO industry could begin to show. But CDMO is better than CRO in terms of short-term investment opportunities.


Russia-Ukraine War: The Impact on China Healthcare

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After raising over RMB70 billion,investors have much higher expectation on BeiGene than other biotech/biopharma, because BeiGene is “different”,but the real pressure will come over the next two or three years.</li>
<li>Will BeiGene become China's first truly international pharmaceutical company, or be dragged into mediocrity by the failure of key trials or the failure of commercialization to meet the market’s expectations?</li>
<li>It is attractive if the market value is below US$20 billion. However, considering the Russia-Ukraine war and other potential external uncertainties, we advise investors to keep alert.</li>
</ul>


After raising over RMB70 billion,investors have much higher expectation on BeiGene than other biotech/biopharma, because BeiGene is “different”,but the real pressure will come over the next two or three years.
Will BeiGene become China's first truly international pharmaceutical company, or be dragged into mediocrity by the failure of key trials or the failure of commercialization to meet the market’s expectations?
It is attractive if the market value is below US$20 billion. However, considering the Russia-Ukraine war and other potential external uncertainties, we advise investors to keep alert.


BeiGene Ltd (6160.HK/688235.CH) - There Is No Way to Retreat

<ul>
<li>The successful approval of Legend Biotech's CAR-T therapy indicates the FDA is objective. But we can judge FDA's attitude and globalization logic more clearly through Junshi’s PD-1 result in April.</li>
<li>Let's talk about the cyclical nature of innovative drugs. Humans, they repeat history all the time.</li>
<li>The current pet vaccine market in China is in the blue ocean, with a huge space for growth. This market has become an investment option that cannot be ignored.</li>
</ul>


The successful approval of Legend Biotech's CAR-T therapy indicates the FDA is objective. But we can judge FDA's attitude and globalization logic more clearly through Junshi’s PD-1 result in April.
Let's talk about the cyclical nature of innovative drugs. Humans, they repeat history all the time.
The current pet vaccine market in China is in the blue ocean, with a huge space for growth. This market has become an investment option that cannot be ignored.


China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.4)-Innovative Drug Cyclical Nature, Pet Vaccine Mkt, Legend Bio, Junshi

<ul>
<li>The Beijing municipality has added fertility treatment in its medical insurance program. We analyzed related impact.</li>
<li>If we hope to have more companies entering global TOP50 during “14th Five-Year Plan” period, domestic medical device companies need at least 25% annualized revenue growth to make it happen.</li>
<li>Actually, the national medical insurance doesn't determine market size directly but adjust the “distribution”. There's no need to focus solely on anti-tumor field, but rare diseases and central nervous system diseases.</li>
</ul>


The Beijing municipality has added fertility treatment in its medical insurance program. We analyzed related impact.
If we hope to have more companies entering global TOP50 during “14th Five-Year Plan” period, domestic medical device companies need at least 25% annualized revenue growth to make it happen.
Actually, the national medical insurance doesn't determine market size directly but adjust the “distribution”. There's no need to focus solely on anti-tumor field, but rare diseases and central nervous system diseases.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.25)-Assisted Reproduction, Medical Device Co. Globalization, New Growth

China

BeiGene, Ltd. operates as a commercial stage biopharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on discovery, development, and commercialization of molecularly targeted and immuno-oncology drugs for the treatment of cancer. BeiGene serves patients worldwide.

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BeiGene (BGNE US)

China ADRs Delisting - SEC Sets the Clock Ticking and Sends China ADRs Tripping

On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under the Holding Foreign...

Sumeet Singh

Russia-Ukraine War: The Impact on China Healthcare

We analyzed the potential impact of Russia-Ukraine war on China healthcare industry including the delay of clinical trial projects in Ukraine,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

BeiGene Ltd (6160.HK/688235.CH) - There Is No Way to Retreat

BeiGene’s cash flow can't keep up with the cash burn rate in long term.So BeiGene has to deliver solid commercialization results,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.4)-Innovative Drug Cyclical Nature, Pet Vaccine Mkt, Legend Bio, Junshi

Junshi’s PD-1 result in April is more representative to judge FDA's attitude and globalization logic. We probably are at the tail end of mab drug...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.25)-Assisted Reproduction, Medical Device Co. Globalization, New Growth

Assisted reproduction is covered by medical insurance; We analyzed the benchmark of medical device companies' globalization, clarify the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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