Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes each for the IDX30 Index and LQ45 Index and 11 changes for the IDX80 Index at the upcoming rebalance to be implemented on 29 July.</li>
<li>There is passive inflow on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO)</a> due to index inclusion, and on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-rakyat-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:484:1" rel="noopener">Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-central-asia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:440:1" rel="noopener">Bank Central Asia (BBCA)</a> due to capping changes.</li>
<li>With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes each for the IDX30 Index and LQ45 Index and 11 changes for the IDX80 Index at the upcoming rebalance to be implemented on 29 July.
There is passive inflow on Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO) due to index inclusion, and on Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI) and Bank Central Asia (BBCA) due to capping changes.
With only 4 days to implementation, there will be relatively big moves on stocks that have large flow/impact from passive fund trading.


IDX30/​LQ45 Index Rebalance: Big Inflows on ARTO, BBRI, BBCA; Outflows on GOTO, TLKM, BMRI

<ul>
<li>The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 29 July.</li>
<li>Potential adds are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-minerals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35927:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-resources-minerals-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9136:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transcoal-pacific-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28449:1" rel="noopener">Transcoal Pacific Tbk PT (TCPI IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-dayamitra-telekomunikasi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34741:1" rel="noopener">Mitratel (MTEL IJ)</a>.</li>
<li>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pembangunan-perumahan-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19840:1" rel="noopener">Pembangunan Perumahan (Persero) (PTPP IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pabrik-kertas-tjiwi-kimia-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19184:1" rel="noopener">Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia (TKIM IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/media-nusantara-citra-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6881:1" rel="noopener">Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gudang-garam-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:722:1" rel="noopener">Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chandra-asri-petrochemical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2556:1" rel="noopener">Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the LQ45 Index ends on 30 June. The changes should be announced in the last week of July, becoming effective after the close on 29 July.
Potential adds are Bank Jago Tbk PT (ARTO IJ), Adaro Minerals (ADMR IJ), Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk (BRMS IJ), Transcoal Pacific Tbk PT (TCPI IJ) and Mitratel (MTEL IJ).
Potential deletions are Pembangunan Perumahan (Persero) (PTPP IJ), Pabrik Kertas Tjiwi Kimia (TKIM IJ), Media Nusantara Citra (MNCN IJ), Gudang Garam (GGRM IJ) and Chandra Asri Petrochemical (TPIA IJ).


LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July 2022): Candidates for Change

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a> completes 20 trading days today. Based on the average price over the period and the last close, the stock meets the Fast Entry criteria for IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 inclusion.</li>
<li>Using a free float of 66%, we estimate passive trackers buying 5.42bn shares (US$74m) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gojek-goto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25976:1" rel="noopener">GoTo (GOTO IJ)</a>. Announcement could come in a few days with implementation at month-end. </li>
<li>With the real float close to 4%, passive trackers will need to buy 11.6% of the real float and the stock could move higher in the short-term.</li>
</ul>



GoTo (GOTO IJ) completes 20 trading days today. Based on the average price over the period and the last close, the stock meets the Fast Entry criteria for IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 inclusion.
Using a free float of 66%, we estimate passive trackers buying 5.42bn shares (US$74m) of GoTo (GOTO IJ). Announcement could come in a few days with implementation at month-end. 
With the real float close to 4%, passive trackers will need to buy 11.6% of the real float and the stock could move higher in the short-term.


GoTo Gojek Tokopedia: Turning Tide with Index Inclusion?

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At the January review, there are 2 changes to the IDX30 Index, 5 changes to the LQ45 Index, and 9 changes to the IDX30 Index.</li>
<li>Largest buying impact will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumber-alfaria-trijaya-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15659:1" rel="noopener">Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/elang-mahkota-teknologi-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7752:1" rel="noopener">Emtek (EMTK IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waskita-karya-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15739:1" rel="noopener">Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a>. </li>
<li>Largest selling impact will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ace-hardware-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12808:1" rel="noopener">Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jasa-marga-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12747:1" rel="noopener">Jasa Marga (JSMR IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pakuwon-jati-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8550:1" rel="noopener">Pakuwon Jati (PWON IJ)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumi-serpong-damai-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15498:1" rel="noopener">Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hm-sampoerna-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:617:1" rel="noopener">HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ)</a>.</li>
</ul>


At the January review, there are 2 changes to the IDX30 Index, 5 changes to the LQ45 Index, and 9 changes to the IDX30 Index.
Largest buying impact will be on Sumber Alfaria Trijaya Tbk Pt, Emtek (EMTK IJ), Waskita Karya (Persero) (WSKT IJ), BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) and XL Axiata (EXCL IJ). 
Largest selling impact will be on Ace Hardware Indonesia (ACES IJ), Jasa Marga (JSMR IJ), Pakuwon Jati (PWON IJ) , Bumi Serpong Damai (BSDE IJ) and HM Sampoerna (HMSP IJ).


IDX30/LQ45 Index Rebalance: BIG Impact Changes in Limited Time

The LQ45 Index is a market cap weighted index of the 45 most liquid stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The LQ45 Index covers at least 70% of the stock market capitalization and transaction values in the Indonesia Stock Market.The IDX has announced the changes to the LQ45 Index as a part of the August review. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-pacific-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8851:1" rel="noopener">Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timah-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11174:1" rel="noopener">Timah Persero (TINS IJ)</a> have been added to the index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-tabungan-pensiunan-nasi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27088:1" rel="noopener">Bank BTPN Syariah (BTPS IJ)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ciputra-development-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5513:1" rel="noopener">Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ)</a> have been deleted from the index.We expect the impact of passive funds (and active funds) will be quite high on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barito-pacific-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8851:1" rel="noopener">Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bit-digital-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31155:1" rel="noopener">Bit Digital (BTBT US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ciputra-development-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5513:1" rel="noopener">Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ)</a> and significantly lower on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timah-persero-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11174:1" rel="noopener">Timah Persero (TINS IJ)</a>.The changes are effective after the close of trading on 30 July, so there are only 4 trading days before passive funds have to rebalance their portfolios. Active funds benchmarked to the LQ45 index will also trade over the next few days so as not to deviate too far from their benchmark.

The LQ45 Index is a market cap weighted index of the 45 most liquid stocks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The LQ45 Index covers at least 70% of the stock market capitalization and transaction values in the Indonesia Stock Market.The IDX has announced the changes to the LQ45 Index as a part of the August review. Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ) and Timah Persero (TINS IJ) have been added to the index while Bank BTPN Syariah (BTPS IJ) and Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ) have been deleted from the index.We expect the impact of passive funds (and active funds) will be quite high on Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ), Bit Digital (BTBT US) and Ciputra Development (CTRA IJ) and significantly lower on Timah Persero (TINS IJ).The changes are effective after the close of trading on 30 July, so there are only 4 trading days before passive funds have to rebalance their portfolios. Active funds benchmarked to the LQ45 index will also trade over the next few days so as not to deviate too far from their benchmark.

LQ45 Index Rebalance: BRPT, TINS In; BTPS, CTRA Out

Indonesia

Impack Pratama Industri Tbk PT produces plastic products in Asia and distributes them worldwide. The Company and it's subsidiaries manufacture building material plastics, PVC products, and fiberglass roofing, among other products.

PT Samator Indo Gas Tbk is an industrial gas company. The Company supplies industrial gases such as Oxygen, Nitrogen, and many other gases and related services to many industries including metal works, metallurgy, chemical processes, the petrochemical industry, electronic, and electrical industry. The Company also supplies gases for drinking water and wastewater treatment.

PT Samator Indo Gas Tbk was previously named PT Aneka Gas Industri Tbk. The Company recently changed its name to PT Samator Indo Gas Tbk upon approval of the Company's Shareholders at the Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders held on Monday, 12 December 2022 in Jakarta. The rebranding of the Company's name aims to further demonstrate the Company's identity as a national company that will continue to contribute to Indonesia, as well as to align the Company's identity with its parent company, Samator Group. The Company's stock code in the Indonesian Stock Exchange did not change and is still "AGII".

PT Unggul Indah Cahaya Tbk manufactures branch and linear alkylbenzene, the main raw material used in the production of detergents. The Company also operates in the development of properties.

PT Lautan Luas Tbk distributes basic and specialty chemicals.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures basic and specialty chemicals such as activated carbon, methyl-tin stabilizer, poly aluminum chloride, band ply lubricant, textile and leather auxiliaries, paper chemical, sulfuric acid, aluminum sulfate, food coloring, white oil, and others.

PT Trias Sentosa Tbk manufactures packaging paper and biaxially-oriented polypropylene films.  The Company's products include heat sealable, plain, metalized, pressure sensitive adhesive, pearlized, and polyester films.

PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Corporation Tbk operates a pulp and paper mill located in Perawang, a paper mill in Tangerang, and a packaging product mill in Serang. The Company manufactures various types of printing and writing paper including coated and uncoated free-sheets, photo copy paper, packaging container boards, corrugated shipping containers, and boxboards.

PT Merdeka Copper Gold Tbk is a mineral and mining company.  The Company mines for gold and copper.

PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk manufactures cement including portland cement, oil well cement, and mixed cement. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also develops and operates an industrial estate, mines limestone and clay, and packages and distributes cement.

Aneka Tambang Persero Tbk PT is a diversified mining and metals company. The Company produces ferronickel, nickel ore, gold, silver, bauxite and coal. Aneka Tambang is currently building a chemical grade alumina smelter and is looking to build  a smelter grade alumina smelter as well as a nickel pig iron smelter.

PT Vale Indonesia Tbk produces nickel in matte, an intermediate product, from lateritic ores at its integrated mining and processing facilities near Soroako, Sulawesi

TORAY INDUSTRIES, INC. manufactures yarns, synthetic fibers, and man-made leather used as apparel and industrial materials.  The Company also makes chemical products such as polyester films, engineering plastics, and resin materials.  Toray develops information equipment such as electronic circuit and liquid crystal color filter.

Orica Limited is a diversified manufacturing company.  The Company produces industrial and specialty chemicals, polyethylene, surface coatings for vehicles, food and beverage flavoring and fragrances, packaging and appliances. The Company also supplies explosive and blasting services to the mining, quarrying and construction industries.

Resonac Holdings Corporation manufactures and distributes chemical products. The Company produces synthetic resins, petrochemical products, inorganics, and other related products. Resonac Holdings also produces ceramics, metals, carbon, electronic materials, and other products.

Mitsui Chemicals, Inc. manufactures and markets a variety of chemical products. The Company's products include ethylene, propylene and other petrochemicals, basic chemicals, synthetic resins, and fine chemicals.  The Company operates worldwide.

Huntsman Corporation manufactures differentiated and commodity chemical products.  The Company markets a broad range of chemical products and formulations to a diversified group of consumer and industrial customers. Huntsman's products are used in a range of applications, including those in adhesives, aerospace, automotive, construction products, and consumer products.

Zhejiang Huafeng Spandex Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets spandex products.

Nissan Chemical Industries, Ltd. produces a variety of chemical products, ranging from basic chemicals to functional chemical products.  The Company also manufactures agrochemicals and pharmaceutical products.

Balchem Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets specialty performance ingredients for the food, feed, and medical sterilization industries. The Company micro-encapsulates performance ingredients, and also repackages and markets specialty gases. Balchem sells its products through its own sales force, independent distributors, and sales agents.

TongKun Group Co., Ltd. develops, produces and sells polyester and Terylene filament.  The Company also invests in real estate, finance, business trade and education businesses.

Berger Paints India Limited manufactures and distributes paints, enamels, varnishes, and synthetic resins. The Company's products are used in home, office, factory, interiors, exteriors, metal, wood, plastic, and others.

PT Barito Pacific Tbk manufactures petrochemicals. The Company produces olefins, propylene, ethylene, and styrene.  Barito Pacific also produces semi-finished wood products for furniture manufacturers, and owns land in Jakarta.

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Barito Pacific (BRPT IJ)

IDX30/LQ45 Index Rebalance: Big Inflows on ARTO, BBRI, BBCA; Outflows on GOTO, TLKM, BMRI

There are 3 changes each for the IDX30 and LQ45 indices that will be implemented on 29 July. The largest passive inflows are on BBRI, ARTO and...

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July 2022): Candidates for Change

There could be 5 changes to the LQ45 Index at the July rebalance. The adds outperform the deletion the day after announcement and there is...

Brian Freitas

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia: Turning Tide with Index Inclusion?

GoTo completes 20 trading days today. The stock meets the threshold for Fast Entry to the IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 indices where passive trackers will need...

Brian Freitas

IDX30/LQ45 Index Rebalance: BIG Impact Changes in Limited Time

There are 2 changes to the IDX30, 5 to the LQ45, and 9 to the IDX80. There are a few large impact/flow names on the IDX30/LQ45 indices. The adds...

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance: BRPT, TINS In; BTPS, CTRA Out

The LQ45 rebalance will be implemented at the close on 30 July. BRPT & TINS have been included, replacing BTPS & CTRA. There is a large impact on...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

IDX30/​LQ45 Index Rebalance: Big Inflows on ARTO, BBRI, BBCA; Outflows on GOTO, TLKM, BMRI

There are 3 changes each for the IDX30 and LQ45 indices that will be implemented on 29 July. The largest passive inflows are on BBRI, ARTO and...

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance Preview (July 2022): Candidates for Change

There could be 5 changes to the LQ45 Index at the July rebalance. The adds outperform the deletion the day after announcement and there is...

Brian Freitas

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia: Turning Tide with Index Inclusion?

GoTo completes 20 trading days today. The stock meets the threshold for Fast Entry to the IDX30/LQ45/IDX80 indices where passive trackers will need...

Brian Freitas

IDX30/LQ45 Index Rebalance: BIG Impact Changes in Limited Time

There are 2 changes to the IDX30, 5 to the LQ45, and 9 to the IDX80. There are a few large impact/flow names on the IDX30/LQ45 indices. The adds...

Brian Freitas

LQ45 Index Rebalance: BRPT, TINS In; BTPS, CTRA Out

The LQ45 rebalance will be implemented at the close on 30 July. BRPT & TINS have been included, replacing BTPS & CTRA. There is a large impact on...

Brian Freitas

IDX30/LQ45 Index Rebalance: Big Inflows on ARTO, BBRI, BBCA; Outflows on GOTO, TLKM, BMRI