ANIMAL SPIRITS Update: OPEC Fuels Base Effect - Oil, Inflation & The Fed, Yields, Financials and EM
Executive Summary OPEC production cut plan supports our macro thesis of an oil-led, inflation expectations uplift. Our original WTI peak base...
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ANIMAL SPIRITS™ REPORT: Greater China View - China "Goldilocks", HK "Revival" & Taiwan "Bond-Proxy"
Investment ConclusionsMacro, Index and Sector Views Our macro baseline scenario is positive on emerging markets (EM) in Q4, 2016. We see...
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Encouraging Non-Interest Income in China's Banks
For too long China's state banks have relied on a guaranteed profit from state-sanctioned lending rates. Electronic payment systems will provide...
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Consumer Banks in Asia May Fare Better at a Time when Large Corporate Stresses Are Evident
There is plenty of corporate risk out there. We have seen this across several large economies in the way of meaningful corporate stress. In South...
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ANIMAL SPIRITS™ UPDATE: Japan Equity Market Outlook - BOJ, Fed & The Value Trap
Executive Summary This week, the Fed has behaved consistently with our macro roadmap by not raising rates yet but running the US economy "hot". Two...
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