ANIMAL SPIRITS™ REPORT: Greater China View - China "Goldilocks", HK "Revival" & Taiwan "Bond-Proxy"
Investment ConclusionsMacro, Index and Sector Views Our macro baseline scenario is positive on emerging markets (EM) in Q4, 2016. We see...
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Encouraging Non-Interest Income in China's Banks
For too long China's state banks have relied on a guaranteed profit from state-sanctioned lending rates. Electronic payment systems will provide...
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Consumer Banks in Asia May Fare Better at a Time when Large Corporate Stresses Are Evident
There is plenty of corporate risk out there. We have seen this across several large economies in the way of meaningful corporate stress. In South...
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ANIMAL SPIRITS™ UPDATE: Japan Equity Market Outlook - BOJ, Fed & The Value Trap
Executive Summary This week, the Fed has behaved consistently with our macro roadmap by not raising rates yet but running the US economy "hot". Two...
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Chinese Credit Growth Is Shifting Where It Grows Not How Much It Grows
The focus on the recent strong growth in headline financing growth has raised concerns about underlying demand for credit and continued reliance on...
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